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re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

Posted on 8/6/24 at 1:40 pm to
Posted by Sus-Scrofa
Member since Feb 2013
9700 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

If he dies before they are released, which he will, they are not getting released posthumously. He's already said that his works die with him. He's not written enough to release anything and he's not allowing anyone else to finish his story.


I bet everyone dollar he’s sitting on a fire and blood style book ending the series in glorified cliff note form. Probably has it in writing for it to be released upon his likely sudden death.

“If you are reading this, I was unable to finish the series as I wanted, so here you go.”
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
6694 posts
Posted on 8/6/24 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

april 2032


I’ll be surprised if he lives that long.
Posted by CottonWasKing
4,8,15,16,23,42
Member since Jun 2011
29178 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

I bet everyone dollar he’s sitting on a fire and blood style book ending the series in glorified cliff note form. Probably has it in writing for it to be released upon his likely sudden death.



Not happening Martin has said his whole career that he just doesn’t write like that. He doesn’t work off of outlines. He has a vague idea of what point he wants to get to and figures it out as he goes along. Which is a big reason he hasn’t finished them. He doesn’t know how to get from where he’s at to where he’s going.
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 8/20/24 at 9:08 am to
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
123554 posts
Posted on 8/20/24 at 9:10 am to
I wonder if he realizes he could just write them, and then they would be finished.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
103884 posts
Posted on 8/21/24 at 8:41 am to
He does realize he’s the writer and can in fact change what he wants to change?

I rarely hate writers but I fricking loathe him at this point.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
117998 posts
Posted on 9/2/24 at 10:01 am to
quote:

He does realize he’s the writer and can in fact change what he wants to change?

I rarely hate writers but I fricking loathe him at this point.


He’s such a fat worthless turd. How about he hands it off to a ghostwriter to finish it at this point? But no he’s a selfish a-hole that goes on numerous pizza crawls.
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 3:11 pm to
He released the blog and then quickly took it down. From what I read, he was criticizing the changes to Blood and Cheese. Mentioned something about adding Aegon’s missing kid in season 3, but idk how since he got his junk burned off

ETA: found an archive of the blog post, posted it below
This post was edited on 9/4/24 at 3:51 pm
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Back in July, I promised you some further thoughts about Blood and Cheese… and Maelor the Missing… after my commentary on the first two episodes of HotD season 2, “A Son for a Son” and “Rhaenyra the Cruel.”

Those were terrific episodes: well written, well directed, powerfully acted. A great way to kick off the new season. Fans and critics alike seemed to agree. There was only one aspect of the episodes that drew significant criticism: the handling of Blood and Cheese, and the death of Prince Jaehaerys. From the commentary I saw on line, opinion was split there. The readers of FIRE & BLOOD found the sequence underwhelming, a disappointment, watered down from what they were expecting. Viewers who had not read the book had no such problems. Most of them found the sequence a real gut-punch, tragic, horrifying, nightmarish, etc. Some reported being reduced to tears.


quote:

I found myself agreeing with both sides. In my book, Aegon and Helaena have three children, not two. The twins, Jaehaerys and Jaehaera, are six years old. They have a younger brother, Maelor, who is two. When Blood and Cheese break in on Helaena and the kids, they tell her they are debt collectors come to exact revenge for the death of Prince Lucerys: a son for a son. As Helaena has two sons, however, they demand that she choose which one should die. She resists and offers her own life instead, but the killers insist it has to be a son. If she does not name one, they will kill all three of the children. To save the life of the twins, Helaena names Maelor. But Blood kills the older boy, Jaehaerys, instead, while Cheese tells little Maelor that his mother wanted him dead. (Whether the boy is old enough to understand that is not at all certain).

That’s not how it happens on the show. There is no Maelor in HOUSE OF THE DRAGON, only the twins (both of whom look younger than six, but I am no sure judge of children’s ages, so I can’t be sure how old they are supposed to be). Blood can’t seem to tell the twins apart, so Helaena is asked to reveal which one is the boy. (You would think a glance up his PJs would reveal that, without involving the mother). Instead of offering her own life to save the kids, Helaena offers them a necklace. Blood and Cheese are not tempted. Blood saws Prince Jaehaerys’s head off. We are spared the sight of that; a sound effect suffices. (In the book, he lops the head off with a sword).
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

It is a bloody, brutal scene, no doubt. How not? An innocent child is being butchered in front of his mother. I still believe the scene in the book is stronger. The readers have the right of that. The two killers are crueler in the book. I thought the actors who played the killers on the show were excellent… but the characters are crueler, harder, and more frightening in FIRE & BLOOD. In the show, Blood is a gold cloak. In the book, he is a former gold cloak, stripped of his office for beating a woman to death. Book Blood is the sort of man who might think making a woman choose which of her sons should die is amusing, especially when they double down on the wanton cruelty by murdering the boy she tries to save. Book Cheese is worse too; he does not kick a dog, true, but he does not have a dog, and he’s the one who tells Maelor that his mom wants him head. I would also suggest that Helaena shows more courage, more strength in the book, by offering her own own life to save her son. Offering a piece of jewelry is just not the same.

