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re: If UGA flames out in their first game, does that sour a potential run-heavy offense?

Posted on 12/10/21 at 8:55 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 8:55 am to
quote:

. It still goes that you have to have a very good QB to be successful no matter if you are biased to the run or the pass.

This is a very good point. And the best way to get top QB talent is a top shelf passing scheme and cutting edge offense. Just look at OU the past 6ish years.
Posted by misey94
Hernando, MS
Member since Jan 2007
28619 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 8:56 am to
quote:

It seems that Denbrock is the guy for OC and he runs a very run-heavy offense.


Yep, this entire post isn’t based on the media’s and Rant’s groupthink pick. Again.

As for running a balanced offense, “pass-first” or “run-first” is meaningless unless you are talking about Air Raid offenses on one side or Michigan and UCLA on the other. It’s being able to run or pass reliably and efficiently out of any formation that you run, on any down, and from any location on the field. Any offense reliant on doing one thing “first” is susceptible to predictability and to being shut down by a great defense with the right gameplan.

This is such a straw man argument in most respects. Most of the posters here would likely consider Ole Miss’ offense to be pass-first, yet they have over 100 more rushing attempts than passing attempts on the season. I would consider them to be a balanced offense that can attack you and create big plays equally either way, and their per game avg yardage, first down, and TD numbers show that. The formations they run out of, personnel they use, and the tempo they play at don’t make them “pass-first” and the numbers all bear that out. It’s a modern offense, but it is a BALANCED offense in every respect.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59992 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 8:57 am to
quote:

think yall do not relize that Lsu's 2019 offense was pretty balanced 53/47 pas to run ratio


How much of that running was in garbage time/against less opponents?
Posted by Mr LSU2001
lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
465 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:00 am to
quote:

It makes a huge difference when you pose a credible passing threat, which LSU did.


You are correct. But most balanced offenses do pose that same threat. Now what Lsu offense had that made it more special was multiple home run threats. Which is why it will go down as one of the greatest of all time.
But you don't have that every year.
Posted by misey94
Hernando, MS
Member since Jan 2007
28619 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:02 am to
quote:

You won't beat Bama with an "establish the run!" Attitude. That's a dead era. Time to move on. Somehow after 2019 people still cling to this mindset.


Forget about “establishing the run.” You HAVE to be able to run the football when needed. If you can’t, then you are State and I more. All it takes is the right gameplan and a good pass rush to completely take you out of your rhythm.

You bring up Bama here, which is pretty hilarious. LSU got up on Bama passing the ball in the first half in 2019, but go back and watch how we WON the game. When Bama got stops and caught up, CEH closed it out with the final TD and the final first down.

You HAVE to be able to run the football when it matters. You HAVE to have balance.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:04 am to
quote:

As for running a balanced offense, “pass-first” or “run-first” is meaningless unless you are talking about Air Raid offenses on one side or Michigan and UCLA on the other.

Not true. Your primary threat establishes coverages. You want the D to be in 2 deep as their primary set and that happens when your philosophy threatens the pass primarily.

If they stay with 2 deep all day you can run all day, so by just looking at runs v pass it seems "run heavy" but that's not what this discussion is about. Again, passing to set up the run.
Posted by dagrippa
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
11833 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:05 am to
Kirby is a great recruiter but a shite head coach....until things change.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:06 am to
quote:

Forget about “establishing the run.” You HAVE to be able to run the football when needed.

Again, passing as a primary threat sets up the most efficient running game. The point of a passing threat is to open up the run.
Posted by Mr LSU2001
lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
465 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:09 am to
quote:

How much of that running was in garbage time/against less opponents?


That argument can be made for any team.Last i checked Cincy Blew out a few teams. But I surely remember CEH running the ball in crunch time against bama florida and everyone.
Posted by 1999
Where I be
Member since Oct 2009
31407 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:09 am to
I’m still mystified that Kirby thinks he can win a MNC with Stetson Bennett.
Posted by misey94
Hernando, MS
Member since Jan 2007
28619 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:12 am to
quote:

If they stay with 2 deep all day you can run all day, so by just looking at runs v pass it seems "run heavy" but that's not what this discussion is about. Again, passing to set up the run.


