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Updated polymarket odds in Kentucky * update Gallrein now at 62%

Posted on 5/18/26 at 7:28 am
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13884 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 7:28 am
Ed Gallrein 58.1%
Thomas Massie 43%

Polymarket
This post was edited on 5/18/26 at 4:57 pm
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
150364 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 7:29 am to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98113 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 7:30 am to
The melt either way is gonna be so glorious
Posted by Deuces
The bottom
Member since Nov 2011
16883 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 7:30 am to
The Tucker Carlson class on this board won’t be happy
Posted by Dee_oh_Dee
Member since Aug 2024
206 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 7:46 am to
quote:

Ed Gallrein 58.1%
Thomas Massie 43%



I'm for Gallrein, but I'm not in that district.

I don't see how polymarket is relevant for any office outside of POTUS. Would a poll of voters outside of that district be relevant?

I guess, tell me how the betting market is swinging in Ohio River counties of Northern Kentucky. lol
Posted by Boss13
Mobile
Member since Oct 2016
2109 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:


I don't see how polymarket is relevant for any office outside of POTUS. Would a poll of voters outside of that district be relevant?


Polymarket matters because its the most honest assessment of what people think will happen.

When people have to actually put money on the table, they are far more likely to set aside their emotions and bias and make an honest assessment of what they think will (or will not) lose their money.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 8:23 am to
Hopefully Massie’s new wife who turned him into a bitch divorces him once he’s kicked out of Congress and useless
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51881 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 8:39 am to
quote:

When people have to actually put money on the table, they are far more likely to set aside their emotions and bias and make an honest assessment of what they think will (or will not) lose their money.
This is why Vegas always wins. People cannot set aside emotion. If people made an honest assessment, they would determine that going to Vegas to gamble is a (generally) losing proposition.
Posted by Boss13
Mobile
Member since Oct 2016
2109 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 8:48 am to
quote:

This is why Vegas always wins. People cannot set aside emotion. If people made an honest assessment, they would determine that going to Vegas to gamble is a (generally) losing proposition.


You are correct.

All I am saying is that it moves the needle a significant amount to the expected outcome. You are still playing the odds.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
23129 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 8:55 am to
quote:

Hopefully Massie’s new wife who turned him into a bitch divorces him once he’s kicked out of Congress and useless


Now do Letlow's new husband, the carbo capture lobbyist!
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13884 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 9:29 am to
Link?
Posted by newmexicotiger
Member since Sep 2017
4420 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 9:33 am to
Posted by Dee_oh_Dee
Member since Aug 2024
206 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:09 am to
quote:

This is why Vegas always wins. People cannot set aside emotion. If people made an honest assessment, they would determine that going to Vegas to gamble is a (generally) losing proposition


I get that.

What would people betting, that live outside the voting area, why would their opinions matter?

In other words, if Hubba bubba bets for Gallrein in Dallas tx, how does that indicate where the election is headed in Ky Dustrict 4?

Posted by Padme
Member since Dec 2020
9774 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:11 am to
5 for 5?


Indiana
Cassidy
Massie
Cornyn
Thune
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13884 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:18 am to
We can only hope
Posted by DeBoar
Cullman, AL
Member since Jan 2024
1705 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:28 am to
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
17586 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:32 am to
Hegseth campaigning in KY today against Massie.

This is becoming pathetic.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98113 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:32 am to
The cult is melting down
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157858 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:41 am to
Sec of war

During a war

Campaigning for MIGA


Turrible
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46024 posts
Posted on 5/18/26 at 10:45 am to
quote:

Campaigning for MIGA



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