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re: Ralph Abraham internal polling numbers: Not looking good for the GOP

Posted on 9/19/19 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
27733 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

our STATE sales tax is actually middle of the pack nationally.


We rank just below TN. We have fricked property tax structure that forces the legislature to go the sales tax route or income tax route. we really need to stop comparing ourselves to TX and FL. we have 4.5 million people and they have 35 and 25 million people and different resources and attraction irrespective of governmental crap.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
23119 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 1:04 pm to
Agreed. We have one of the lowest property tax rates in the country. That is largely made up by local sales taxes.
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

He has a budget surplus while his GOP predecessor had huge deficits.

In La, the government is constitutionally required to balance the budget. No governor in the history of the state has ran a budget deficit. So there is no reason to crown JBE a hero, considering he voted for 6 out of 8 Jindal budgets. If JBE is such a budget whiz, why did he agree with Jindal admin spending 75% of his political career?
Posted by Rock the Casbah
Member since Dec 2014
940 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

Then why hasn't he mentioned it?


uh, the OP link is to Abraham’s website. If it was bad they would have never released it.

If i’m Comrade Edwards and I’m getting that same poll result, I would be sweating profusely.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
23119 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 1:20 pm to
They didn't really "release it". I couldn't find it directly from their website. Found it from a link on ballotopedia.
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27972 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

If the 2019 election for Governor of Louisiana were held today, and the candidates were just the Democrat John Bel Edwards and the Republican Ralph Abraham, for whom would you vote?

John Bel Edwards: 48%
Ralph Abraham: 44%
Undecided: 8%


That's actually a bad sign for the guv. If he cant get to 50% after 4 years, against a guy who has never ran statewide, then its not likely those undecideds are going to break for him in the run-off
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13159 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 1:56 pm to
1. JBE is vulnerable only because we have so many mindless Repubs in this state who will vote for any Repub over any Democrat regardless.

BUT..

2. I predict that JBE will get 51.5% on Oct 12.

3. Louisiana has one of the lowest individual tax burdens in the country. We are 45th. Texas is 46th.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36213 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Only sales tax got raised


Wrong

Phone tax, alcohol tax, rental taxes, cigarette taxed were all increased.

He added about 1.5 Billion in new taxes (over 15% increase in state revenues) to fix the crisis he crested (putting old ladies on the street, canceling LSU football, etc,),

The economy immediately tanked and we’ve seen an outward migration of our people since then.

Posted by Rock the Casbah
Member since Dec 2014
940 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

They didn't really "release it".


Interesting because I’m looking at a press release dated Sept 12, 2:56 PM from the Abraham campaign with a link to the OP document.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36213 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:15 pm to
quote:


Interesting because I’m looking at a press release dated Sept 12, 2:56 PM from the Abraham campaign with a link to the OP document.


The truth is the JBE butt kissers in the media ignored it. Good catch.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
147389 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:17 pm to
Why will JBE win again? Have ya'll not had enough statues torn down? Frick NOLA you can overcome that leftist diehard vote like most States do to put out the trash..
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
23119 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Interesting because I’m looking at a press release dated Sept 12, 2:56 PM from the Abraham campaign with a link to the OP document.



Oh did he? I stand corrected then. I legit searched for it online and on his website but didn't see it.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140733 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

mindless Repubs in this state who will vote for any Repub over any Democrat regardless


Why are you alt leftists devoid of self awareness?
Posted by skinny domino
sebr
Member since Feb 2007
14350 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

We truly do have some stupid mother frickers in this state.
yep, just read the PT board
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
13504 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

Louisiana has one of the lowest individual tax burdens in the country. We are 45th. Texas is 46th.

Not really.

You’re skirting reality with fancy word selection like JBE promoting HIS great unemployment numbers. He has lost jobs but he has run Louisiana workers out of state at a higher rate. A lot less workers looking for less jobs makes a great statistic but a real suck-arsed reality.

In your case you inserted individual into the total Louisiana tax burden.

According to the U.S. Census last available figures, in 2015, Louisiana was the highest Per Capita government (state and local) spending in the Old South.
Louisiana $9,037, Kentucky $8,920, Mississippi $8,853, South Carolina $8,698, Virginia $8,611, Alabama $8,345, Arkansas $8,189, Texas $8,169, Tennessee $8,120, North Carolina $8,031, Oklahoma $7,878, Florida $7,610, and Georgia $7,263.

Louisiana is a high tax-high spending-big government Southern state. We also have a lower Per Capita income than all those states except in order: South Carolina, Arkansas, Alabama, Kentucky, and of course Mississippi.

We need a new government framework. We should look at the more successful states 2 Florida (2nd lowest taxes), 3 Texas (7th), 4 Tennessee (6th), and 5 Oklahoma (3rd) in Per Capita income. 1 Virginia is the outlier because of Federal salaries of DC.

Himmm.... Texas with middle taxes and all others below average taxes (6th, 3rd, and 2nd), I wonder....

This post was edited on 9/19/19 at 2:45 pm
Posted by SSpaniel
Germantown
Member since Feb 2013
29658 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

I don't see where this poll was really touted by the Abraham campaign


quote:

John Bel Edwards, Democrat: 45%
Ralph Abraham, Republican: 27%


Gee... I wonder why that is.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
23119 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:47 pm to
This article from this year has up at #46. Not sure where they get their figures from though.

46. Louisiana
> Taxes paid as pct. of income: 7.6%
> Income per capita: $43,660 (11th lowest)
> Income tax collections per capita: $612 (13th lowest)
> Property tax collections per capita: $869 (8th lowest)
> General sales tax collections per capita: $680 (14th lowest)
Posted by Walkthedawg
Dawg Pound
Member since Oct 2012
11466 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 2:56 pm to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36213 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 3:07 pm to
How about this 2019 state ranking from US News

50th Louisiana
Breakdown per category:
HEALTH CARE: 45
EDUCATION: 48
ECONOMY: 49
INFRASTRUCTURE: 48
OPPORTUNITY: 50
FISCAL STABILITY: 43
CRIME & CORRECTIONS: 50
NATURAL ENVIRONMENT: 50

LINK

This post was edited on 9/19/19 at 3:07 pm
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
13504 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

This article from this year has up at #46. Not sure where they get their figures from though. 46. Louisiana > Taxes paid as pct. of income: 7.6% > Income per capita: $43,660 (11th lowest) > Income tax collections per capita: $612 (13th lowest) > Property tax collections per capita: $869 (8th lowest) > General sales tax collections per capita: $680 (14th lowest)

Not questioning your honesty.

Figures don’t lie, but lie tellers figure. And confusion confuses. Let’s try to keep it clear.

For example income tax, 13th lowest+ property tax 8th lowest+ General sales taxes 14th lowest=????? There is no way to tell. Income tax of $612 is incalculably more than Texas and Florida who pay 0. Also business taxes and government fees and fines greatly influence an individual’s economic well-being.

That’s why I used the Per Capita state and local government expenditures. In Louisiana government expenditures roughly equal government revenues. And despite fancy categories, government revenues are basically taxes. Really, paying for a license plate sticker is a tax despite its official designation as a fee.
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