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Started By
Message
re: Wisconsin flipped to Harris on Polymarket last night
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:47 am to REBEL5 AC
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:47 am to REBEL5 AC
quote:yes when I went to sleep. Don’t remind me
Trump was like -1600 in live betting during the election last year.
I bet Trump to win when he was the underdog before the election. When I went to bed election night he had it in the bag (anyone who understands odds understands -1600 means you are a huge heavy favorite and the underdog is toast) yet somehow I wake up to finding out not only did I lose huge bags but we lost the country. Biggest BS moment of my life so far was what happened in the middle of the night that election night in 2020
0
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:48 am to Jon Ham
If I'm a bookie, I may like this back and forth on the betting trends. Equalize out the bets through changing odds and point spreads so as not to give one side too much of a payout.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:49 am to Bottom9
quote:he’s outperformed the polls in aggregate by 5-7 points the last 2 elections. Not sure what makes this one any different and Trump is polling 5 points better than he was in the last election! by all metrics it should be a blowout
It is gonna be really funny laughing at CNN when Trump overperforms there by 7 points.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:51 am to Sweep Da Leg
Even Mark Halperin said +6 is bullshite and nobody believes that
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:52 am to Jon Ham
Why is Wisconsin so cucked?
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:52 am to Jon Ham
Still wearing your DeSantis gear?
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:53 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:Maybe pollsters have adjusted to account for hidden Trump support.
. Not sure what makes this one any different
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:53 am to Jon Ham
On all these daily betting market threads, y’all need to remember that by design there is going to be day to day variability as money gets put in on both sides.
Straight lines over time in these markets would be the odd thing, not day to day variability.
Straight lines over time in these markets would be the odd thing, not day to day variability.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:53 am to Riverside
Isn’t he killing it in early voting in Wisconsin? What are they basing this on?
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:53 am to joshua2571
Yea, I think the +6 poll is a CNN ploy to get the Democrat vote out.
It is so far and away outside the norm for polling this season.
It is so far and away outside the norm for polling this season.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:54 am to Jake88
Don’t forget the polls in Wisconsin showed Ron Johnson losing in 2022. It is a hard state to poll.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:55 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Isn’t he killing it in early voting in Wisconsin? What are they basing this on?
one dishonest poll to move the average
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:55 am to Sweep Da Leg
It’s a textbook push poll.
They don’t release the skew, adjust to get their desired result and package it with sympathetic media to drive ratings and push their narrative.
They don’t release the skew, adjust to get their desired result and package it with sympathetic media to drive ratings and push their narrative.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:58 am to Jon Ham
Good lord ur a little bitch. Ran off to DU after the primary now you run to post that? Hahaha
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:58 am to Jon Ham
quote:
For those who think Trump is making a play for VA, it’s 86-16 Harris.
horse shite, AND somebody can't count
stop it
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:59 am to Perfect Circle
quote:
Trump will lose Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. The Democratic regimes in these states, and the apparatus for election irregularities were never removed.
I don't understand this board's confidence on Trump winning.
This is what I'm afraid of. When Kamala has huge leads in women in WI and likely in PA and MI, that's a lot to overcome with men. I saw +16 with women in WI. The political machines and physical machines will likely pull it out for the Dem. I just pray it doesn't happen and the cheating is exposed.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 8:00 am to BobBoucher
quote:
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling. Those changes are hourly.
Betting is nothing more than odds from the amount of money being wagered.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 8:03 am to stout
stop reading the OP
pollsters try to make people think voting is hopeless, because they don't want conservatives voting, so they make shite up
pollsters try to make people think voting is hopeless, because they don't want conservatives voting, so they make shite up
Posted on 11/1/24 at 8:04 am to dallastiger55
quote:
What are they basing this on?
they're basing it on lies and propaganda
Posted on 11/1/24 at 8:08 am to jbdawgs03
quote:
Good lord ur a little bitch. Ran off to DU after the primary now you run to post that? Hahaha
yup
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