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re: New LA Gubernatorial poll out
Posted on 9/27/19 at 3:50 pm to Clashmore Mike
Posted on 9/27/19 at 3:50 pm to Clashmore Mike
Offshore oil went kaput due to the Moratorium and didn’t have time to recover before the collapse of oil prices in 2015. As oil prices slowly rebounded, Louisiana should have come back online, but the sitting governor spearheaded dozens of lawsuits against the oil companies. So, despite prices being high enough for work to resume, many of the companies are hanging back and investing elsewhere. Jon Bel has also been spearheading all kinds of property tax, sales tax, and tax exemption shenanigans that are scaring away the petrochemical and refining companies from investing here in the short term. Louisiana likely lost $20 billion in potential projects under JBE to Mississippi and Texas (mainly Corpus Christi) due to those shenanigans.
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Posted on 9/27/19 at 3:56 pm to Clashmore Mike
quote:
When I lived there, Louisiana was still heavily reliant to the Oil industry.
Still probably about 90-95% dependent on O&G sector. If voter turnout sucks & JBE gets re-elected, there’s virtually no shot this changes. And he’ll keep blowing smoke about growth in DJT’s economic surge.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:04 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Our jobs numbers took a bad nosedive between the end of 2014 through the middle of 2016 and into 2017. They've been improving since 2018.
Some real job numbers from the BLS:
Employees on non farm payrolls, seasonally adjusted-Louisiana
July 2018 1,981,900
July 2029 1,980,900
A LOSS OF JOBS
August 2018 unemployment rate Louisiana seasonally adjusted 4.9% for August 2019 4.3%.
A drop in the unemployment rate even though there aren’t more jobs. Why is that?
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:06 pm to doubleb
Because thousands more people moved away or retired than entered the workforce or lost jobs.
Those that lost jobs found new ones...in Texas. The middle class is slowly leaving while the underclass is growing.
Those that lost jobs found new ones...in Texas. The middle class is slowly leaving while the underclass is growing.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:08 pm to kingbob
quote:
Because thousands more people moved away or retired than entered the workforce or lost jobs. Those that lost jobs found new ones...in Texas. The middle class is slowly leaving while the underclass is growing.
Buy that man a beer!!!!
This post was edited on 9/27/19 at 4:14 pm
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:27 pm to Bestbank Tiger
quote:
Undecideds usually break for the challenger, let's hope that's the case here
But if half of those stay home, 47% becomes 50% (JBE has more support than Abraham + Rispone).
Or if 1/3 of them choose JBE he wins.
JBE will easily win re-election imo
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:33 pm to The Boat
Boat, that's not a good poll when it has JBE at 47% with 11% undecided.
It's not over yet but it appears that Rispone is cannibalizing Abraham and JBE to a very possible outright victory in the first round.
Rispone is spending millions attacking Abraham only for JBE to pick up those voters who decided against abraham after those attacks.
It's not over yet but it appears that Rispone is cannibalizing Abraham and JBE to a very possible outright victory in the first round.
Rispone is spending millions attacking Abraham only for JBE to pick up those voters who decided against abraham after those attacks.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:38 pm to KiwiHead
quote:
47 this close in is not good news for Republicans.
No shite.
47 is close enough for a margin of error swing for JBE to win this outright in the first round.
Prior to Rispone going negative on Abraham, GOP was outpolling JBE 46-45. Not anymore now.
The poll is good for Rispone, it's really bad for the rest of us who just want JBE gone.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:43 pm to Sentrius
IF Rispone somehow makes a runoff JBE wins in a landslide. Abraham people aren’t going to go support Eddies bitch arse now that he’s went Gumbo pac .
This post was edited on 9/27/19 at 4:44 pm
Posted on 9/27/19 at 4:46 pm to LSUballs
quote:
IF Rispone somehow makes a runoff, JBE wins in a landslide. Abraham people aren’t going to go support Eddies bitch arse now that he’s went Gumbo pac .
I'm afraid this could very well be the story of this election; you don't alienate and piss off the voters you will need later.
I sincerely hope it isn't though as we cannot afford four more years of the political twin of Edwin Edwards.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 5:13 pm to Sentrius
quote:
47 is close enough for a margin of error swing for JBE to win this outright in the first round.
Prior to Rispone going negative on Abraham, GOP was outpolling JBE 46-45. Not anymore now.
The poll is good for Rispone, it's really bad for the rest of us who just want JBE gone.
You go berserk when Edwards moves up a point and blame Rispone!!!
Isn’t Abraham campaigning too or is Rispone suppose to just knock Edwards back for Abraham?
Last night both candidates had JBE on the debate stage and neither guy did much to knock him off his game, or to get undecideds thinking. Quit whining and making excuses for your guy and realize that if nothing changes JBE is going to get re-elected.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 5:16 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Rispone would win if we didn’t have to hear him talk
I agree.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 5:21 pm to Parmen
quote:
Rispone 2019
= JBE winning in October. Rispone is an awful politician, and too much of a cringeworthy panderer
This post was edited on 9/27/19 at 5:22 pm
Posted on 9/27/19 at 5:23 pm to doubleb
quote:
Isn’t Abraham campaigning too or is Rispone suppose to just knock Edwards back for Abraham?
Funny you mention that. If there were one single competent individual in the upper tier of the LA GOP, this is exactly what Rispone’s role would be. Unfortunately there isn’t, because the upper echelons of the Louisiana Republican Party have spent the past two decades playing red rover with their party affiliation.
I have more faith in the competency and effectiveness of the DNC than I do LA GOP, but then again I would also have more faith in a stapler.
This post was edited on 9/27/19 at 5:27 pm
Posted on 9/27/19 at 6:13 pm to Indefatigable
There has to be a better candidate in the Louisiana GOP.
Just get a normal 40-50 year old guy and it should be an easy win.
Just get a normal 40-50 year old guy and it should be an easy win.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 6:22 pm to doubleb
quote:
Some real job numbers from the BLS:
Employees on non farm payrolls, seasonally adjusted-Louisiana
July 2018 1,981,900
July 2029 1,980,900
A LOSS OF JOBS
What I said is 100% accurate and from BLS.
January 2018: 1,974,100
December 2018: 1,982,200
January 2019: 1,984,200
August 2019: 1,986,600 (preliminary estimates)
Posted on 9/27/19 at 7:49 pm to LSUballs
I agree with this, but JBE has a good chance of winning outright. His 2 Republican opponents are weak. Things would be different if Scalise or Kennedy were running.
Posted on 9/27/19 at 7:58 pm to The Boat
If that poll is accurate, Edwards wins reelection in the primary.
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