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Trump is finished, to lose general election match-up in November to Biden

Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:09 am
Posted by Will Cover
St. Louis, MO
Member since Mar 2007
38506 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:09 am
This according to ABC News / Washington Post.



quote:

Poll: Biden notches 10-point lead over Trump in general election match-up


quote:

The latest survey also showed a dip in the president's approval rating.


quote:

Biden has expanded his advantage significantly since the previous iteration of the poll published two months ago, when he outperformed the president by a margin of 49-47 percent among registered voters.

The latest survey also showed a dip in the president’s approval rating, which slipped to 45 percent in the new poll while his disapproval rating climbed to 53 percent.


quote:

The ABC-Post poll was conducted by telephone May 25-28, surveying a random national sample of 1,001 adults. Its margin of sampling error is plus-or-minus 3.5 percentage points.


Full Story - Politico

Meanwhile, the smarter people who are only influenced by money, i.e. Vegas and offshore sports bettings sites have Donald Trump as the favorite to win

Trump - 120
Biden + 120
This post was edited on 6/1/20 at 8:10 am
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94780 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:12 am to
With the KungFlu being killed by rioting this weekend, any Biden lead will evaporate within a week of campaigning.

This dumbass has been kept in a basement for months and whenever he ventures out he keeps shooting his foot into Swiss cheese.
Posted by Oswald
South of the St. George Buffer Zone
Member since Aug 2011
3445 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:12 am to
Posted by Breesus
House of the Rising Sun
Member since Jan 2010
66982 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:12 am to
quote:

November to Biden


I have a very hard time believing Biden will be the candidate
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
58543 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:13 am to
It's going to be a lot closer than a lot of you think, unfortunately.
Posted by IronmanHTX
Home of the World Champs 'Stros
Member since Jun 2018
435 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:14 am to
After the hilarious calamity of polling in 2016, pollsters have ZERO credibility this year.
Posted by blowmeauburn
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2006
7885 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:15 am to
quote:

It's going to be a lot closer than a lot of you think, unfortunately.


I actually disagree. I was worried about it up until I saw how awful Biden performed in the primaries and how badly his mental ability has detonated. I actually think Trump is going to over perform bigly.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118604 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:15 am to
I love how these news outlets project general election results by taking general election polls. The problem is the general election uses an electoral college not general election polling. And it's ALWAYS the problem with these polls.

Meanwhile the Trump campaign will focus where it counts:

Florida
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin
New Hampshire
Nevada
Colorado

He'll visit the red states to keep them fired up and he may toy with the blue states just to piss off the Democrats and make them cause riots to look like idiots but he will focus mostly on the swing states.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Its margin of sampling error is plus-or-minus 3.5 percentage points.

Posted by Will Cover
St. Louis, MO
Member since Mar 2007
38506 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:17 am to
quote:

It's going to be a lot closer than a lot of you think, unfortunately.



If anyone has done their own listening recently to Biden and still votes for him (as opposed to the liberal press / media biased reports), then, we, as a country are fricked.
This post was edited on 6/1/20 at 8:18 am
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
16277 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:19 am to
National poll of adults.

As known in the presidential polling community: less than garbage.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118604 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:23 am to
quote:

It's going to be a lot closer than a lot of you think, unfortunately.



I'm always concerned about the white female suburban vote. They are very wishy-washy and can be very emotional when it comes to voting. If they stay strong and realize the good Trump is doing in DC to clean that sewer up and give their kids jobs over immigrants then they will probably stick with Trump this November. But if hey fall into the liberal trap they will get emotional and frick things up. Stay strong my female friends.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118604 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:06 am to
Byron York's take on this poll:

quote:

IS BIDEN"S SUPPORT SOFT? A new poll from ABC News and the Washington Post shows former Vice President Joe Biden with a 10-point lead over President Trump, 53 percent to 43 percent, among registered voters nationwide. That's a large margin, significantly bigger than the 5.9 point lead Biden has in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls.

On the other hand, the survey has some interesting numbers about the relative strength of voter support. When respondents said they supported Trump, the pollsters followed up: Would you definitely vote for Trump, probably vote for him, or just possibly vote for him? An impressive 87 percent of his registered voter supporters said they would definitely vote for Trump, versus eight percent who said they would probably vote for him, and five percent who said they would possibly vote for him.

In other words, Trump's support appears rock-solid. But Biden's is not. When pollsters asked the same question of people who said they supported Biden, they found that just 74 percent of his registered voter supporters said they would definitely vote for him. Fifteen percent said they would probably vote for him, and 11 percent said they would possibly vote for him.

There's more. Ninety percent of the registered voters who support Trump said they were enthusiastic about supporting him. Seventy-six percent of Biden's registered voter supporters said they were enthusiastic about him.



And this: People still approve of Trump's handling of the economy. With everything that has happened as a result of coronavirus -- sky-high unemployment, businesses struggling to come back, economic activity ravaged by lockdowns -- a majority of those polled, 52 percent, said they approved of Trump's handling of the economy, versus 44 percent who disapproved.

Don't overthink it. There are still lots of numbers that look bad for Trump, starting with that 10-point Biden lead. But some of the indicators of enthusiasm among Biden supporters are similar to those for Hillary Clinton back in 2016.



LINK
Posted by LSURulzSEC
Lake Charles via Oakdale
Member since Aug 2004
77292 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:11 am to
quote:


If anyone has done their own listening recently to Biden and still votes for him (as opposed to the liberal press / media biased reports), then, we, as a country are fricked.


You could have a Weekend at Bernie's situation with two guys holding a dead Biden up with sun glasses on and the left would vote for him simply because he is not the "bad orange man"...
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:13 am to
Yeah... No. But I won't be shocked if he loses the popular vote again.
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
50219 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

If anyone has done their own listening recently to Biden and still votes for him (as opposed to the liberal press / media biased reports), then, we, as a country are fricked.


Dude, his voting base is the LCD of society. They are currently destroying cities. Last week, they were cheering for COVID and working with China.

Look at the morons on the left that post here.

Of course they will vote for him. They hate you and America more than anything in the world.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16277 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:19 am to
quote:

I love how these news outlets project general election results by taking general election polls

My thoughts exactly. What does it matter what voters in strong blue States (Cali/NY) think when they are going blue no matter what.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94780 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:21 am to
His base isn’t the problem.

The problem is if the middle listens to this idiot.

Even in the biggest landslides in US history, the vote wasn’t more than about 65-35. It just came off that way because of where those votes were distributed to make it an electoral arse whipping.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
47458 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Dude, his voting base is the LCD of society. They are currently destroying cities. Last week, they were cheering for COVID and working with China.
Biden’s voting base is just as mad as Trump’s is.

The protesters this week are not Biden voters. He is anathema to them
Posted by teeMike
In my mind, I'm already there.
Member since Feb 2007
7574 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:29 am to
Trump is locked solid with his base. No dispute there. The problem for him comes with the moderate Dems & Independent swing voters. That’s where Joe’s VP pick will be crucial. This election will be a tough call for predictions. Trump has a lot to overcome between now & November. Debates, if they happen, could be a difference maker.
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