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Have we discussed the Milkshake theory? It appears to be happening.

Posted on 9/28/22 at 9:44 pm
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19633 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 9:44 pm
Dollar soars and everything else tanks


Not sure the outcome or even if it is bad for the dollar but it appears to be happening. Go look at a currency chart for the past year.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80805 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:04 pm to
I have followed a few people suggesting this Theory earlier in 2022. I kind of wrote it off but the thought has popped back up in my mind lately
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37743 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:07 pm to
LINK

As usual, I'm leading the blind around here.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36148 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:10 pm to
Johnson is still of the opinion that the effect will continue into 2023
Posted by Shankopotomus
Social Distanced
Member since Feb 2009
21057 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:23 pm to
Oky well it’s obvious he fricking nailed his thesis. No question. And as it continues , days like today where the BOE had to resume QE shows how truly
Strong the Dollar milkshake really is.

CHART!
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19633 posts
Posted on 9/28/22 at 10:31 pm to
So what does it mean? How do we take advantage of it?
Posted by HYDRebs
Houston
Member since Sep 2014
1243 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 12:14 am to
Well if you want to take those overseas trips you’ve always wanted too now is a good time as the dollar will go farther.

Essentially you should see an increase in imports and a decrease in exports
Posted by Asharad
Tiamat
Member since Dec 2010
5725 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 12:15 am to
quote:

Dollar soars and everything else tanks
It's not some giant revelation. All other currencies are measured against USD. If the USD converts to more Euros, inversely Euros convert to fewer USD.

Posted by thegreatboudini
Member since Oct 2008
6461 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 6:20 am to
quote:




Tell me what I should do with this information like I buy Olde English and lotto tickets after I cash my check at the local piggly wiggly every Friday.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85192 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 6:59 am to
Remember when everyone was convinced that the dollar would be destroyed and worthless?
Posted by Lone Wolf McQuade
Member since Sep 2022
207 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:33 am to
quote:

the dollar would be destroyed and worthless?


So my dollar is stronger and can buy more goods? Interesting.
Posted by BestBanker
Member since Nov 2011
17494 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:40 am to
Thanks for linking your post.

Watched the cliffs version, and the gentleman intimated the need for a "hedge", with no indication of the hedge move.

Anyone have ideas? Is it precious metals? Pooka shells?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11221 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:43 am to
quote:

Oky well it’s obvious he fricking nailed his thesis


That's because he understands the monetary system. There are very few people that do and they don't get lots of airtime with the printing money crowd because it's basically a polar opposite view. It's present day reality versus the end game. Most people can't differentiate the scenarios.

Good luck to the HODL crowd when that flows through corporate earnings
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
17106 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:21 am to
Posted by turkish
Member since Aug 2016
1799 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:30 am to
So does this imply we haven’t printed too much money?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11221 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:39 am to
quote:

So does this imply we haven’t printed too much money?



The Federal Reserve printed exactly $0.00 since QE1
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
5586 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:16 am to
The issue I see is that the dollar has appreciated so much, 12.5% against the Yuan since the spring, that when the Fed starts to get inflation under control the dollar will weaken, which will cause inflation to rise again.

A Fed study found that every 1% rise in the dollar causes a 0.3% drop in non-petroleum imports. So a 12.5% drop in the dollar will add 3.75% to shite we buy. That could be offset a little by companies not experiencing such drastic currency exchange losses but probably not much.
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11221 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:34 am to
The cost of living adjustments are basically permanent because we haven’t appropriately utilized anti trust to keep market concentration low in our most important industries. Plus the addition of embedding government in those industries. That’s not a product of printing money. Calling away bad debt doesn’t fix those problems but it does make it worse without legislators legislating competently.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
424131 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:38 am to
quote:

As usual, I'm leading the blind around here.


quote:

This is why the whole "reserve currency" fears are kind of bullshite. There is not a close #2 in competition with USD.

At this point, if the USD fails, it's more likely that the world economies all collapse and no currency could be a reserve currency than the USD could be replaced.

Glad I didn't say something dumb in that thread

I compared the USD to Jameis Winston on the Saints earlier this morning. It's very flawed but the best the world has.
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 9:39 am
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80805 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:47 am to
quote:

I compared the USD to Jameis Winston on the Saints earlier this morning. It's very flawed but the best the world has.

Dalton cannot be worse than Winston IMO
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