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re: This seems like the most likely electoral map

Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:03 am to
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:03 am to
quote:

But trump will win michigan and Pennsylvania after the debate Pennsylvania is not in play for biden unles there is large scale frickery



Well....large scale frickery is if the first page of the Dem playbook so.
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24760 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:03 am to
If you seriously Think Trump loses MN, WI, NV and MI, you should probably put Hunter's glass pipe down.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90560 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:10 am to
Trump is looking better in Wi and Mi than Pa currently based on EV.

Also Trump gets Nevada.
I haven’t heard anything on MN early voting
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17428 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:11 am to
AZ, FL, NC and one of PA/MI/WI/MN and Trump wins. I like those odds.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:12 am to
quote:

PA/MI/WI/MN


If he wins one then he will probably win at least three.
Posted by WhiteMandingo
Member since Jan 2016
5586 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:31 am to
He lost vermont by less the 5000 votes in 2016. I these people are straight red or progressive liberal the progressive liberal is turned off by biden. Plus no real 3rd party i believe that those votes swing to trump
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
146683 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:36 am to
Biden lost the black vote with his past racist comments and actions regarding the predator bill & him standing with the former wizard of the KKK.

Biden lost the rustbelt with the green new deal, no more oil & fracking.
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 9:37 am
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:44 am to
quote:

This seems like the most likely electoral map


No. That's the best-case scenario map for Biden.

This map probably does serve one really good purpose, though. In the event that the race is this close, that means Michigan and Pennsylvania are the 2 most important states for Trump, along with holding on to North Carolina. It's possible that President Trump's best strategy for Saturday, Sunday, and Monday might be to simply "camp out" in Michigan and Pennsylvania over that 3-day period.

I know that President Trump is going back to Nevada, though, so he obviously disagrees with me to an extent.

I bet Pence will be all over both Pennsylvania and Michigan the last few days, though.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17428 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:54 am to
quote:

He lost vermont by less the 5000 votes in 2016. I these people are straight red or progressive liberal the progressive liberal is turned off by biden. Plus no real 3rd party i believe that those votes swing to trump


Youre talking about NH not VT. VT is no where near close to red. He could add NH but I dont trust any New England states. I think Trump adds MN and NV though and takes PA if there is no tomfrickery.

Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17541 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Youre talking about NH not VT.


Vermont isn't close. Going off of 2016 results, if Trump were to manage to gain all non R or D votes, he would still lose by 13% which is about 40, 000 votes. Wish it were, but for 3 EVs it's isn't even worth mentioning.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18420 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

He lost vermont by less the 5000 votes in 2016. I these people are straight red or progressive liberal the progressive liberal is turned off by biden. Plus no real 3rd party i believe that those votes swing to trump
He lost Vermont by 83k.

You're thinking of New Hampshire
Posted by Al Bundy Bulldog
The Grindfather
Member since Dec 2010
35806 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Penn is the big one. I agree there


I feel its this years 2000/Florida
Posted by CFFreak
Rjyh, AL
Member since May 2019
8765 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

My wife still votes in PA from our time at the War College...pretty sure she just voted for Biden.



Dude, take control of your woman. Come on man.
Posted by boomtown143
Merica
Member since May 2019
6692 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:38 pm to
ummm no,

Trump will win 2 out of 3 between PA, WI and MI.

MN and NV are tossups


It's over for Biden
Posted by VolInBavaria
Chattanooga, TN
Member since Dec 2015
4026 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:47 pm to
I see this as the absolute worst case scenario

This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 1:49 pm
Posted by WhiteMandingo
Member since Jan 2016
5586 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:01 pm to
My bad,
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