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re: Texas Early Voting Shattering Records; Dallas County Up 50%, Harris County Up 70%

Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:11 am to
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
76534 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:11 am to
quote:

But that never stopped the most important thing, which is winning elections, and Democrats have had two years to figure out how to change their game, and we have not. Republicans keep playing the same playbook year after year after year, and by now the Democrats know it. We claim we know theirs, and we thought or I should say y'all thought that it had been ended That's not the case .

Every season is a new season. Just like sports, you may think one team has a successful season to build on, and that gives them an advantage but it doesn't give them the victory .


can’t argue with any of that
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
13885 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:12 am to
quote:

How do you know its conservatives voting.


Leftists are lazy.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199654 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:12 am to
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199654 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Leftists are lazy.
In their personal lives absolutely, politically, they are better organized than Republicans

Which makes sense since Republicans and those people who think of themselves as Republicans or conservatives value the individual more than the collective

And you and I may both find people who think of the collective as idiots and they may very well be, but groupthink helps win elections
Posted by GusMcRae
Deep in the heart of the Big Sleazy
Member since Oct 2008
3863 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Correct, but what IS a conspiracy theory is just assume that’ll keep happening forever. Pollsters are just data analysts. A big part of the job is to constantly adapt to new information and adjust accordingly. Generally speaking, that improves accuracy as well.


There is currently no empirical evidence that they have made adjustments to that effect… quite the opposite.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
14114 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:19 am to
There is an early voting location along the West Loop just north of San Felipe. Hampton Inn. I voted there yesterday.

Lines were not that bad, moving quickly, and it’s really a voting from the office type of crowd instead of voting from the neighborhood.
Posted by UtahCajun
Member since Jul 2021
8877 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:19 am to
quote:

embarrassment for Paxton/MAGA

Only embarrassment was putting forth a candidate almost as weak as Talarico
Posted by GusMcRae
Deep in the heart of the Big Sleazy
Member since Oct 2008
3863 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Chilling, and damning at the same time. MAGA has turned this country upside down.


There is very little to be gained by arguing with a committed fool, but…

The millions of illegal immigrants along with the left’s extreme social agenda (trans, ABCLGBTQRS, BLM, climate freaks) are what has this country upside down.
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
8222 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:24 am to
It’s a never ending goal.

The only real obtainable objective is to simply improve. Sharpen the process, improve sampling methods, adjust for biases, etc.

They do this every time with new information and test those processes against the new results. Constantly.

Generally speaking, the larger the sample, the easier it is to analyze. That’s how data works. Every election we get a ton new data to learn from, that’s what’s happening here.
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
17388 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:31 am to
There is a huge chasm full of nuanced positions between

quote:

Zero care



and


quote:

thinking that it's the end of the world



that a


quote:

rational, intelligence person




with firm ideological leanings could and should have landed on.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
27848 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:31 am to
Abbott wins by 8 - 11 and you think Abbott voters won't go to Paxton but Talafreeka.

Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199654 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:33 am to
quote:

Yep, although I spoke too soon. There is a bit of a line now, but nothing crazy compared to other elections.



The first day is when it starts really early because there are people who just cannot wait to go vote as it drags on. Tuesday Wednesday, Thursday will drop a bit
this weekend will also be a big bump

Crazy what you said was a big polling site in Houston, and I knew exactly what location it was; it's almost as if I know what I'm talking about
Posted by hoopde
Member since Sep 2026
281 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:34 am to
quote:

This thing shouldn’t even be close

Nationally, it won't be.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199654 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Abbott wins by 8 - 11


wanna bet?


Abbott may win; he may also lose, but if Abbott wins, it's not gonna be by more than two and a half points maybe 3



insane to say 10% No one not even the most delusional Abbot supporter thinks he's gonna win by ten points
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
41083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:36 am to
Sheraton north loop was busy as hell yesterday both times i drove past on my commute

normally, and i have voted day 1, it is breeze to get in and out.
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
23534 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:37 am to
quote:

No one not even the most delusional Abbot supporter thinks he's gonna win by ten points

Abbott doesn't even believe he's going to win by 10. He's been crawfishing from his own policies for 90+ days now. He knows he's in a fight. But I do think he wins.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199654 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:38 am to
As I've mentioned the Abbott campaign is trotting out a whole new process with the Abbott app texting people constantly the way you get taken off the text is go vote because you can check every day who voted the day before and those numbers can be deleted

Ive done it In every campaign I've run for close to 20 years

But this Abbott thing is on a whole new grand scale

But it won't help paxton and it may backfire on Abbott because people hate getting texts
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199654 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:40 am to
quote:

But I do think he wins.
If forced to predict, I predict Abbott wins, but I wouldn't be comfortable with it; and would not actually risk anything of value
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
41083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Abbott doesn't even believe he's going to win by 10. He's been crawfishing from his own policies for 90+ days now. He knows he's in a fight. But I do think he wins.



Abbott is much sharper politically than a lot of Texas GOP.

For example, He didn't fall in line with Dan Patrick's reefer madness because he knew it was a poison pill for republicans.

he has also distanced himself from Trump a good this campaign.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
14114 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 10:42 am to
I saw a lot of boomers waiting in line yesterday…

So I think you’re right that this app is driving early voting turnout among older GOP voters.

But you are holding strong in your predictions… because you think that is just going to subtract from the big GOP surge of voters on Election Day?
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