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re: This seems like the most likely electoral map
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:22 am to blzr
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:22 am to blzr
Trump is 5 points better on approval than Obama was on the eve of his 2012 reelection.
But he's going to lose a bunch of states he won handily? States that stand to lose a lot with a Biden presidency? It doesn't pass the smell test.
But he's going to lose a bunch of states he won handily? States that stand to lose a lot with a Biden presidency? It doesn't pass the smell test.
0
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:23 am to Centinel
quote:no kidding. they must have woken up, took the time to stop crying, and posted a 2016 map...
Your concern is noted, troll.
D I S s O n A N c E
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:25 am to Diseasefreeforall
This is how I have it as of today.... NV coming through for Trump would be huge.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:28 am to GeneralLee
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:28 am to Bamatab
quote:
Actually he really doesn't need the NE2. All he has to do is get to 269, and the Republicans should have the votes to get him in (unless some real shady crap happens, and the Republican party itself decides to vote against him).
Screw that!!! Tired of the Dems bullshite. Don’t give them any hope or chance to manipulate this race any longer.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:29 am to Diseasefreeforall
You think Biden takes PA after saying his plan is to kill the oil industry? Quit buying into the fake polls.
Trump will take PA, WI, and MI
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:30 am to Bushman
quote:
My wife still votes in PA from our time at the War College...pretty sure she just voted for Biden.
Call a divorce lawyer. You can do better.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:31 am to Janky
quote:TargetSmart created those party registration models.
This makes me think WI will go red.
quote:WI doesn’t release that data.
Last updated Oct. 29. Party registration is modeled by TargetSmart from multiple commercial sources.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:32 am to MizzouBS
quote:
WIsconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan had urban area’s with low turnout in 2016. These 3 states need turnout less than 80% in urban area’s for Trump to win them
This assumes that the turnout includes more democrats, but if the urban areas start having party splits like Miami-Dade, it won’t matter.
They need 80% turnout with party affiliation percentages looking the same as 2016. With the amount of people that dropped out of the Democrat party, that’s going to be very difficult.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:38 am to HurricaneTiger
quote:
These 3 states need turnout less than 80% in urban area’s for Trump to win them
urban turnout is code for black vote
I think Trump has triple the black vote he got in 2016....it's going to go real bad for the dems
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:41 am to DirtyMikeandtheBoys
quote:24%?!
triple the black vote he got in 2016
I mean, I’ll take 15%.
24% is probably a little high.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:44 am to Diseasefreeforall
quote:
It's gonna be close either way. Don't see any red or blue waves
And Penn is looking like the key swing state. Hopefully the “mostly peaceful” protests in Philly hold through the weekend.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:47 am to samson73103
She voted for Trump in 2016 but now feels his attempt to withdraw troops from Afghanistan before the 1 May agreement is too reckless.
She usually votes on foreign policy, as she feels that has the most certain trickle-down effect on our domestic policy as well.
She usually votes on foreign policy, as she feels that has the most certain trickle-down effect on our domestic policy as well.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:49 am to Bushman
quote:
but now feels his attempt to withdraw troops from Afghanistan before the 1 May agreement is too reckless.
jesus, you're married into the military-industrial complex deep state
Run
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:50 am to Bushman
quote:Then she REALLY voted wrong.
She usually votes on foreign policy
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:51 am to Scruffy
right?!
She voted for perpetual war
She voted for perpetual war
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:52 am to WhiteMandingo
quote:
Trump wins nevada, vermont,and all of nebraska.
What's your logic behind Vermont? I've laid out mine for New Mexico,
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:55 am to DirtyMikeandtheBoys
quote:No kidding.
She voted for perpetual war
Trump is the first to not start a war in almost 40 years.
Peace deals handed out like Oprah.
I mean, you compare Trump to Biden’s accolades on foreign policy, and Trump runs away with it.
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 8:56 am
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:00 am to Vacherie Saint
quote:
There simply nothing to support the idea that Trump wont win the states he won in 2016. Especially in PA where he's delivered on Steel, manufacturing, and fossil fuels. Why would a rust belt voter who took a chance on Trump in 16 NOT be delighted with their choice in 2020? Better yet, why spurn Trump for a candidate that wants to end fossil fuels?
Agree I don’t think Trump is losing these voters from 2016. However the narrow margins he had in several states in 2016 certainly leaves room for a flip due to (1) another wave of four years of indoctrinated college age kids becoming eligible to vote, (2) higher voter turnout for dems than in 2016, (3) ballot shenanigans.
Hopefully Trump not only doesn’t lose voters he had in 2016 but he has also gained a lot more because I think status quo numbers for him won’t cut it.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:01 am to Diseasefreeforall
You missed the mark there , 330 Trump . Now go back to your hiding spot in the cellar
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