As I saw it, the “Sophie’s Choice” aspect was the strongest part of the sequence, the darkest, the most visceral. I hated to lose that. And judging from the comments on line, most of the fans seemed to agree.


quote:

When Ryan Condal first told me what he meant to do, ages ago (back in 2022, might be) I argued against it, for all these reasons. I did not argue long, or with much heat, however. The change weakened the sequence, I felt, but only a bit. And Ryan had what seemed to be practical reasons for it; they did not want to deal with casting another child, especially a two-year old toddler. Kids that young will inevitably slow down production, and there would be budget implications. Budget was already an issue on HOUSE OF THE DRAGON, it made sense to save money wherever we could. Moreover, Ryan assured me that we were not losing Prince Maelor, simply postponing him. Queen Helaena could still give birth to him in season three, presumably after getting with child late in season two. That made sense to me, so I withdrew my objections and acquiesced to the change.

I still love the episode, and the Blood and Cheese sequence overall. Losing the “Helaena’s Choice” beat did weaken the scene, but not to any great degree. Only the book readers would even notice its absence; viewers who had never read FIRE & BLOOD would still find the scenes heart-rending. Maelor did not actually DO anything in the scene, after all.

How could he? He was only two years old. There is another aspect to the removal of the young princeling, however.
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

Those of you who hate spoilers should STOP READING HERE. Spoilers will follow, at least for the readers among you. If you have never read FIRE & BLOOD, maybe it does not matter, because all I am going to “spoil” here are things that happen in the book that may NEVER happen on the series. Starting with Maelor himself.

Sometime between the initial decision to remove Maelor, a big change was made. The prince’s birth was no longer just going to be pushed back to season 3. He was never going to be born at all. The younger son of Aegon and Helaena would never appear.


quote:

Most of you know about the Butterfly Effect, I assume.

Yes, there was a movie with that title a few years back. It’s a familiar concept in chaos theory as well. But most science fiction fans were first exposed to the idea in Ray Bradbury’s classic time travel story, “A Sound of Thunder,” wherein a time traveler from the present panics and crushes a butterfly while hunting a T-Rex. When he returns to his own time, he discovers that the world has changed in huge and frightening ways. One dead butterfly has rewritten history. The lesson being that change begets change, and even small and seemingly insignificant alterations to a timeline — or a story — can have a profound effect on all that follows.

Maelor is a two year old toddler in FIRE & BLOOD, but like our butterfly he has an impact on the story all out of proportion to his size. The readers among you may recall that when it appears that Rhaenyra and her blacks are about to capture King’s Landing, Queen Alicent becomes concerned for the safety of Helaena’s remaining children, and takes steps to save them by smuggling them out of the city. The task is given is two knights of the Kingsguard. Ser Willis Fell is commanded to deliver Princess Jaehaera to the Baratheons at Storm’s End, while Maelor is given over to Ser Rickard Thorne to be escorted across the Mander to the protection of the Hightower army on its way to King’s Landing.
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 9/4/24 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

Willis Fell delivers Jaehaera safely to the Baratheons at Storm’s End, but Ser Rickard fares less well. He and Maelor get as far as Bitterbridge, where he is revealed as a Kingsuard in a tavern called the Hogs Head. Once discovered, Ser Rickard fights bravely to protect his young charge and bring him to safety, but he does not even make it across the bridge before some crossbows bring him down, Prince Maelor is torn from his arms.. and then, sadly, ripped to pieces by the mob fighting over the boy and the huge reward that Rhaenyra has offered for his capture and return.

