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re: The Official Thread: Russia invades Ukraine

Posted on 5/2/22 at 3:38 pm to
Posted by Bengalbio
Member since Feb 2017
2109 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

Have you seen Mariupal? They are demolishing all of Eastern Ukraine that doesn't submit, sending people to filtration camps, and trying to obliterate their elites and their language and national culture. That's how they're planning to "assimilate" them.


Cities in the east and south have been destroyed or partially destroyed and they’ve also been depopulated. I think Russia is fine with this…. people flee and don’t return…. blank slate.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25212 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 4:11 pm to
Putin to undergo cancer surgery, transfer power to ex-FSB chief: report

Russian President Vladimir Putin is set to undergo cancer surgery and temporarily hand over power to a hardline former federal police chief, according to a new report.

Putin will transfer control of Russia’s government to Nikolai Patrushev, head of the Russian federal police’s Security Council, while he is incapacitated during and after the procedure, according to a video from the mysterious Telegram channel “General SVR” on Saturday.

https://nypost.com/2022/05/02/vladimir-putin-to-undergo-cancer-surgery-transfer-power/
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
40237 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 4:52 pm to
Be a shame if he didn't wake up from that or if they gave him an extra helping of polonium
Posted by Tigers2010a
Member since Jul 2021
3627 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

Cities in the east and south have been destroyed or partially destroyed and they’ve also been depopulated. I think Russia is fine with this…. people flee and don’t return…. blank slate.


Same thing happened to Donbass from 2014-2022 except it was the Ukrainians executing their de-russification campaign.
Posted by Palmetto98
Where the stars are big and bright
Member since Nov 2021
2145 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

So define “winning”? I asked. What did we gain in Vietnam.


Chuckles
Posted by Kentucker
Rabbit Hash, KY
Member since Apr 2013
20055 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

Same thing happened to Donbass from 2014-2022 except it was the Ukrainians executing their de-russification campaign.


And they should run every Russky into Russia as part of this war. They’re going to win with Western help and they should seal their eastern border afterwards.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30041 posts
Posted on 5/2/22 at 10:21 pm to
quote:

LINK Ukraine army finished.


When MOA can back up those numbers like Oryx does with the Russian losses I'll begin to listen.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
69355 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 12:51 am to
It seems to me like what has happened in the war so far is:
1. The Russians attempted to blitz Kiev to cause the government to collapse and failed.
2. The Russians saw significantly more success in the South and East
3. After failing to push into Kiev, the Russians pulled their troops out of the north and redeployed them in the East. They decided to change their strategy from trying to force a quick capitulation and rule a relatively intact country to one of total war and attrition.
4. Their strategy is now finishing off their sieges of Ukrainian industrial port cities in the South to take control of the entire Black Sea coast.
5. Once they have succeeded in taking Mariupol and Odessa, they can link up with their allies in Transnistria while in the East, they will advance again on Dniepre and Poltava.
6. Then, they will attempt to close Ukraine's Western borders to the EU to stop the flow of outside supplies.
7. Finally, they will again attempt to hit Kiev from all sides.

Meanwhile, it appears the Western strategy is clear:
1. NATO will announce some sort of Red Line where if Russia uses chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons that NATO will declare war.
2. Spooks (aka Azov Battalion) will launch a false flag chemical or biological weapons attack on Ukrainian citizens which they will blame on Russia to give justification for escalating the conflict even further.
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
21917 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 12:52 am to
quote:

Same thing happened to Donbass from 2014-2022
trying to remember what happened in 2014. Oh right, Russia invaded Ukraine then too and stole a big oil rich region, and then instituted a years long terrorist campaign in donbass
Posted by Kentucker
Rabbit Hash, KY
Member since Apr 2013
20055 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 6:46 am to
quote:

Meanwhile, it appears the Western strategy is clear:


You still seem to think that Russia has a semi-mighty military led by capable strategists. It is more clear than your blurred view that the West will arm Ukraine to the teeth with superior weapons and train their soldiers to use them.

The goal of President Zelensky is to drive every Russian fighter off every meter of Ukrainian soil. By drawing a red line, the West has assured him that that is possible by leveling the playing field.
Posted by SoonerK
Member since Nov 2021
1014 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 9:35 am to
quote:

5. Once they have succeeded in taking Mariupol and Odessa, they can link up with their allies in Transnistria while in the East, they will advance again on Dniepre and Poltava.


The Ukrainians retaking Kherson is a lot more likely than the Russians capturing Odessa.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7943 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 10:17 am to
Interesting Analysis

What makes you think they can take Odessa? After over 2 months they haven't subdued Mariupol yet. They haven't taken over any major population centers since the 1st week of the war, have they?



This post was edited on 5/3/22 at 10:19 am
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7943 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 11:46 am to
Here is a map that I haven't seen before. It breaks down the deployment of the Russian BTG's by area.



Sourced from here: https://twitter.com/HN_Schlottman/status/1521529499296350209
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22526 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 1:54 pm to
This is all laughable… Russia doesn’t have the capability to pull off what it wants to in the Donbas… Odessa is a pipe dream.
Posted by Lima Whiskey
Member since Apr 2013
22594 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

What makes you think they can take Odessa? After over 2 months they haven't subdued Mariupol yet.


They’re doing the opposite of what we did in Iraq. The immediate target isn’t territory, it’s the Ukrainian Army. Once they destroy it, they can take what they want.
Posted by Palmetto98
Where the stars are big and bright
Member since Nov 2021
2145 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:04 pm to
Lol so many posters triggered
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7943 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:12 pm to
So you are saying that their current objective in the east is not to take land, it's just to attrit the Ukrainian army?

Could be an explanation for why they really haven't had any major advances yet in the east.
Posted by Lima Whiskey
Member since Apr 2013
22594 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

So you are saying that their current objective in the east is not to take land, it's just to attrit the Ukrainian army?


Yes
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140710 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:24 pm to
Are we still doing this Russia thing or have we moved on to something else?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7943 posts
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:43 pm to
That is possible, I wish we could get better info on the losses of the Ukrainian armed forces.

I see where today the Ukrainian parliament voted to allow the Territorial defense forces to deploy outside of their local areas. Could be a sign that Ukraine needs the troops. That would give them about 100K to throw into the fight in the east.
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