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Started By
Message
Are we a tournament team?
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:04 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:04 am
Tough loss last night but what I saw was very encouraging. We should be favored in most of our home games and the bottom half of the SEC is beatable!
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:04 am to IndianInBR
No guarantees but certainly a realistic and attainable goal.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:07 am to IndianInBR
It looks much more doable after the last two games than most thought possible just two weeks ago.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:14 am to IndianInBR
Low Dance or High NIT team.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:18 am to IndianInBR
If the tournament started tomorrow, probably not (just on the outside looking in). However, if LSU can get performances similar to what they displayed last night on a consistent basis they likely will be. Winning on the road in college basketball is tough in general. Beating good teams on the road is even tougher. But if you think Kentucky is a top 4-5 SEC team, then that kind of performance is going to give you a few road wins against lesser teams and make you very tough to beat at home.
You almost have to think of the basketball season as two different seasons. (1) non-conf and (2) conference. Given all of the "new" surrounding this team, which was essentially everything, it took some time for the coaches to figure out the best line ups. For instance, it was only about the last 4 games or so of non-conf play that it became clear Fountain and Hayes needed to be starting. You're now seeing the coaches trying to figure out the lineups/rotations in SEC play. Two games in it has become clear Hannibal needs to be playing big minutes. They will continue to run out different rotations to see what works best in the next few games. Give McMahon credit. He's willing to deviate from the initial game plan if necessary.
You almost have to think of the basketball season as two different seasons. (1) non-conf and (2) conference. Given all of the "new" surrounding this team, which was essentially everything, it took some time for the coaches to figure out the best line ups. For instance, it was only about the last 4 games or so of non-conf play that it became clear Fountain and Hayes needed to be starting. You're now seeing the coaches trying to figure out the lineups/rotations in SEC play. Two games in it has become clear Hannibal needs to be playing big minutes. They will continue to run out different rotations to see what works best in the next few games. Give McMahon credit. He's willing to deviate from the initial game plan if necessary.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:25 am to IndianInBR
Rothstein thinks so
Seth Davis thinks highly of us too
quote:
If LSU is good enough to beat Arkansas and play like that at Rupp Arena then it's good enough to play in the NCAA Tournament. So impressed with the Tigers.
Seth Davis thinks highly of us too
quote:
Didn't foul. Won anyway. Playing with fire Cal! Cats needed that win in the worst way. And LSU is legit.
This post was edited on 1/4/23 at 9:29 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:29 am to IndianInBR
Not this year. Maybe NIT. McMahon will have LSU in the tournament most years, once he gets a couple of recruiting classes under his belt.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:31 am to IndianInBR
If we finish above .500 in conference (MAYBE EVEN .500) we should be in. It would be hard to make it with a losing record in SEC since our out of conference schedule was not particularly strong. Pulling for these tigers! Really want to see Adam Miller get cooking like he was early season and trust me... its coming!
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:38 am to IndianInBR
Will have to wait and see. Can't look too far ahead. LSU was a projected as a 2 seed at this point last year.
LSU this season has played up and down to their opponents. But a 1-1 start to this brutal first half of the SEC season is already exceeding expectations. LSU's next two games are both very winnable and LSU needs to split them at worst.
LSU has had A&M's number the past few years as Will Wade was 10-0 vs the Aggies. But, new coach, new roster, and it's NEVER easy on the road in the SEC. Would not be the end of the world if LSU drops this game, but a win keeps LSU firmly in the bubble and might slip the team from 1st 4 out to last 4 in bracketology-wise.
Then LSU cannot afford to lose to Florida at home. Florida has a decent SOS and NET ranking considering their 7-6 record. But they're 0-6 against Quad 1 (0-5) and 2 (0-1) opponents with 6 of 7 wins coming against Quad 4 teams.
eta: Even with the loss, LSU passed the eye test against UK. Still counts as a loss, but the eye test matters, especially as a potential bubble team.