Will any of that appear on the show? Maybe… but I don’t see how. The butterflies would seem to prohibit it. You could perhaps make Ser Rickard’s ward be Jaehaera instead of Maelor, but Jaehaera can’t be killed, she has a huge role to play as Aegon’s next heir. Could maybe make Maelor a newborn instead of a two year old, but that would scramble up the timeline, which is a bit of a mess already. I have no idea what Ryan has planned — if indeed he has planned anything — but given Maelor’s absence from episode 2, the simplest way to proceed would be just to drop him entirely, lose the bit where Alicent tries to send the kids to safety, drop Rickard Thorne or send him with Willis Fell so Jaehaera has two guards.

quote:

From what I know, that seems to be what Ryan is doing here. It’s simplest, yes, and may make sense in terms of budgets and shooting schedules. But simpler is not better. The Bitterbridge scene has tension, suspense, action, bloodshed, a bit of heroism and a lot of tragedy. Rickard Thorne is a tertiary character at best, most viewers (as opposed to readers) will never know he is gone, since they never knew him at all… but I rather liked giving him his brief moment of heroism, a taste of the courage and loyalty of the Kingsguard, regardless of whether they are black or green.

The butterflies are not done with us yet, however. In the book, when word of Prince Maelor’s death and the grisly manner of his passing (pp. 505) reaches the Red Keep, that proves to be the thing that drives Queen Helaena to suicide. She could barely stand to look at Maelor, knowing that she chose him to die in the “Sophie’s Choice” scene… and now he is dead in truth, her words having come true. The grief and guilt are too much for her to bear.

In Ryan’s outline for season 3, Helaena still kills herself… for no particular reason. There is no fresh horror, no triggering event to overwhelm the fragile young queen.

And the final butterfly follows soon thereafter.

Queen Helaena, a sweet and gentle soul, is much beloved by the smallfolk of King’s Landing. Rhaenyra was not, so when rumors began to arise that Helaena did not kill herself, but rather was murdered at Rhaenyra’s command, the commons are quick to believe them. “That night King’s Landing rose in bloody riot,” I wrote on p. 506 of FIRE & BLOOD. It is the beginning of the end for Rhaenyra’s rule over the city, ultimately leading to the Storming of the Dragonpit and the rise of the Shepherd’s mob that drives Rhaenyra to flee the city and return to Dragonstone… and her death.

Maelor by himself means little. He is a small child, does not have a line of dialogue, does nothing of consequence but die… but where and when and how, that does matter. Losing Maelor weakened the end of the Blood and Cheese sequence, but it also cost us the Bitterbridge scene with all its horror and heroism, it undercut the motivation for Helaena’s suicide, and that in turn sent thousands into the streets and alleys, screaming for justice for their “murdered” queen. None of that is essential, I suppose… but all of it does serve a purpose, it all helps to tie the story lines together, so one thing follows another in a logical and convincing manner.

What will we offer the fans instead, once we’ve killed these butterflies? I have no idea. I do not recall that Ryan and I ever discussed this, back when he first told me they were pushing back on Aegon’s second son. Maelor himself is not essential…but if losing him means we also lose Bitterbridge, Helaena’s suicide, and the riots, well… that’s a considerable loss.

And there are larger and more toxic butterflies to come, if HOUSE OF THE DRAGON goes ahead with some of the changes being contemplated for seasons 3 and 4…

GRRM
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
24305 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 11:54 am to
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
38124 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

Here's what Song of Ice and Fire actually wants to be, and why George can't finish it.

The Song of Ice and Fire isn't actually supposed to be dark, Machiavellian, hopeless, or a subversion of Tolkien at all.

It's just supposed to start that way.

The details may be complex, but the formula is simple. Low-fantasy version of the British Isles, torn apart by multi-sided Machiavellian power struggle, loosely based on the War of the Roses.

Things are bad because of Machiavellian power struggle.

In the background, subtle hints of external, magical, otherworldly threat. Warring factions scoff and ignore it as first. Enter the high-fantasy tropes; prophesied hero emerges to unite the morally-grey factions into an unambiguously-good pro-civilization force to confront and defeat the unambiguously-evil threat to all life.

Full transition, in the end, to epic Tolkienesque high fantasy, played straight rather than subverted.

Heroism triumphant, humanity triumphant, realm unified in peace and prosperity.

Roll credits.

Were the story to be completed thus, completed as it wants to be completed, as it yearns to be completed, every dark, gritty, Machiavellian moment would be fully justified.

Every chapter and scene filled with thugs and villains and no heroes at all would be fully justified.

Because they would merely serve to emphasize the rarity of heroes, and the need for them.

Because they would make the arrival of a true hero that much more satisfying when, late but not too late, he arrived.