A game called within 15 or so plays either way between passes and runs (at least while the game is competitive) executed effectively out of the right formations can keep a defense in base with at least one Safety back for an entire game.
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
15585 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:13 am to
quote:

ultimate failure that was 2011


Um, no. Until 2019, 2011 was the greatest season in LSU history and one of the best in CFB. I don’t need to remind you of the resume. Stop caring about the silly espn mulligan.
Posted by Martin Blank
Member since Sep 2005
397 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:14 am to
What’s your definition of “passing as a primary threat” in terms of play call percentage. Are you advocating 55/45 pass? 55/45 run?

This is a good discussion, but it gets a lot less vague if we have some numbers that we can then compare to some real offenses.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:15 am to
We don't know if Denbrock is the hire but he's a bad hire if it does happen. This board justifying him is ignorant. They shite on Jimbo Fisher's scheme but praise Denbrock? The Denbrock scheme may even be worse. He's overrated with inflated numbers with how good Cinc defense has been. He runs 3 TE sets that LSU can't even put 1 true TE out there for right now.

Run first hasn't been proven it can work in modern NCAA yet. No school who has won the NC the past decade has been on a run heavy first offense to set the pass up. The general theme for winning modern NCAA championships is athletic QBs with a lit offense pass usually sets the run up or the run keeps the pass respected.

So to answer your question until someone wins a NC that shows older school NCAA still works someone like Denbrock isn't getting you to the championship game with trophies on your shelf.
This post was edited on 12/10/21 at 9:16 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Until 2019, 2011 was the greatest season in LSU history

We didn't win a natty so no.

That's why it was ultimately a failure
This post was edited on 12/10/21 at 9:19 am
Posted by Prosecuted Collins
The Farm
Member since Sep 2003
6841 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:18 am to
All of that may be true, but you left out the most important part of the passing game. An accurate QB with good pocket awareness.

They will hide any perceived slight disadvantage in scheme. A good QB in a balanced scheme has proven to be a championship formula. Regardless of whether “it’s run first”.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
62982 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:19 am to
quote:

What’s your definition of “passing as a primary threat” in terms of play call percentage. Are you advocating 55/45 pass? 55/45 run?


That means nothing. Its about space and getting high skilled players into space and giving the QB space to throw. In college passing the quickest way to score and the most effective way to ensure you have a chance to win any game. You can never truly be out of a game if you have a good passing attack.


When you pose a credible threat through the air you force teams to back off the line of scrimmage.

LSU lost to Bama for 8 straight times because they rarely ever posed any threat through the air. Bama stacks the line and LSU runs square into it because they had no passing threat at all.


You have to take what the defense gives you. The play call percentage doesn't take into account call changes based on coverage. Again, with a good passing attack the running opportunities become more prevalent
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
452011 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:20 am to
quote:

All of that may be true, but you left out the most important part of the passing game. An accurate QB with good pocket awareness.

They will hide any perceived slight disadvantage in scheme. A good QB in a balanced scheme has proven to be a championship formula. Regardless of whether “it’s run first”.

Yeah this was brought up.

The best way to get these guys is an established, elite offense. See: OU
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
15585 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:22 am to
quote:

We didn't win a natty so no. That's why it was ultimately a failure


Natty should have been claimed after the SECCG like the old days. Nothing left to prove. You’re barking up the wrong tree putting down that team; couldn’t be beat on the first try.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 9:22 am to
Are you serious? LSU didn't pass the 50 yard line until what, the 4th quarter and you cite the 2011 team that got destroyed in the NC game?

They tried to run it all game and got embarrassed. Run heavy offenses are easier for defenses to figure out especially more traditional ones like that. You have modern NCAA now that runs things like slow mesh RPOs that put insane pressure on defenses to stay disciplined and read.
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