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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:02 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:02 am to rds dc
Based on cone shown on WDSU just now, it Looks like a slight western move.
Now baldwin county in the far western edge of cone
Now baldwin county in the far western edge of cone
This post was edited on 9/25/22 at 9:05 am
1
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:12 am to tgrbaitn08
I'm not heading to Destin 
. And I explained why (I hope) people are asking.
. And I explained why (I hope) people are asking.Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:26 am to SlidellCajun
Fwiw, wdsu saying euro showing Tampa and GFS showing @ panama city so they’re waiting on these 2 models to get more conversion.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:26 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Fwiw, wdsu saying euro showing Tampa and GFS showing @ panama city so they’re waiting on these 2 models to get more conversion.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:32 am to LegendInMyMind
I'm 30 minutes east of Tampa. Don't wish harm on anyone else, but keep shifting west, Ian.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:39 am to sicboy
quote:
I'm 30 minutes east of Tampa. Don't wish harm on anyone else, but keep shifting west, Ian.
Translation = I don’t want it to be my problem. Others can deal with it but I will hope the best for them even though me hoping will not change anything.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:40 am to sicboy
I'm 30 minutes north of Tampa. The population density of Tampa Bay is much higher than any other potential landfall. Everyone thinking logically should hope for a westward shift.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:42 am to PeteRose
quote:
Translation = I don’t want it to be my problem. Others can deal with it
Is anyone hoping the hurricane comes their direction?
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:43 am to BananaManCan
quote:
The longer it stays disorganized the more westerly the track becomes or what?
Euro shows a weaker system crossing over Cuba and the GFS has a stronger system farther west. However, over the last 3 runs the GFS has trended weaker, faster, and eastward.
If we look at an area avg sounding from the 06z GFS, we can see one reason that this might be happening. A deeper system will feel the steering in the red box more and a weaker system the green box. A deeper system will have more of a NW component to movement and a weaker more of a nothern one.
Then down the road a bit, the more eastward the system gets the more it will feel the influence of the trough, and the more likely it is to get picked up and pulled NE. However, the strength and timing of the trough also plays a role, so this is overly simplified but does give us a hint that a stronger system probably takes a more western track.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:45 am to PeteRose
Find me a post of someone saying 'it can keep coming this way, I'm good".
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:47 am to sicboy
quote:
Find me a post of someone saying 'it can keep coming this way, I'm good".
Pete Rose ready to take one for the team here.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:49 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
get more conversion.
Wtf
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:50 am to East Coast Band
quote:
Is anyone hoping the hurricane comes their direction
We’re on a message board where people tell each other to die in a fire, post WOWYHI threads, and where everyone is subject to being antagonized, demoralized, and if you’re female, objectified.
But wishing your house doesn’t get destroyed by a hurricane is a bridge too far apparently.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 9:54 am to boxcarbarney
quote:
We’re on a message board where people tell each other to die in a fire, post WOWYHI threads, and where everyone is subject to being antagonized, demoralized, and if you’re female, objectified.
But wishing your house doesn’t get destroyed by a hurricane is a bridge too far apparently.
Sounds like some soyboy cuck shite...
But yeah, TD has never exactly been consistent in choosing the targets of its derision
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:01 am to Joshjrn
Not sure why anyone lives in a hurricane zone or an earthquake area.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:03 am to Aubie Spr96
quote:
Not sure why anyone lives in a hurricane zone or an earthquake area.
Or a wildfire or blizzard areas. What about a flash flood area? Or avalanche areas!!
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:03 am to Aubie Spr96
That settles it. Everyone move to Omaha. Oh, wait tornadoes.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:04 am to Legion of Doom
quote:
Omaha.
I hear it has a good Cinnabon at the mall with a nice manager.
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:05 am to rds dc
So how west are we talking rds?
Posted on 9/25/22 at 10:06 am to Aubie Spr96
quote:
Not sure why anyone lives in a hurricane zone or an earthquake area.
Where do you live?
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