re: What the heck, Gavin Newsom Leads JD Vance for First Time in Tracking Poll

quote:

---

There is no way he is leading...

---

I don't know why you think that.

Joe Biden was possibly the most corrupt POTUS ever. Leftist populists don't care about that.

quote:

---

Maybe the fact that all polls are
biased in favor of Democrats

Every time. You cheated in the Covid Election.

You know it. You won’t ever admit it
but you know it.

---

i didn't cheat
nor did anyone else
you're making things up/buying into a carefully crafted narrative aimed at gullible people like yourself
6 years later - zero proof of this trump scam

BIGDATAPOLL is an Amazon partner, AI driven poll. 9 of the last 10 polls done, showed big leaps for Democrats.

quote:

---

The Public Polling Project conducted by BIG DATA POLL interviews no less than 2,000 registered voters nationwide. Results are weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography. The overall sampling error ranges from a low of ±1.7% to a high ±2.1% sample (n) depending at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher.

All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded

---

Instills so much confidence

quote:

---

This far out, the polls are garbage.

---

Agree. It’s just a loosely formed popularity contest right now. Given the political dynamics right now, I think we will be surprised with two candidates on both sides that weren’t the obvious primary winners.

quote:

---

link?

---

You have 35 posts today alone

95% are crying about Trump

quote:

---

That's actually a myth.

---

If you want to call the strict radio-versus-TV dichotomy a myth, fine. It’s definitely been simplified over time. Contemporary polling was limited and messy, and there wasn’t some pristine, nationally representative split showing “radio = Nixon, TV = Kennedy,” and there still isn’t.

But surveys and anecdotal reporting at the time did claim radio listeners leaned Nixon while television viewers leaned Kennedy, even if the results weren't universally consistent. Campaign staff from Nixon’s side and Nixon himself, acknowledged that the optics hurt him.

The broader point stands: in modern presidential politics, delivery is as important, if not more so, than substance, whether we like it or not.

quote:

---

But surveys and anecdotal reporting at the time did claim radio listeners leaned Nixon while television viewers leaned Kennedy,

---

Nope.

The myth is based on one poll done by Sindlinger & Company.

2,100 respondents, but only 282 listened on radio and of those, only 178 gave an opinion as to who won the debate. 49% of radio listeners did say they thought Nixon won as opposed to 29% for Kennedy, but in addition to the small sample size (only 8% of the total pool of respondents), the other half of the claim just isn't true.

30% of the t.v. watchers thought Kennedy won and 29% thought Nixon won...it was a tie for the t.v. watchers.

People repeat this myth because it was hyped up in a book by Theodore H. White, "The Making of the President." None of the newspaper responses to the debate at the time made any reference to t.v. vs radio.

quote:

---

Newscum is probably the best debate candidate on either side for years. I can't stand the bastard but he does his homework and will "hit you where you ain't".

---

For all the money in the world, you couldn't convince me to step on a debate stage with Newsom's record and stand across from JD Vance with millions of people watching.

quote:

---

For all the money in the world, you couldn't convince me to step on a debate stage with Newsom's record and stand across from JD Vance with millions of people watching.

---

And JD will be defending 4 years of Donald Trump. Say what you will, but TDS is real.

We are six months out from meaningful polls. The Trump/Bessent strategy was to spend political capital during the first year, then recover during the second year when windfall tax rebates roar in due to the tax cuts. Maybe it won’t come in time for the midterms, and maybe it won’t materialize at all, but as long as the republicans hold the Senate, if the economic boom happens by early 2028 it will be soon enough.