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Texas Early Voting Report Day 9

Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:23 am
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90716 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:23 am
Once again the data is based on models but the way the data is compiled is pretty even handed



Shows the early turnout for R and D seems to be pretty even for a midterm, which may not be good for Dem hopes if their success hinges on R voter apathy and lack of enthusiasm.
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
72165 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:34 am to
Trouble brewing for Paxton, I'm officially concerned. In a normal election, I think Paxton would have been fine, but the sentiment around the republican party right now is going to pull him down.
Posted by KCTBoneTiger
Member since Oct 2026
47 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:37 am to
Have these videos made into posters algorithms on this board yet?

Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
93871 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:38 am to
fricking alters suck
Posted by KCTBoneTiger
Member since Oct 2026
47 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:39 am to
We call them DH'ers

LINK
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90716 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:40 am to
Fox News Poll had Talarico up 7pts weeks ago and NOW you are concerned?

Interesting

Here is another data guy post, this one is way more R Hopium leaning in his analysis

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Posted by Django Unchained
Member since Sep 2025
1326 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:40 am to
What is the sentiment around the Republican Party?
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
93871 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:40 am to
IDGAF what you call yourself clown.
Posted by MyMardiGrasHat
Member since Sep 2026
420 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:41 am to
Prediction markets have Talarico winning in a landslide

68% according to Polymarket
Posted by KCTBoneTiger
Member since Oct 2026
47 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:41 am to
Get on Kalshi right now and bet the farm on Paxton...... the payout is huge. Right now 69% of the money is on Talarico.

You could clean house if you put $$$ on Paxton

LINK
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 10:42 am
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90716 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:43 am to
Fair warning

We don’t have much patience with racism, anti-Semitism or really any of the tisms or ists

So tread lightly with the propaganda, we really only tolerate SFP’s autism on this board
Posted by KCTBoneTiger
Member since Oct 2026
47 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:47 am to
I was just curious if those have hit your algorithms......
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
26596 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:47 am to
Looking at actual and not modeled



Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90716 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:49 am to
No but it is weird how some things are all over us and some things are not

Being a Deep South based sports first board puts us in a weird space for tracking

We have enough notoriety on TD to have endured numerous BOT attacks, obviously paid shills, and trolls and flamers clearly sent here to disrupt the board.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
47034 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Prediction markets have Talarico winning in a landslide 68% according to Polymarket


I think you don’t understand prediction markets
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
26596 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:50 am to
quote:

supatigah


Please to the needful with these bots.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90716 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:52 am to
Seems like most of the pundits were expecting for greater D enthusiasm dominating the R’s lack of enthusiasm

Maybe the unaffiliated or dramatically de leaning, we just don’t really know. But the R specific numbers look pretty promising.

I think the biggest problem the Ds are facing in this midterm is the lack of NGO money is going to dramatically affect their election day ground game. They just don’t have the money for the voter outreach that they usually rely on to swing certain areas of the state. So they are relying on big donor money which is become harder and harder to come by.
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 11:13 am
Posted by KCTBoneTiger
Member since Oct 2026
47 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:54 am to
NGO Money... MAGA got a lot of that. Elon Musk has funned over $440m for MAGA campaigns this midterm.
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 10:55 am
Posted by MyMardiGrasHat
Member since Sep 2026
420 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:54 am to
quote:

I think you don’t understand prediction markets


Maybe, maybe not. Please tell me how prediction markets work?

Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
173565 posts
Posted on 10/29/26 at 10:55 am to
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