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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

Posted on 5/30/26 at 8:14 am to
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
13467 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 8:14 am to
I don’t think arms to the people are going to do it. Nobody wants to admit it but the revolutionary element got purged before we could get clear of the Olympics and not do norm breaking (sorta like Russia waiting until after the Olympics in 2022). There was some sort of secrecy break down and the regime cracked down hard.

At this juncture collapsing the regime is going to be on US-Israel destroying cities and infrastructure causing complete civil collapse. There is no little shove of decapitation strikes that is going to do it now. Our timing got fricked up and the internal forces we likely hoped to seize the initiative in the power vacuum got purged.
This post was edited on 5/30/26 at 8:15 am
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1944 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 8:40 am to
quote:

don’t think arms to the people are going to do it. Nobody wants to admit it but the revolutionary element got purged before we could get clear of the Olympics and not do norm breaking (sorta like Russia waiting until after the Olympics in 2022). There was some sort of secrecy break down and the regime cracked down hard.

At this juncture collapsing the regime is going to be on US-Israel destroying cities and infrastructure causing complete civil collapse. There is no little shove of decapitation strikes that is going to do it now. Our timing got fricked up and the internal forces we likely hoped to seize the initiative in the power vacuum got purged.


I think you're probably right.
Iranian leadership {whoever the hell that is} is watching CNN, BBC, Reuters,, Bloomberg,etc. and see the complaining over high fuel prices and avaition fuel shortages, fertilizer shortages,etc. and realize everyday without and beleive they can just absorb the pain and wait us out.
Reallly is time for bridges and power plants.
Posted by moontigr
Dark Side of the Moon
Member since Nov 2020
7723 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 8:46 am to
quote:

Totally reasonable people I’d want to cut a deal with. Totally the best.


...except those aren't the ones we're trying to cut a deal with. They should be the ones, but they're not.
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
5359 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Out there, in the hellscape of Iran, a lady owes a man a new pack of cigs.


No internet, yet they seem to still have access to ChatGPT.
Posted by PaulDrake
L.A. & Bayou Pa Pon
Member since Feb 2023
961 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 9:15 am to
Realistically speaking, how can you negotiate with a regime that is continuously attacking you and setting mines?

Posted by Goforit
Member since Apr 2019
8855 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 9:24 am to
When you have liberal lunatics making up every lie imaginable against Trump, can you blame him for doing everything he possibly can to avoid any further military action? When he does pull the trigger, it will be clear to the majority of sane people that there was no other option except further military action.
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
38722 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 9:30 am to
quote:

Reallly is time for bridges and power plants.


It’s been time. Present the deal, say sign. They say no. Say okay, systemically kill the entire upper echelon. Wait a few days. Find the new head rat. Present same deal. They say no. Repeat and escalate. New leaders, same deal. They refuse? Repeat and escalate. New leaders. Same deal.

Rinse.

Repeat.

Until
A) they cry uncle and sign
B) no one left to sign
Posted by TigerTiger12914
TEXAS
Member since Apr 2026
46 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 9:52 am to
You need the Iran Military leaders at the table. Then do that and lets see if they want to negotiate further.

I know the President is hurting them the longer he waits but he must act quickly
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
47250 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 9:55 am to
quote:


It’s been time. Present the deal, say sign. They say no. Say okay, systemically kill the entire upper echelon. Wait a few days. Find the new head rat. Present same deal. They say no. Repeat and escalate. New leaders, same deal. They refuse? Repeat and escalate. New leaders. Same deal.

Rinse.

Repeat.

Until
A) they cry uncle and sign
B) no one left to sign


Video game diplomacy
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
63952 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 10:12 am to
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
5359 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

You need the Iran Military leaders at the table.


The supreme leader is the military leader. …sorta like a commander in chief.
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
13467 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 10:44 am to
quote:

I think you're probably right. Iranian leadership {whoever the hell that is} is watching CNN, BBC, Reuters,, Bloomberg,etc. and see the complaining over high fuel prices and avaition fuel shortages, fertilizer shortages,etc. and realize everyday without and beleive they can just absorb the pain and wait us out. Reallly is time for bridges and power plants.


I love my country but our people are soft and privileged to live in the first world. Them Iranian people can suffer far more than we can and they know it.
Posted by mailman85
Kentucky
Member since Mar 2013
320 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 10:50 am to
Is the War over yet?
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
63952 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 10:57 am to
Posted by Ailsa
Member since May 2020
9626 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 10:59 am to
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
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quote:

"Iran wants a reparation fund? There will NEVER be a DIME of American money to be spent on reparations for Iran!"

"By the way, is Iran going to go rebuild Gaza after they destroyed it with Hamas, or they could rebuild Lebanon after they destroyed it with Hezbollah, or rebuild Yemen, which are destroying with the Houthis they support?!"

"I'm hopeful the whole Trump can get a deal, I don't, I'm very pessimistic that will happen, so I think we're going to have to go back and destroy the Revolutionary Guard."
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
10420 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 11:59 am to
I saw chatter about this last week and this is the first I've seen it publicly talked about. Supposedly, along the UAE coast, we have been proving GPS and AIS jamming to confuse the Iranian systems and have been secretly guiding select vessels on a course close to the UAE coastline.

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Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
10420 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 12:00 pm to
In other news, we touched a boat trying to run the blockade.

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quote:

JUST IN: The U.S. military has disabled another merchant ship attempting to breach the blockade of Iranian ports.

The Gambia-flagged bulk carrier Lian Star reportedly ignored repeated warnings before being disabled by U.S. aircraft in the Gulf of Oman. It is now adrift.

This marks the 6th vessel stopped while trying to break the blockade.
This post was edited on 5/30/26 at 12:02 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75735 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 12:05 pm to
The size of those ships never ceases to amaze me.
Posted by TroutGuy
Member since Mar 2026
412 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 12:05 pm to
It's not enough that Iran doesn't get US taxpayer money in any deal. We control like $80 billion in frozen funds which are arguably "theirs," but they shouldn't see a dime of that either until the nuclear dust starts leaving Iran to a reliable country.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
10420 posts
Posted on 5/30/26 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

The size of those ships never ceases to amaze me.


They are freaking huge. My cousin used to run a business in Houston and New Orleans that provided supplies to ships when they made port. It's no wonder he had to have huge warehouse space to supply his customers.
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