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We are entering a recession. 2 year inverted yield curve at it's longest ever.

Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:21 am
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
1258 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:21 am
First, what is the 2 year inverted yield curve. This is when the 2-year Treasury yield eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield. This is a major indicator of a coming recession.

It's always just a matter of time. Per the Feds, the average time lag can span 12 to 24 months, according to the San Francisco Fed.

July will be 24 months

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99079 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:22 am to
Well...no shite
Posted by LegalEazyE
Madison, Wisconsin
Member since Nov 2023
2477 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:27 am to
NO WAY, man! The economy is improving and doing great! Job numbers are awesome! At least that's what Biden and MSNBC tell me.
Posted by Deuces
The bottom
Member since Nov 2011
12428 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:27 am to
We already entered one.

Brandon and his minions changed the widely used definition because it was politically damaging.
Posted by Gifman
by the mountains
Member since Jan 2021
9482 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:34 am to
But Joe said I'm just now figuring out how great his economy is
Posted by RougeDawg
Member since Jul 2016
5904 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:37 am to
Looks like it is time to redefine recession!
Probably should take a look at the words starvation and war too.
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
1258 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:46 am to
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24930 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:50 am to
quote:

We are entering a recession

We have been in a recession for two years.

It has been artificially manipulated and kept in check by the fed and gov to make it less noticeable to everyman, but it's still a recession.

If it doesn't look like Potato Joe will have enough fraud to be reinstalled, there will be no need for the coordination of mitigation. If Trump is somehow sworn in again, they'll let it all fall apart and blame him.
Posted by Captain Rumbeard
Member since Jan 2014
4173 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:04 am to
quote:

If it doesn't look like Potato Joe will have enough fraud to be reinstalled, there will be no need for the coordination of mitigation. If Trump is somehow sworn in again, they'll let it all fall apart and blame him.


Precisely so. They're just praying it doesn't completely collapse before the election. I'm not sure they can stop it now.
Posted by 1BIGTigerFan
100,000 posts
Member since Jan 2007
49257 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

I'm not sure they can stop it now.

Banks are already starting to fail.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
15692 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:14 am to
It needs to happen. Sucks but it is what it is. People need to stop spending money.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423313 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:16 am to
10 years of QE + ZIRP + Covid's effect on our economy + trillions printed during Covid and trillions printed after Covid will have consequences.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
8988 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:22 am to


Have you ever heard of "STAGFLATION"?

Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
5060 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:24 am to
This is mostly due to inflation which is transitory
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74123 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:26 am to
quote:

If Trump is somehow sworn in again, they'll let it all fall apart and blame him.


This seems to be the plan
Posted by TxRan2020
Texas
Member since May 2020
576 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:52 am to
quote:

Looks like it is time to redefine recession! Probably should take a look at the words starvation and war too.



I believe the key word now is “reimagine”
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96345 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:56 am to
Apparently it isn’t a recession when you keep moving the goalposts on what a recession consists of.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
147191 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:00 am to
I remember the recession housing bubble mess with Obama. Job losses were felt first in Fla. then spread over months.

florida-housing-bubble-real-estate-prices-plunge-
Posted by Champagne
Already Conquered USA.
Member since Oct 2007
48459 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:02 am to
The general public won't be told that it's a Recession unless and until Trump takes office.

If Biden is reelected, and, I think he will be (mail-in-balloting), the public won't hear anything about any Recession.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
147191 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:04 am to
exactly.

Pelosi had a litter of kittens with Katy Tur correcting her about Trump's economy.

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