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Trump back up to 49% in Rasmussen and climbing
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:03 am
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:03 am
12
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:06 am to NC_Tigah
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:06 am to NC_Tigah
Polls are starting to correct so they don’t look wrong post election.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:08 am to NC_Tigah
This poll is bullshite. No way you can have a 15 point swing in 6 days (-11 to +4).
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:09 am to NC_Tigah
Those aren't people changing their minds, it's a function of who they poll each time.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:09 am to BobBoucher
Sure you can. There are different groups polled everyday so the results are better viewed as a rolling average
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:11 am to cssamerican
quote:
Polls are starting to correct so they don’t look wrong post election.
Yep! We knew they would.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:11 am to cssamerican
quote:Nah. 1st this one is approve/disapprove. Second, it had him at 53% in late Sept.
Polls are starting to correct so they don’t look wrong post election.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:11 am to NC_Tigah
His 12 point national poll by russmussen was really concerning last week
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:16 am to Vacherie Saint
quote:
Sure you can. There are different groups polled everyday so the results are better viewed as a rolling average
There’s definitely zero value in the short term - we both agree there.
As for long term- I see little value there as well. It’s pretty much been an ebb and flow between 35% and 40%.
Maybe if we see a trend outside of that range we should take notice.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:17 am to BobBoucher
quote:???
This poll is bullshite.No way you can have a 15 point swing in 6 days (-11 to +4).
Don't know where you're getting those numbers, but Job Approval tends to be more volatile than measures of Candidate A vs Candidate B.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:18 am to NC_Tigah
Early Polls were designed to sway early voting. Now we will dee the truth.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:23 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
Don't know where you're getting those numbers, but Job Approval tends to be more volatile than measures of Candidate A vs Candidate B.
It’s their delta between approve and disapprove. And that how much is swung during a 6 day period last month.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 9:46 am to NC_Tigah
Rasmussen is the only poll still doing a Presidential Approval
Looked at the poll.
39% strongly approve
45% strongly disapprove
16% Somewhat approve and somewhat disapprove
Heads up (10/6)
Biden 52%
Trump 40%
39% are definitely voting for Trump
45% are definitely voting for Biden
Looked at the poll.
39% strongly approve
45% strongly disapprove
16% Somewhat approve and somewhat disapprove
Heads up (10/6)
Biden 52%
Trump 40%
39% are definitely voting for Trump
45% are definitely voting for Biden
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:04 am to Vacherie Saint
quote:
Sure you can. There are different groups polled everyday so the results are better viewed as a rolling average
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:48 am to moneyg
Not sure why that's funny. Ras polls 1500 likely voters, all it takes is a shift in a few dozen responses to go from 45 to 49. This should be expected in a daily tracking poll that hits different people every day.
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 11:05 am
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:20 am to NC_Tigah
The polls can't be taken seriously until the last week. Before that, they will sacrifice integrity for ratings. Come November 1, they will try to get it right. Until then, they will rig the polls to get you excited.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:21 am to NC_Tigah
All pollsters are trying to hedge so that they don’t look incredibly wrong after the election.
Meaning that more polls will start attempting to reflect reality.
Meaning that more polls will start attempting to reflect reality.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:25 am to BobBoucher
quote:
This poll is bullshite. No way you can have a 15 point swing in 6 days (-11 to +4).
They have a DU call list when they want to put out shitty numbers.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:25 am to dewster
quote:
All pollsters are trying to hedge so that they don’t look incredibly wrong after the election.
Meaning that more polls will start attempting to reflect reality.
Rasmussen has had the same partisan split for every single one of their polls, D+4 (37D 33R 30I I believe). It makes sense that Trump's support cratered last week after being diagnosed with COVID and being hospitalized. It will start to improve though, as we are seeing, since he recovered so quickly and is using that as proof we need to open up and it's not the end of the world. Most people see only the horror stories on the news about COVID. Trump as the biggest public figure in the country surviving what the general public only knows as a death sentence will be huge. It completely takes away the fearmongering of Biden/Harris and the Democrats.
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 11:30 am
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