LSU this season has played up and down to their opponents. But a 1-1 start to this brutal first half of the SEC season is already exceeding expectations. LSU's next two games are both very winnable and LSU needs to split them at worst.
LSU has had A&M's number the past few years as Will Wade was 10-0 vs the Aggies. But, new coach, new roster, and it's NEVER easy on the road in the SEC. Would not be the end of the world if LSU drops this game, but a win keeps LSU firmly in the bubble and might slip the team from 1st 4 out to last 4 in bracketology-wise.
Then LSU cannot afford to lose to Florida at home. Florida has a decent SOS and NET ranking considering their 7-6 record. But they're 0-6 against Quad 1 (0-5) and 2 (0-1) opponents with 6 of 7 wins coming against Quad 4 teams.
eta: Even with the loss, LSU passed the eye test against UK. Still counts as a loss, but the eye test matters, especially as a potential bubble team.
This post was edited on 1/4/23 at 9:41 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:41 am to IndianInBR
LSU has an opportunity to make the tourney. The problem as I see it is that they are going to play everyone close. That's a double-edged sword. You beat an Arkansas at home which is great, but maybe you slip up at A&M on the road. With the margins being that thin all of the time, LSU is going to have to be nearly spotless in one possession games to pile enough conference wins to get in the NCAAt.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:43 am to IndianInBR
Prolly a bubble this year.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:59 am to IndianInBR
If we continue to shoot 44% on 3’s then yes we are. We have to make 8/10 to beat above average teams which is damn near the entire remaining schedule. Everything else is in place to win 8/9 games.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 10:21 am to IndianInBR
If you mean the NIT, probably.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 10:34 am to IndianInBR
We're not close to being in the NCAA tournament yet. Our NET is 79. If the season ended now, we are in the NIT. We have to win at least half of our remaining games, avoid bad losses, and hope that a few of the wins are "good ones" to increase our NET rating before the selection day. Time will tell.
Personally, I think we are a mid to high seeded NIT team rather than a low seeded NCAA team. I would give a 20% probability for a NCAA berth, 75% probability for a NIT berth, and 5% probability for no tournament berth (if injuries riddle the team).
Personally, I think we are a mid to high seeded NIT team rather than a low seeded NCAA team. I would give a 20% probability for a NCAA berth, 75% probability for a NIT berth, and 5% probability for no tournament berth (if injuries riddle the team).
Posted on 1/4/23 at 11:01 am to IndianInBR
Obviously they played a really weak OOC schedule, but Wake Forrest is starting to look like a solid win after the beat both Duke and VT. Kansas State also just beat Texas and is 13-1 so definitely not a bad loss.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 11:16 am to IndianInBR
I would be disappointed if we did not make the dance
Posted on 1/4/23 at 11:34 am to IndianInBR
I’d put money on it. KState loss is a wash and they’re looking great. We’ll have a good enough record with a few signature wins.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 12:18 pm to IndianInBR
quote:
ough loss last night but what I saw was very encouraging. We should be favored in most of our home games and the bottom half of the SEC is beatable!
We were picked to finish 8th in the SEC at media days and I think after seeing and reading about the other SEC teams that's probably pretty accurate IMHO as to where we are talent-wise relative to the rest of the conference.
The would probably be akin to about 8 wins if it holds true. I would think we'd need at least 9 wins and with the poor pre-conference SOS probably 10 to get in. I see us as a bubble team right now.
I do think CMM is finding a bit more about his squad and who he needs to play more and what combinations to give us our best shot in SEC play. Let's hope that gets us the extra win or two we need.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 12:36 pm to IndianInBR
All the road games will be a serious challenge. I see that Aggies are currently favored v LSU on Saturday, and A&M is certainly not any great shakes this season.
Also the big guns like Tennessee and Auburn will be hard to beat anywhere.
Also the big guns like Tennessee and Auburn will be hard to beat anywhere.
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