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What makes these Trump 2020 landslide predictions more accurate than the 2018 midterms?
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:19 pm
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:19 pm
Back in 2018, there were a considerable number of people who were predicting a big Republican win in the 2018 midterms:
LINK /
LINK /
So - what makes people so sure that 2020 won't have a deflating outcome like 2018 did?
LINK /
quote:
Rs gain house seats
Rs gain senate seats
Red Wave
quote:
Orange wave
quote:
Reps pick up 14 seats in House
quote:
Red Wave. Dem's aren't picking up a THING.
quote:
Republicans hold the House by 10.
quote:
Rs hold House
quote:
Red Tidal Wave all across America.....
LINK /
quote:
RED WAVE COMMENCE!!!!
quote:
ORANGE WAVE
quote:
I’m here for the wave...The RED WAVE
So - what makes people so sure that 2020 won't have a deflating outcome like 2018 did?
21
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:20 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
Trump is on the ballot in 2020. He wasn’t in 2018
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:20 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
every administration in history has gotten massacred in first mid term, LOW IQ simp post
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:25 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:Republicans did gain in the Senate. They had an excellent night as far as that was concerned.
Rs gain senate seats
In fact, Trump was only the third president in 100 years to gain senate seats in a midterm.
This post was edited on 10/17/20 at 3:28 pm
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:33 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
2018 midterm held just like most midterms in the past. The opposing party of the president picked up seats. This election will hold like most presidential elections; the incumbent will win pretty easily.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:33 pm to Pelican fan99
quote:
Trump is on the ballot in 2020. He wasn’t in 2018
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:35 pm to Pelican fan99
quote:
Trump is on the ballot in 2020. He wasn’t in 2018
Maybe more to the point, Joe is also on the ballot in 2020.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:36 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
the midterms are safe
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:37 pm to Godfather1
Haha
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:37 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:
Back in 2018, there were a considerable number of people who were predicting a big Republican win in the 2018 midterms:
Name 2 on this board. Go ahead and use the history search.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:37 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
public turnout at rallys and events is the only accurate metric to determine support.
biden cant get 10 people to show up when 8 of them are reporters forced to be there, trump has people max capacity and standing outside because there is no more room to get in
but muh biden leads in polls by 478% over trump
biden cant get 10 people to show up when 8 of them are reporters forced to be there, trump has people max capacity and standing outside because there is no more room to get in
but muh biden leads in polls by 478% over trump
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:54 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
Considerable number of people? A two page thread from a single day in 2018??
A little more substance:
The left's OMB was a much newer concept at that particular point thus all voters weren't fully aware of the extent of personal hatred that wound up being the primary motivating factor for pretty much their every waking move. Now that it's come to pass that they didn't even bother to attempt to pursue the platform that they ran on and won with in 2018, I'd say it's an easy hypothesis that the Dem Congressional candidates won't be getting the benefit of the doubt again. They completely blew off their 2018 voters.
A little more substance:
The left's OMB was a much newer concept at that particular point thus all voters weren't fully aware of the extent of personal hatred that wound up being the primary motivating factor for pretty much their every waking move. Now that it's come to pass that they didn't even bother to attempt to pursue the platform that they ran on and won with in 2018, I'd say it's an easy hypothesis that the Dem Congressional candidates won't be getting the benefit of the doubt again. They completely blew off their 2018 voters.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 3:57 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:
So - what makes people so sure that 2020 won't have a deflating outcome like 2018 did?
2018 was 50 statewide and sub-statewide elections, 2020 is national. Completely different voter motivations. That's why turnout in Presidential years eclipse mid-terms.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:01 pm to GeauxTrain
Weren’t we promised in ‘18 that there was direct evidence Trump was an agent of Russia?
I absolutely think that had an effect.
I absolutely think that had an effect.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:04 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
The biggest factor is Trump was also embroiled in a fully blown Russian investigation where the media was dropping hourly "bombshells"
All fake, all bullshite
All fake, all bullshite
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:05 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
The "blue wave" in the house was assisted mightily by 40+ incumbent GOP Congressmen retiring/ not seeking reelection.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:06 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
I think you're cherry picking posts. There was a lot of trepidation on this board over how the Dems were going to perform in those House elections.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:12 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
Opposing party always makes gains in the House and often the Senate. Republicans picked up Senate seats and lost fewer House seats than expected. And as already posted OMB wasn't on the ballot.
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:14 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
Main difference is the dems are going to cheat their asses off on Nov 3rd
Posted on 10/17/20 at 4:16 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
Actually the left predicted a massive blue wave, and it sputtered hard. Want proof, watch the Young Turks meltdown on youtube on it.
While yes, this board is Pro Trump to a fault at times, I do not think they are at all wrong in not believing polling. I trust day to day interactions more the polls. Seeing just my own family do a dynamic and dramatic shift from Democrat to Trump is insane in a good way. So many old democrats hate their party now. They dislike Trump still, but like his policies far, far more and his America first attitude.
While yes, this board is Pro Trump to a fault at times, I do not think they are at all wrong in not believing polling. I trust day to day interactions more the polls. Seeing just my own family do a dynamic and dramatic shift from Democrat to Trump is insane in a good way. So many old democrats hate their party now. They dislike Trump still, but like his policies far, far more and his America first attitude.
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