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re: RCP shifts Wisconsin

Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:31 pm to
Posted by AubieinNC2009
Mountain NC
Member since Dec 2018
7304 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

That CNN Harris +6 poll really brought her chances up.


Yes clearly an outlier, that is my problem with RCP, since it averages polls, in closes races a +6 outlier can change the average and flip the state.
Posted by BornKjun
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2008
1022 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:32 pm to
Marquette has Harris +1

It was +4.

CNN has a horrible poll
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8293 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:49 pm to
Kamala’s internals doesn’t even agree with CNN polling
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
3000 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:53 pm to
CNN was the second worst poll in 2020 out of around 30 pollsters. They were off the final result by over 7% nationally. That is horrible, probably overpoll Dems by a large margin.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
143745 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:01 pm to
RCP still has Trump up nationally with the obviously flawed CNN poll.

Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77199 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:04 pm to
That CNN poll is horrendously bad.

+6

Come on.
Posted by Pandy Fackler
Member since Jun 2018
21114 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

The Democrats are coming home. The blacks and Muslims are coming back to the Dems. They were lying about voting for Trump.


This is true.
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
20548 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:06 pm to
I know the reason but I’m just pointing it out.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
24288 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:06 pm to
Show all of them and then you toss the outlier. Keeping in a suspect pole is dumb
Posted by 19
Flux Capacitor, Fluxing
Member since Nov 2007
35668 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Reagan80


Suck my autistic cock
Posted by mcpotiger
Missouri
Member since Mar 2005
9078 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:07 pm to
There is NO momentum for Harris. Just staging it to appear close . Makes the cheating seem more “palatable”
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177204 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:26 pm to
CNN put out a bogus Kamala +6 poll and it bumped her to +0.2 on the aggregate. This time 8 and 4 years ago it was Hillary +5.4 and Biden +6.4. Can we loosen the clutch on our pearls a little bit.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
196393 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 8:27 pm to
that no way to talk to the President
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
17827 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

Show all of them and then you toss the outlier. Keeping in a suspect pole is dumb
Bruh all the data is public, you can toss the outlier yourself and come up with what you think is the right average. You can even toss multiple and only look at the middle 50%. The world is your oyster, why are you acting like it’s an average that means anything of official importance
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 9:10 pm
Posted by LSUbacchus81
Hendersonville, TN
Member since Aug 2007
5884 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

When Trump wins New York this is irrelevant


Posted by damnstrongfan
St. George, Louisiana
Member since Dec 2009
2447 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

That CNN Harris +6 poll really brought her chances up.

RCP should limit themselves to the four most accurate polls from the most recent election. That garbage CNN poll throws the whole thing out of wack.
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 9:21 pm
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
17827 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

RCP should limit themselves to the four most accurate polls from the most recent election.
You can do that yourself and even call it the damnstrongfan aggregate

Why are people so triggered by the audacity of a clearly bullshite datapoint being inserted? Adjust it yourself
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
37102 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:24 pm to
Nothing that any media or polling outlet does matters anymore.

Quit paying attention to them at this stage.

We just have to wait now.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
37102 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

RCP should limit themselves to the four most accurate polls from the most recent election. That garbage CNN poll throws the whole thing out of wack.

Maybe, if RCP's polling average somehow mattered and was anything other than a polling average

This is like the people who think that Biden got Arizona's electoral votes because Fox called Arizona early for Biden.
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