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re: Trafalgar has Biden +2 in PA

Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:32 am to
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38417 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Plus the Gallup "are you better off now than four years ago" is at a record high of 56%.


Did you peruse through the other polls on that website?
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10736 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:39 am to
quote:


This is 100% correct.

I only trust Trafalgar.


And what's kind of interesting is Trafalgar has Trump in better shape in MI/MN than in PA/WI.

Most recent Trafalgar:
MI Trump +1 (9/20-22)
MN tied (8/15-18)
PA Biden +2 (10/10-12)
WI Biden +3 (9/22-24)
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 11:41 am
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
28158 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:41 am to
When you correct for the +108% reporting in philly?
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
27476 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:43 am to
quote:

Within MOE


This means that the state could go either way. It's a toss up right now.
Posted by bayoumuscle21
St. George
Member since Jan 2012
5002 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:45 am to
quote:

They are very energized to vote trump out.


And yet, they have no factual reason as to why.

Biden literally called him a racist for shutting down China travel, and now blames him for the Covid deaths. It is so hypocritical.
Posted by Caymus
Houston
Member since Jul 2015
1207 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:46 am to
quote:

And what's kind of interesting is Trafalgar has Trump in better shape in MI/MN than in PA/WI.


I would really like to see another MN poll given the protests have died down there since the last poll
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36394 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

As of right now, MI WI and MN are gone. He wont win those. Still an outside shot at PA


Trafalgar has him closer in mi and wi than Pa.

If your scared say your scared
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
100718 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:23 pm to
If you believe that momentum in campaigns is a real thing (I do), you've got to believe that Trump will work his butt off these last 3 weeks and blitz the hell out of every single battleground state.

I'm willing to bet that closing hard and fast and having a solid GOTV effort will be enough to give Trump the win.

Then we just have to worry about shenanigans.
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
6153 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

They are very energized to vote trump out.


Imagine being energized by what you are against vs what you are for. Sad existence.

Walk me through the trump policies you don’t support.
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
1066 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

If you believe that momentum in campaigns is a real thing (I do), you've got to believe that Trump will work his butt off these last 3 weeks and blitz the hell out of every single battleground state


Agree. Hopefully more time in the midwest and less in the south.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
100718 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Exactly. It's looking like Trump comes one state short now, which is why it's interesting that he's not campaigning more heavily in the rust belt (although maybe his internals are telling him something different).



Trump understands timing - you don't want to peak too early when 65% of your voters state they prefer to vote in person on election day. He wants the crescendo to be so loud and vibratory on November 1, 2, 3 that everyone in OH, PA, MI, WI, NC, FL is going to the polls and dragging 2 friends each with them.
Posted by TSmith
New Orleans, La.
Member since Jan 2004
2239 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:28 pm to
Was just listening to Ben Shapiro, who I consider to be a brilliant guy. I know some on here don't care for him...

Anyway, he just said "this race is not close". He went on to say that Biden has a very comfortable lead, and that poll bias cannot make up for the gap.

This surprises me. Not sure what to make of it.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79954 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

And what's kind of interesting is Trafalgar has Trump in better shape in MI/MN than in PA/WI.


The iron range is going bigly for Trump in MN.

I've been trying to let y'all know that for months.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
56549 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

all will come down to turnout.


MAGA finna eat. Our amish friends are gonna carry Trump across the finish line again


LINK ]



This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 12:34 pm
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Walk me through the trump policies you don’t support.


They support a guy who spent 47 years in government enriching himself and his worthless kids at taxpayer expense.....

They support a guy who had to fold his first Presidential Campaign because he was caught in so many lies that they couldn't cover for him......

They support a guy who has been credibly accused of sexual assault more than once.....

They support a guy who has a highlight reel of behavior with little girls that would have him beaten into a coma were he not a Senator running for President....

They support a guy who is more than likely having to wear adult diapers.....

They are supporting a guy who is inarguably suffering from Dementia.....
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:34 pm to
Shapiro is a never-Trumper....he is wish-casting....
Posted by TigerWoodlands
The Woodlands
Member since Dec 2008
1179 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Most recent Trafalgar:


The timing of some of those polls is old. Would like to see new polls in MI, MN and WI.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
88953 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

They are very energized to vote trump out.




riiiiiiiiiiiight

the dislike for obama's shite policies sure helped people get energized for crappy mccain and mittens huh?

stay in your delusional bubble prog filth
Posted by Bham4Tide
In a Van down by the River
Member since Feb 2011
24124 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 1:07 pm to
A poll has to show a +5 or more for me to take it seriously.

+2 is a Trump victory.
Posted by RockoRou
SW Miss
Member since Mar 2015
935 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 1:28 pm to
PPD also said there’s a 51% chance that The Cow did jump over the Moon.
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