re: predict the % of black voters that vote for Trump, nationally

This and this.

I think he gets 15% of a depressed black turnout. Black men will get Trump to 15%. The reason for low turnout is Kamala sucks as a candidate. Black Democrats will stay home. Granted some ballots will be cast for them but not enough.

15%. Until I actually see the actual numbers I won't fall for the same black vote is shifting. I am not saying it isn't true. I am saying I won't believe it until I see it. He had 12% in 2020. I gave him a slight bump over that.

I hope he does get 25% but I don't see it happening.

It’s not the “same black vote is shifting,” it’s a political environment that hasn’t ever before existed, particularly in terms of “traditional” voting blocs and patterns. We’re on new ground, and it doesn’t take any sort of expertise or inside information to realize it.

18%

Would not surprise me if it’s more

14% but lowest black turnout in years……

now ask how many dead and illegals will vote for her

this board can't count that high