ASOIAF doesn't really want to be a subversion of Tolkien at all. It wants to be a path out of darkness and into light. It wants to be a study in how Tolkien is deeply relevant, even to a gritty, morally grey world.

This is what George knows it needs to be.

But George cannot write it.

Why?

Because he's a socialist. And a boomer.

Socialism's motivational core is envy, and its one underlying rule is "thou shalt not be better than me".

The boomer's single guiding principle is "whatever makes me feel pleasure right now is good, and whatever makes me feel bad right now is evil".

Take these together, and you get someone who has a real problem with heroes. Heroes are, by definition, the best of us, at least on some dimension, and if your underlying motivation is envy, standing next to one is gonna make you feel bad.

This means that socialists, boomers, and socialist boomers tend not to want to believe in heroes and heroism.

They want to convince themselves that anything which appears good is secretly evil, actually, and that anyone who makes them feel or look bad is obviously evil because reasons.

So when they see a hero, they tend to call him a fascist.

(Of course, when they see a fascist, they also call him a fascist, but that's just coincidence, because they'll call anything fascist... random passers-by, buildings, rocks, trees, squirrels, anything.)

Because they want to feel morally superior to him.

The only way they can admit that someone has a moral compass at all is if they can feel superior to him in some other way, usually by portraying them as naive, and hence doomed to failure because he is not empowered by cynicism and selfishness, to pursue the most efficient path to... whatever.

So if ol'George thinks that everyone who appears good is either secretly evil, or openly stupid, then writing a character with heroic impulses is gonna be tough, and writing about how they succeed... impossible.

This is why George can write characters with noble motives (Jon Snow, Eddard Stark, etc), but he keeps making them fail.

You see, in George's world, heroism must be a sham or a weakness, because then George's own bad character is wisdom and enlightenment, instead of just lack of moral virtue.

If heroes are all frauds or suckers, then George is being smart, because he has seen through the whole heroism thing.

If heroes are real, and they do sometimes succeed, and they do make the world better for everyone, then George is just a fat, lazy, cynical old man who doesn't wanna finish his art for the sake of art or integrity, because he only ever wanted money, and now he has more than he knows what to do with.

In order to finish the story, George would need to have an awakening of virtue.

He would first have to develop a sense of integrity — a desire to fulfill his promises, even when no one can or will punish him for not doing so.

He would then have to develop a sense of humility — because to write a better person than he is, he would have to admit to himself that there is such a thing, that people can be better, and that trying to be better is an actual worthy goal, not just the act of falling for a con game run to control you.

The longer someone goes without admitting to their faults, the harder those faults are to admit to, because they have been more deeply invested in.

And this means he would also have to develop the courage to admit to himself that he is, in fact, a fat lazy cynical old coward, and that Tolkien, whom he envies and despises, was the far better man all along.
Posted by Esquire
Chiraq
Member since Apr 2014
13416 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:39 pm to
If HBO had any balls, they would release a statement referencing his blog post and how that’s probably more words than he has written for Winds since covid started.
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 3:20 pm
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
6694 posts
Posted on 9/6/24 at 7:24 am to
Not a bad take but o think being a boomer has nothing to do with it.

The other stuff makes sense
Posted by DestrehanTiger
Houston, TX by way of Louisiana
Member since Nov 2005
12785 posts
Posted on 9/6/24 at 9:07 am to
I think he's putting way too much thought into it. GRRM has more money than his kids will know what to do with (if he has kids). He is human just like us. Most of us knock out the simple things in our day while putting off the difficult ones. Finishing this epic that he has created is a daunting task. It's just way easier to put it off while making more money every year.
Posted by Sam Quint
Member since Sep 2022
6921 posts
Posted on 9/6/24 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Not a bad take but o think being a boomer has nothing to do with it.

Agreed
quote:

Because he's a socialist. And a boomer. Socialism's motivational core is envy, and its one underlying rule is "thou shalt not be better than me".

The boomer's single guiding principle is "whatever makes me feel pleasure right now is good, and whatever makes me feel bad right now is evil".

I would submit that these are both just traits of socialists, and the fact that he is a boomer is incidental to the fact that he is a socialist.

But in general, that piece is a pretty good take on the situation.

Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
103884 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:24 pm to
Posted by DestrehanTiger
Houston, TX by way of Louisiana
Member since Nov 2005
12785 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:48 pm to
Does he not understand that this just pisses people off at this point? Nobody cares what is preventing you from writing the books. We just want the damn books finished. He'd be way better off assuming that we already know why he hasn't finished.
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