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Oil Bros - why can't the US refine sweet crude & would diesel export ban even lower price?
Posted on 10/2/26 at 9:45 am
Posted on 10/2/26 at 9:45 am
All the talk of diesel export ban and some theorize that this actually would not lower prices much at all b/c we don't even have the infrastructure to move and refine the excess crude in the US as is.
US produces mostly light, sweet crude now but all refineries are set up for Venezuelan/Canadian heavy crude. Also most fuel is consumed on the coastlines cities, but mostly produced and refined in the nation's interior.
Would Jones act elimimate red tape to build new refineries? And would Uncle Sam be able to, I don't know, not add $500B to the defense budget and instead take a fraction of that and subsidize energy inftsructure expansion in the US?
US produces mostly light, sweet crude now but all refineries are set up for Venezuelan/Canadian heavy crude. Also most fuel is consumed on the coastlines cities, but mostly produced and refined in the nation's interior.
Would Jones act elimimate red tape to build new refineries? And would Uncle Sam be able to, I don't know, not add $500B to the defense budget and instead take a fraction of that and subsidize energy inftsructure expansion in the US?
This post was edited on 10/2/26 at 9:46 am
Posted on 10/2/26 at 10:08 am to MightyJoeYoung
Definitely need to repeal any EPA/Carbon Credit type regulations that increases costs of building a new refinery as well as fastracking any air pollution permitting and evironmental reviews. The real problem is that O&G companies don't want to invest billions of dollars and years of planning and construction for a project that might get shut down in a few years when another cheating democrat is in charge and can change the regulations with a stroke of a pen. I'm hopeful after the dems get waxed in the midterms that the wallets might open up more for O&G/Petrochemical capital projects, which have been at a standstill since the tarriffs hit.
This post was edited on 10/2/26 at 10:11 am
Posted on 10/2/26 at 10:12 am to MightyJoeYoung
quote:
US produces mostly light, sweet crude now but all refineries are set up for Venezuelan/Canadian heavy crude. Also most fuel is consumed on the coastlines cities, but mostly produced and refined in the nation's interior.
The majority of refinement capacity is in the South with Texas and Louisiana accounting for somewhere just over half of all refinement. Green policies in the northeast have screwed them to the point where they rely on fuel from other regions and imports from overseas to account for the majority of their fuel.
quote:
Would Jones act elimimate red tape to build new refineries?
No, it doesn't deal with production. What you need to address for new refineries is the EPA and state/local coalitions banning together to keep them from being built.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 10:20 am to MightyJoeYoung
First, Yes, the diesel export ban would lower the price of diesel in the US because we would have more supply and the same demand.
This is not true. We have a lot of refineries set up that way but not close to “all”.
This is irrelevant.
If you mean, would the elimination of the Jones Act help get refineries built, the answer is not materially. However, I believe the Jones Act should be eliminated or greatly modified.
I have mixed feelings about the defense budget. I want a much stronger military but believe it could be had for even less money than we currently spend.
I think your idea of the federal government subsidizing refining is a horrible one. The reason refineries are not being built very much is because of regulations that choke them out. The bill in the Senate right now is a good start to fixing that.
quote:
US produces mostly light, sweet crude now but all refineries are set up for Venezuelan/Canadian heavy crude.
This is not true. We have a lot of refineries set up that way but not close to “all”.
quote:
Also most fuel is consumed on the coastlines cities, but mostly produced and refined in the nation's interior.
This is irrelevant.
quote:
Would Jones act elimimate red tape to build new refineries?
If you mean, would the elimination of the Jones Act help get refineries built, the answer is not materially. However, I believe the Jones Act should be eliminated or greatly modified.
quote:
And would Uncle Sam be able to, I don't know, not add $500B to the defense budget and instead take a fraction of that and subsidize energy inftsructure expansion in the US?
I have mixed feelings about the defense budget. I want a much stronger military but believe it could be had for even less money than we currently spend.
I think your idea of the federal government subsidizing refining is a horrible one. The reason refineries are not being built very much is because of regulations that choke them out. The bill in the Senate right now is a good start to fixing that.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 10:25 am to lowhound
Sweet crude requires new refineries.
Last refinery built was 1977 in Garyville Louisiana
California shut down 30 refineries since 1983. In last 12 months they closed 2 refineries.
To lower diesel, easing exports ..build new refineries. Takes 6 to 10 years
Last refinery built was 1977 in Garyville Louisiana
California shut down 30 refineries since 1983. In last 12 months they closed 2 refineries.
To lower diesel, easing exports ..build new refineries. Takes 6 to 10 years
Posted on 10/2/26 at 10:39 am to Penrod
quote:
First, Yes, the diesel export ban would lower the price of diesel in the US because we would have more supply and the same demand.
Not exactly, because it's not as straight-forward as that. From a post I made last week:
quote:
TL;DR version - All of this would mean a quick drop in diesel prices domestically, but then spikes on the East and West Coasts. As we import a lot of our goods, the jump in international diesel prices would mean an increase on the prices of imports across the board, likely being greater than any savings we saw from increasing the domestic supply of diesel.
For the more in-depth explanation...
The East Coast (PADD 1) has to bring in ~80%-85% of its diesel from outside its region. While the majority of that comes from domestic transport, around 20% of it comes from international sources because those domestic transport avenues run around 100% capacity 24/7/365 (looking at you, Colonial). This is not only from lack of expanding transport paths (new pipelines, expanding refineries, etc) but the actual shrinking of them because of green politics.
