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re: New poll has Massie leading Gallrein

Posted on 4/9/26 at 6:47 pm to
Posted by Harry Rex Vonner
Foggy Bottom Law School
Member since Nov 2013
50456 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

I miss Jugbow.




I know !!

Jugbow had a bachelor's in economics from Emory, an MBA from Northwestern, law degree from Columbia, and a PhD from Stanford


I'm so sad we aren't able to read his wisdom anymore
Posted by blueboy
Member since Apr 2006
65291 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:13 pm to
Massie just has to maintain his grassroots ground game domination. AIPAC millions can buy a lot of things but they can't completely rewire people's brains.

Especially if Trump's war is still going on by the time polls open.
Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
11149 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

If AIPAC supported Trump over Newsom, you'd vote Newsom


AIPAC supports both
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
90508 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:16 pm to
Meghan has been tweeting up a storm!
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
89704 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:21 pm to
Still waiting on him to spill the beans in Epstein.


Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
83899 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

He votes with the dems
See my previous post
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
10585 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

Massie is one of only a handful of conservatives in this government

Losing him only helps the left


He is a grandstanding ineffective waste of space. He is like the guy with the funny hair from SC a few years ago.
Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
83899 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

He is a grandstanding ineffective waste of space.




I can definitely understand why you need that to be true
Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
11149 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

He is a grandstanding ineffective waste of space.


And the other 434 representatives?
Posted by Chancellor
BHam
Member since Oct 2017
3652 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Anyone would be an improvement over Media Whore Massie.



Too Conservative for you, huh?

You are really rooting for the most consistent Conservative vote in Congress to be replaced by any unknown who will suck Trump's orange cock on issues like higher deficit spending and more wars like the rest of you cult losers.

Goddamn. You are one supremely stupid motherfricker. Thankfully, it looks like a majority of Kentuckians aren't as fricking stupid as you are.
This post was edited on 4/9/26 at 8:08 pm
Posted by Good Times
Hill top in Tn
Member since Nov 2007
24848 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:12 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/9/26 at 11:58 pm
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
17836 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

Under 50% when you have all of the name recognition is not a great spot to be in
But 50% is within margin of error and with double digit undecided, borderline comfortable. And when that "name recognition" comes in the form of pure, directed hatred by the most influential GOP politician in decades and he's still sitting at a 47-38-15 lead, it becomes a testament to the likelihood of his victory
quote:

Gallrein’s larger difficulty is that he remains less fully defined than Massie, and not entirely on favorable terms. Some 21.9% of respondents said they had not heard enough about him to form an opinion. Among those who had, 39.8% viewed him favorably and 38.3% unfavorably, for a net favorable rating of +1.5
quote:

Massie, by contrast, is well known and polarizing, but that may be enough. Just 2.3% said they had not heard enough about him to form an opinion. Overall, 51.4% viewed him favorably and 46.4% unfavorably, for a net favorable rating of +5.0
While true that Massie is more known and is polarizing, he's no more polarizing than his opponent once people get to know the latter. ~40% favorability with only 20% not sufficiently informed is actually pretty dreadful in primary competitions as favorability between 2 candidates isn't mutually exclusive. That's just a weak as hell challenger

Consider also that the people who strongly want Massie out are not in that ~20% who don't have an educated opinion of Gallrein yet. They would have been first to form their opinion in the 80%. So almost by defintion, that 20% (i.e., the majority of the 15% undecided voters) are not going to heavily break towards Gallrein
quote:

Asked which type of Republican member of Congress they would rather support, 49.9% said they preferred one who is independent-minded, while 37.4% said they preferred a strong Trump supporter
If this is accurate about the electorate the race is as good as over. That's a perfect mirror to the candidate poll itself. And basically cements that Trump could spend the remaining 7 months going thermonuclear on his favorite punching bag, he isn't driving the outcome
This post was edited on 4/10/26 at 1:40 am
Posted by 844_Tiger
Down_Under
Member since Jul 2021
606 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

AIPAC ED doesn't have a chance here in Kentucky

Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
103910 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:20 pm to
Any polling in a House race is suspect simply because of the problem in getting a poll of the actual district.

The only House races probably polling worth a shite are statewide ones in Alaska, Delaware, Wyoming, etc, where it is an at large seat.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65706 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

Too Conservative for you, huh?


No, too much of a media where.

quote:

You are really rooting for the most consistent Conservative vote in Congress to be replaced by any unknown who will suck Trump's orange cock on issues like higher deficit spending and more wars like the rest of you cult losers.


He is a reliable opposition vote on anything important.
This post was edited on 4/9/26 at 9:52 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476382 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:53 pm to
quote:


No, too much of a media where.

Do you hold Trump to these same standards?
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65706 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

Do you hold Trump to these same standards?


He's the leader of the party. He's supposed to be front and center.

Massie is an inconsequential nobody.
Posted by LittleJerrySeinfield
350,000 Post Karma
Member since Aug 2013
11280 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:11 pm to
Gallrein refuses to debate Massey. Wonder why? Maybe Trump will hold another rally for Gallrein. The last one worked out so well…
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157679 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

respondents said they had not heard enough about him to form an opinion.


Because that pussy won’t debate. He is just like Biden. Hide and hope money wins.
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157679 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

Do you hold Trump to these same standards?



Lololol
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