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Trafalgar has Biden +2 in PA
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:20 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:20 am
LINK
Within MOE, but hopefully we see an uptick now. With the media coverage of the debate, Trump catching COVID, and the taxes story, hopefully he bottomed out here and is on the up.
Within MOE, but hopefully we see an uptick now. With the media coverage of the debate, Trump catching COVID, and the taxes story, hopefully he bottomed out here and is on the up.
17
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:21 am to Clemsontigers02
No way
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:22 am to Clemsontigers02
PPD is talking about his PA poll now, he has Biden up 2.5 in PA.
Not giving up on PA, but I guess the backup plan would be FL/AZ/MI, or FL/AZ/WI/NV?
Not giving up on PA, but I guess the backup plan would be FL/AZ/MI, or FL/AZ/WI/NV?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:24 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
PPD is talking about his PA poll now, he has Biden up 2.5 in PA.
Not giving up on PA, but I guess the backup plan would be FL/AZ/MI, or FL/AZ/WI/NV?
It all will come down to turnout. Trump voters are highly energized, Biden voters aren't.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:25 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
It all will come down to turnout. Trump voters are highly energized, Biden voters aren't.
They are very energized to vote trump out.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:26 am to KosmoCramer
I agree. What Trump voter isn’t going to go vote?
Rain would definitely keep some Biden voters home
Rain would definitely keep some Biden voters home
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 9:27 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:26 am to Clemsontigers02
Pennsylvania is going to be real tough but he really doesn’t need it. Would be nice though
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:26 am to RidiculousHype
Backup would be MI / WI / MN (and I think NH + NV) but I'm not sure those states would be more favorable. Seems like he really needs a rust belt state victory to win, and it isn't clear where it will come from.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:28 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
PPD is talking about his PA poll now, he has Biden up 2.5 in PA.
What is he saying? Is it a lost cause?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:28 am to Clemsontigers02
Huge lead in voter registration, IMO +2 is a Trump landslide
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:28 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
They are very energized to vote trump out.
I guess that’s why the young vote is down
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:28 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
They are very energized to vote trump out.
Debateable(since polls aren't asking that) and hard to quantify.
We'll see how it goes.
Also, Republicans have more voters in PA than 2016, Democrats have fewer. Another point not being discussed nationally.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:29 am to Clemsontigers02
Everyone voting against Trump showed up to vote for Hillary last time. How did that work out Mickey?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:29 am to Clemsontigers02
I think this is a realistic poll. It's going to be turnout. This is where the Trump decision to focus money on get out the vote and local offices instead of advertising will be tested. They are investing in ground game over TV ads. I think it's a good strategy, but we'll see. With the way early voting is going in WI and MI, PA may not be as crucial as originally thought, but winning there would help with the DEM shenanigans of trying to steal the election.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:29 am to Clemsontigers02
The RCP Average has Biden up 7 in Biden
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:31 am to StopRobot
Biden up 7 in Biden?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:31 am to StopRobot
quote:
The RCP Average has Biden up 7 in Biden
Joe, is that you?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:32 am to The Maj
quote:
Joe, is that you?
Email me, 30330
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:32 am to StopRobot
quote:
StopRobot
You're going to be utterly broken inside on election night.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 9:33 am to RidiculousHype
Biden up 2.5 is still a good number for Trump. It is within the 3.4 margin of error. In fact, I think it is a great number for Trump because the enthusiasm is on his side by double digits.
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