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pleading the fifth
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Feb 2006
3698 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
306-232 Trump


nopants
LSU Fan
Luling, La
Member since Aug 2006
541 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers


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16
iPadThai
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2011
968 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
quote:

Also think there is a reasonable chance he wins popular vote.

Good thing you are not a forecaster or in a job that requires basic understanding of probability and statistics.


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83
iPadThai
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2011
968 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
quote:

Trump 279 (Holds all 2016 states except WI and MI)
Biden 259

This is probably the most reasonable and realistic prediction of a path for Trump victory in this entire thread. People predicting Trump getting over 300+ electoral votes need to take it easy with the Trafalgar and Rassmussen polls.


LSU9102
LSU Fan
West of the Mississippi
Member since Mar 2007
2240 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
quote:

Assuming he gets the R leans like Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Texas, Arizona, NC and Iowa.

That puts him at 260.

He could win by getting either Michigan Minnesota or Wisconsin. Pennsylvania wouldn’t matter then.


Trump will not lose in the South. I even gave them Maine and Pennsylvania.

Worse case scenario final
Trump 275
Biden 263 F


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01
OleWar
US Army Fan
Troy H. Middleton Library
Member since Mar 2008
4823 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers


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01
Man With A Plan
USA Fan
Member since Nov 2019
796 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers


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23
Mbeloso
LSU Fan
Thibodaux
Member since Dec 2019
85 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Don’t really know the amount of Electoral Numbers.
But I believe that Trump wins Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Florida, and Georgia.
Biden wins the popular vote but Trump wins the Electoral College.

In 2021 we will see at least the beginning of the greatest economic growth in history. Our GDP will pass up China. (They just passed us up.)

Roe vs. Wade we’ll be overturned in the second term.
Religious Liberty will be the strongest it has ever been.
Patriotism will come back over the land for the majority of the population.

The education of America will be transformed and God will be put back in the schools.


Mbeloso
LSU Fan
Thibodaux
Member since Dec 2019
85 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Trump wins the other typical states republicans win. Like Iowa, Tx, NC.


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SportTiger1
LSU Fan
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
23819 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers


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Cajunese
LA-Lafayette Fan
Mandeville, La.
Member since Jun 2005
5882 posts
 Online 

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Trump-290
Biden-248


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01
GeneralLee
LSU Fan
Member since Aug 2004
10369 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Image: https://www.270towin.com/map-images/NJbOp


I just have a bad feeling about GA for some reason. So building in a buffer here....



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ApexTiger
LSU Fan
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
46165 posts
 Online 

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
quote:

there is a reasonable chance he wins popular vote.



it's crazy to think he wouldn't...

the democrats have a super weak ticket...

nothing but hate would carry the day for Dems...


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24
Big Scrub TX
LSU Fan
Austin
Member since Dec 2013
23829 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Here goes:

Turnout will be sky high - that's the thing we know with absolute certainty. I continue to maintain that it's not clear that that is a net positive for Trump this time around.

I think there are ~10 states that legit could go either way. Here's my prediction on those:

NE 2nd: Biden
NV: Biden
WI: Biden
VA: Biden
NH: Biden
MI: Biden
MN: Biden

OH: Trump
FL: Trump
IA: Trump
TX: Trump
ME 2nd: Trump

AZ: probably Trump?
NC: probably Trump?

GA and PA: too gottdamned close to say

Trump would need to win all 4 of those last 4 AND win OH, FL, TX AND IA (no exceptions.) That seems REALLY HARD to me.

WHAT TO HAVE YOUR EYES PEELED FOR TOMORROW NIGHT:

If Sleepy Joe is looking good in GA or FL, then turn out the lights, the race will essentially be over (even if it takes awhile to actually be announced.)

If Biden surprises in TX, it's over right then and there.

If Trump looks good in PA and shows strength in one of those Biden states, he might have a chance - but it will be at least a week before we know.

FINAL PREDICTION: Trump misses by just a state or two, but he missed.

2nd FINAL PREDICTION: The Senate will go whichever way the POTUS goes.


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42
ApexTiger
LSU Fan
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
46165 posts
 Online 

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
325 Trump, Biden 215 The Apex Map


ApexTiger
LSU Fan
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
46165 posts
 Online 

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
quote:

People predicting Trump getting over 300+ electoral votes


Trump is not getting less than he got in 2016

Hillary was 5 times more popular than Biden..."it was her turn"

look what happened


AllDayEveryDay
Texas A&M Fan
Nawf Tejas
Member since Jun 2015
1991 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Haven't done the map but I'm at 326.


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03
Catahoula20LSU
LSU Fan
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
1134 posts
 Online 

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Trump 315


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03
LuckyTiger
Minnesota Fan
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
27307 posts

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Biden

Something around 300 - 240, 70M - 66M.


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31
TakingStock
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2009
5710 posts
 Online 

re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers
Here is my map, though I think NM will be VERY close:

Image: https://www.270towin.com/map-images/9JPwk


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