Where did the 60K death estimate come from?

Did Fauci mention this number a couple weeks ago in one of the press conferences?

The IMHE model that started at 2.2 million, then 200K, then 80K, then 60K.

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No chance of us coming in under that number at this point

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The revised model after assessing the initial effects of social distancing.

Of course, that was also before the whole "death from COVID" got changed to "death with COVID" controversy, although I think the padding there might be a little overblown - I doubt much past 10% or so.

I think the new number is ~70k to 75k for this initial phase, and under 100k by the end of August/September.

That would put us a little under the low estimate of full mitigation.

Toss out NYC & NJ and the number is very feasible.

With these numbers, maybe we should shut down the country every year during Flu season.

Had a friend die two weeks ago, had Lukemia for over two years, you guessed it , he died of Covid19.

If you take out Heart attacks, Strokes, and Cancer deaths. These numbers would be much lower.

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Of course, that was also before the whole "death from COVID" got changed to "death with COVID" controversy, although I think the padding there might be a little overblown - I doubt much past 10% or so.

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Could be 50% or more "with COVID". Blatant politics. Some docs don't care, and some are furious about the CDC using the docs to cook the books.

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With these numbers, maybe we should shut down the country every year during Flu season. Had a friend die two weeks ago, had Lukemia for over two years, you guessed it , he died of Covid19. If you take out Heart attacks, Strokes, and Cancer deaths. These numbers would be much lower.

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My wife's grandmother passed this morning. She was almost 91 and had pancreatic cancer that had spread everywhere. We haven't had a Covid death in our county. I'm interested to see if she's counted as one. If so, all these numbers are bullshite.

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My wife's grandmother passed this morning. She was almost 91 and had pancreatic cancer that had spread everywhere. We haven't had a Covid death in our county. I'm interested to see if she's counted as one. If so, all these numbers are bullshite.

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Yea, it's amazing that elderly people with a normal death rate of over 12% are dying from a virus with a death rate of about 5% if you don't count all the anti-body testing extrapolated to the general population. People over 65 makeup roughly 80% of the Covid-19 deaths. Only 3 children have died so far from the Coronavirus. Meanwhile over 1800 children died from the Swine Flue aka H1V1 in 2009.

There are numerous stories, about the cause of deaths in many situations, every death is Covid19, it makes much more $$$$$$ for the hospitals.