We could just run more tanker ships, but then that runs into problems from The Jones Act. The tl;dr on it is that it mandates that any cargo shipped between two U.S. ports must be carried on ships that are built, owned, flagged, and crewed by U.S. citizens. The problem here is there is such a shortage of qualified ships and crew that it's already cheaper for PADD 1 to have imports come in via tanker from Europe than it is for it to come via tankers from PADD 3 (the Gulf Coast).
PADD 5, the West Coast, imports roughly 60%-65% of its crude oil from the international market (read: Northern Asia and the Middle East) because there are only a couple of very small (relative to demand) pipelines which run from any other PADD to PADD 5. Calling the output from those pipelines "a trickle" could be considered an exaggeration. In essence, PADD 5 is a fuel island. Some of this is green politics, some of this is the reality of the logistical headaches of running pipelines through the Rockies.
As an interesting footnote, Arizona is in a unique position where part of it is fed by the extreme end of PADD 3 (from Texas) while the other part is fed from the extreme end of PADD 5 (California). A diesel ban would likely isolate much of that state as demand from the other, larger states would take precedent.
The US produces ~20% of the diesel on the international market. Suddenly removing that from global trade is going to seriously frick a lot of countries to the point where they will gladly frick us back on the cost to us to import diesel from them under waivers, the cost of increased imports of goods (because those are going to rise and we import a shitload of goods) or both.
To look at a different aspect, ~50% of US storage for finished diesel is in PADD 3. We would see a quick drop in prices domestically but all of the other regions would see those prices spike back up shortly thereafter due to the lack of available storage and that so much of that transport and storage infrastructure is currently maxed or nearly so that we have to rely on crude imports for certain regions.
This post was edited on 10/2/26 at 10:48 am
Posted on 10/2/26 at 10:53 am to MightyJoeYoung
quote:
but all refineries are set up for Venezuelan/Canadian heavy crude
Wrong.
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:09 am to udtiger
quote:
Wrong.
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
Correct
Side note:
This board really needs an educational lesson on crude oils.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:23 am to MightyJoeYoung
quote:
sweet crude
I know you aren’t supposed to drink it but every time I hear that I want to dip a finger in and see what’s what.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:23 am to MightyJoeYoung
Politicians.
They have refused to approve any refinery projects since the last one was built which was Marathon Garyville, LA in 1975. There has been expansion projects but no new refineries.
If we had more that can refine sweet crude which is what the US produces, what happens overseas for gasoline would not matter.
They have refused to approve any refinery projects since the last one was built which was Marathon Garyville, LA in 1975. There has been expansion projects but no new refineries.
If we had more that can refine sweet crude which is what the US produces, what happens overseas for gasoline would not matter.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:26 am to udtiger
quote:
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
Which is looking to expand because of it.
I thought Citgo was refining Venezuelan crude as well.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:29 am to MightyJoeYoung
IIRC, the United States has not had a new refinery built since the 1970s. At that time, we were importing middle eastern oil. So our refineries can refine ME oil, not Brent or WTI crude. The latter are exported for refining.
We need to build new refineries.
We need to build new baseload power generation. Specifically, coal, natural gas, and nuclear.
We need to build more water reservoirs to accommodate greater demand from population growth, especially out west.
Finally, we need to build new water treatment plants.
We need to build new refineries.
We need to build new baseload power generation. Specifically, coal, natural gas, and nuclear.
We need to build more water reservoirs to accommodate greater demand from population growth, especially out west.
Finally, we need to build new water treatment plants.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:47 am to udtiger
quote:
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
What about this?
quote:
Valero was the largest US recipient of Venezuelan crude in July, with a total of 282,000 b/d at three refineries — its 290,000 b/d Corpus Christi and 385,000 b/d Port Arthur refineries in Texas, and its 215,000 b/d St Charles plant in Louisiana, EIA data show.
Citgo took the second-largest amount of Venezuelan crude in July with 112,000 b/d, while PBF Energy was third at 84,000 b/d.
Other US refiners and trading companies that took Venezuelan crude in July included Phillips 66, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Marathon Petroleum, Pemex-owned Deer Park Refining, and Atlantic Trading and Marketing, according to the EIA data.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:47 am to udtiger
quote:
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
BS. Dozens can. There's a handful that have the ability to refine it in massive volumes, like the one in Pascagoula, but there's like 25 or so that can process Venezuelan crude.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:47 am to udtiger
quote:
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
Citgo in Sulphur refined almost exclusively Venezuelan crude for decades.
Posted on 10/2/26 at 11:48 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
I know you aren’t supposed to drink it but every time I hear that I want to dip a finger in and see what’s what.
Hail Victory!
Posted on 10/2/26 at 12:56 pm to udtiger
quote:
There's only one US refinery that can handle Venezuelan crude and that's the Chevron refinery in Pascagoula.
Why is that? A quick google search says all of these could handle the oil
quote:
Valero — Port Arthur, Corpus Christi, and St. Charles in Norco, LA. Port Arthur was literally built for Venezuelan crude.
Phillips 66 — Sweeny in Old Ocean, TX, and Lake Charles in Westlake, LA.
Chevron — Pascagoula, Mississippi, plus El Segundo in California.
Citgo — Corpus Christi, Texas, and Lake Charles, Louisiana.
Is that going off of old data or something?
Posted on 10/2/26 at 12:58 pm to Ailsa
For what in return orange man?
Posted on 10/2/26 at 1:07 pm to back9Tiger
quote:
I thought Citgo was refining Venezuelan crude as well
I thought the refinery in Chalmette could too. Wasn’t it owned by the Venezuelan government at one time?

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