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Texas Early Voting Shattering Records; Dallas County Up 50%, Harris County Up 70%

Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:08 am
Posted by LuckyTiger
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Member since Dec 2008
53277 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:08 am
Just now on Fox News, reported by Nate Foy on Dana Perino and Bill Hemmer’s show.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
27848 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:09 am to
GOP is rolling out incredible numbers.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:09 am to
I wonder how this offsets the under-polling of Republicans in terms of balancing predictions.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:09 am to
quote:

GOP is rolling out incredible numbers.

In checks notes Harris County?
Posted by Cornpoptiger
Member since Oct 2018
958 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:10 am to
quote:

GOP is rolling out incredible numbers.


How do you know its conservatives voting.
Posted by BearCrocs
Member since Aug 2013
8932 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:10 am to
quote:

In checks notes Harris County?


Tell me you don’t live in houston without telling me you don’t live in houston
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
100138 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:11 am to
quote:

In checks notes Harris County?



They said 100k voted. That doesn't seem like too many to me in a county with 3M peeps.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
47168 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:11 am to
DNC ballot harvesting doin work.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:13 am to
quote:

Tell me you don’t live in houston without telling me you don’t live in houston


Why do I need to live in Harris County to understand their D/R lean?

The big, urban areas coming out in large numbers are required for Talafreako to win, along with southern TX flipping to be anti-Trump after flopping to be pro-Trump in 2024
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
26634 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:14 am to
quote:

Tell me you don’t live in houston without telling me you don’t live in houston

SFPLC is huffing the Talafreako hopium so hard.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:15 am to
quote:

SFPLC is huffing the Talafreako hopium so hard.

Uh, no, I've said I don't think he wins many times, but the fact it's close is an embarrassment for Paxton/MAGA

Me understanding basic political polling analysis has no partisan slant or subjective desire.

Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41943 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:16 am to
Who do you prefer to win? Talarico or Paxton?
Posted by LuckyTiger
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Member since Dec 2008
53277 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:17 am to
quote:

I wonder how this offsets the under-polling of Republicans in terms of balancing predictions.


You believe Republicans are underpolled?

There have been instances but you think they are consistently underpolled?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Who do you prefer to win? Talarico or Paxton?


If the libertarian had better immigration policies, I'd prefer him, but since he doesn't, I have no preference.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:18 am to
quote:

You believe Republicans are underpolled?

That's been true but I think the polls are getting better. It's not 2016 anymore

Larger than expected early voting in urban areas would offset this, though
Posted by LuckyTiger
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Member since Dec 2008
53277 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:18 am to
The key to Republicans winning Texas is for the rural vote to turn out big for Paxton.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
486083 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:20 am to
I think that's already baked in. That's Paxton's base.

It's the urban Republicans (more moderate and likely to vote for Talafreako), urban Democrats (turnout), and South Texas Latinos (will they keep the 2024 trend, regress a little to the mean, or completely flip to blue?)
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41943 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:

If the libertarian had better immigration policies, I'd prefer him, but since he doesn't, I have no preference.


Of course

Zero care if Talarico wins. What a fiscally principled conservative you are.
Posted by LuckyTiger
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Member since Dec 2008
53277 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:

They said 100k voted. That doesn't seem like too many to me in a county with 3M peeps.


True.

105K.

Broke record of 63K.
Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
6796 posts
Posted on 10/20/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:

If the libertarian had better immigration policies, I'd prefer him, but since he doesn't, I have no preference.


You don’t even live there. Hush. The libertarian drawing 2% may frick the election tbh
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