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re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:44 pm to DisplacedBuckeye
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:44 pm to DisplacedBuckeye
I think it may come down to the Maine and Nebraska districts. Haven’t seen any polls for those two districts.
0
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:45 pm to TIGERBAIT84
Trump 274.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:46 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Hope I’m wrong
You are. And VERY.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:47 pm to TIGERBAIT84
I’ve had Trump at 320, minus Nevada. I’m leaning towards giving him NV for 326.
Republicans hold Senate with 53-54 seats
Republicans hold Senate with 53-54 seats
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:47 pm to Burreaux09
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:49 pm to Hoyt
Trump wins big enough that Biden concedes by midnight
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:50 pm to TIGERBAIT84
Assuming he gets the R leans like Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Texas, Arizona, NC and Iowa.
That puts him at 260.
He could win by getting either Michigan Minnesota or Wisconsin. Pennsylvania wouldn’t matter then.
That puts him at 260.
He could win by getting either Michigan Minnesota or Wisconsin. Pennsylvania wouldn’t matter then.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:52 pm to TIGERBAIT84
Joe wins the popular vote by 4.5M.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:53 pm to Presidio
quote:
i could see a 260 to 258 and waiting a week or better to see who wins Penn. i hope im wrong of course
quote:I said this exact thing on the first page and got nothing but downvotes
If that happens, there's no way the dems don't cheat their way into "winning" it.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:54 pm to TIGERBAIT84
Trump - more than 270
Biden - less than 270
Biden - less than 270
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:57 pm to TIGERBAIT84
quote:
Trump 362
Biden 176
Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook U. forecasted the exact same numbers on Lou Dobbs a few minutes ago. His model has been right 25 of last 27 elections.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:58 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
I said this exact thing on the first page and got nothing but downvotes
In fairness to the downvoters....the last time this scenario played out, a nominally more liberal SCOTUS declared Bush the winner.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:00 pm to B4YOU
quote:
Joe wins the popular vote by 4.5M.
Lol, no. Hilary only got 2.7 more. Id almost wager Trump wins popular vote.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:02 pm to Topisawtiger
quote:
Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook U. forecasted the exact same numbers on Lou Dobbs a few minutes ago. His model has been right 25 of last 27 elections.
That guy also has Trump winning NY.
Most people who aren't political zealots could get 25 out of 27 elections right.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 5:03 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:04 pm to TIGERBAIT84
OMB- 326
Hiden Biden- 212
Hiden Biden- 212
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:07 pm to TIGERBAIT84
276 Trump. Only Michigan stays true of the three (MI, WI, PA)
NC will make us wait
NC will make us wait
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:08 pm to TIGERBAIT84
Trump 280
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:11 pm to TIGERBAIT84
TL:DR version:
Trump flips New Hampshire.
Biden flips Wisconsin.
NC decides election early morning November 4th.
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin not called for a couple of days but does not matter after NC is called.
Trump 300 EVs.
Biden 238 EVs.
Trump flips New Hampshire.
Biden flips Wisconsin.
NC decides election early morning November 4th.
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin not called for a couple of days but does not matter after NC is called.
Trump 300 EVs.
Biden 238 EVs.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:13 pm to TIGERBAIT84
Trump 277
Biden 261
Biden 261
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