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Sentrius
| Favorite team: | |
| Location: | Fort Rozz |
| Biography: | https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ze8wbsq2bRpjwE9QcDw6eCU53XI=/1400x1400/filters:format(jpeg)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20020977/1246337799.jpg.jpg |
| Interests: | https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EalbyUlXYAYJBeB?format=jpg&name=large |
| Occupation: | [img]http://i.imgur.com/iXZLe.gif[/img][img]http://i.imgur.com/00Y6k.gif[/img] |
| Number of Posts: | 64757 |
| Registered on: | 6/5/2011 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Treasurer John Schroder running for governor in 2023
Posted by Sentrius on 1/19/22 at 5:06 pm
Can Schroder raise the money that's necessary to compete in a Louisiana Governor's race? We're talking at least 10 million here.
If he can't raise that money, then we have no business talking about a Schroder candidacy for Governor.
If there's one thing we learned from Ralph Abraham's campaign in 2019, you can't win if you have no money and certainly can't campaign well enough to win. For comparison's sake, Eddie Rispone spent at least 14 million iirc, and was able to drown Abraham with it.
Btw, Nungesser and Landry already have at least 10 million in the bank iirc and is primed to add more soon. Can Schroder compete with that?
If he can't raise that money, then we have no business talking about a Schroder candidacy for Governor.
If there's one thing we learned from Ralph Abraham's campaign in 2019, you can't win if you have no money and certainly can't campaign well enough to win. For comparison's sake, Eddie Rispone spent at least 14 million iirc, and was able to drown Abraham with it.
Btw, Nungesser and Landry already have at least 10 million in the bank iirc and is primed to add more soon. Can Schroder compete with that?
2
re: Louisiana's Democratic party might have just imploded. Ted James Is Bailing Out.
Posted by Sentrius on 1/3/22 at 1:06 pm
quote:
They both wanted to be Alpha Dogs.
And what did they get for their troubles?
A status as has-been nobodies chilling on the ash heap of history.
And the hard working producers of Louisiana are the ones paying the price for their stupid and destructive feud and suffering for it.
Shame on those two.
quote:
Neither was a team player and both had higher aspirations and had no problem stepping on toes to get there.
What they failed to understand is that to be a successful politician, you have to be good at networking, coalition building and gaining as many allies as possible. That's the very nature of politics and its to build consensus around issues and/or candidates.
If Jindal actually had good street instincts to go with those book smarts that he loved to advertise, he would've recognized that Vitter was the prohibitive front runner for Governor, buttered him up as much as he could for a possible appointment to the Senate seat that Vitter would've had to vacate and Jindal would still be relevant in Louisiana politics today and would be for a very long time.
Instead in this reality thanks to his failure to look at the long term big picture, Jindal is relegated to a Sunday morning column in the Wall Street Journal and a twitter feed with a smattering of followers. And nothing more than that.
The Lesson here? In politics, Don't burn bridges until you absolutely have to and have no choice and never as a first resort. You never know when you will still need those bridges until you actually need them.
re: Louisiana's Democratic party might have just imploded. Ted James Is Bailing Out.
Posted by Sentrius on 1/3/22 at 11:44 am
What I don't get about Bobby Jindal is his pointless, stupid and shortsighted blood sport feud with David Vitter at the tail end of his time as Governor and using Scott Angelle as a stalking horse against Vitter.
It was a feud so catastrophic that it split Louisiana republicans up into factions and that was a harbinger of what 2015 was going to bring.
Bad things happen when the Governor and Senator of the same party are in a blood sport against each other.
It's a huge mark against Jindal. He failed to take good care of the standing of Louisiana republicans, refused to set them up as well for the future as he possibly can if it meant Vitter would be at the forefront of that and did not care about doing everything he could to make sure his successor was not a liberal democrat.
Jindal truly didn't give a damn about the conservatives that went to bat for him and left them with 8 years of the political twin of Edwin Edwards (JBE) to deal with.
It was a feud so catastrophic that it split Louisiana republicans up into factions and that was a harbinger of what 2015 was going to bring.
Bad things happen when the Governor and Senator of the same party are in a blood sport against each other.
It's a huge mark against Jindal. He failed to take good care of the standing of Louisiana republicans, refused to set them up as well for the future as he possibly can if it meant Vitter would be at the forefront of that and did not care about doing everything he could to make sure his successor was not a liberal democrat.
Jindal truly didn't give a damn about the conservatives that went to bat for him and left them with 8 years of the political twin of Edwin Edwards (JBE) to deal with.
re: Harry Reid dead at 82
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 9:31 pm
quote:
I don’t think God cares much what I think, but I’ll be upset if He allowed Reid to repent and dodge what’s coming to him.
To be able to repent, accept Christ as savior, sincerely ask God for forgiveness and acknowledge and confess your sins requires a level of humility that's difficult to possess.
It's also an admission that you have moved beyond petty and fleeting Earthly concerns and know and accept what is the universal truth. A truth that's difficult for some and quite easy for others to comprehend.
Anyone that is capable of doing that has a Great if not winning case for God about how he deserves his place in Heaven, no matter how horrendous of a human being he was on this Earth or how the living feels about the deceased themselves.
But this is entirely dependent on Harry Reid being humble enough to do this and do I believe that he was? Absolutely not as he was one of the most arrogant, vain, venomous and spiteful human beings alive and it would not shock me if his soul is in Hell right now. And if that's so, it's because God has decreed it as so because he knows the absolute truth about him.
quote:
dodge what’s coming to him
Only God decides what his ultimate fate is and him only.
If God decides Harry Reid belongs in Heaven, then he is in a Heavenly paradise right now.
If God decides Harry Reid belongs in Hell, then he's burning in Hell right now.
re: Harry Reid dead at 82
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 7:39 pm
The world is a better place without Harry Reid breathing it’s oxygen. What a loathsome and evil man he was. A piece of shite of the highest order. Everything wrong with American politics.
With that said, I do hope that he repented and accepted Christ as his savior and asked God for real forgiveness. If he is capable of doing that and did just that, then he deserves to be in Heaven.
With that said, I do hope that he repented and accepted Christ as his savior and asked God for real forgiveness. If he is capable of doing that and did just that, then he deserves to be in Heaven.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 7:14 pm
quote:
I need odds btw that Jindal serves again in any elected office. He’s still pretty young
Jindal’s current and future calling in life is a column in the Sunday morning edition of the Wall Street Journal and occasional posts on his twitter feed.
Nothing more than that.
He’s a has been nobody chilling on the ash heap of history.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 7:10 pm
quote:
In 2011, Dems got a collective 29% in the general. Jindal won with 66% of the vote.
A.) Democrats never contested Jindal’s reelection and did not run a serious candidate.
B.) His opponents had zero name recognition and were virtual nobodies.
C.) 4 democrats and 4 independents ran in that election further diluting the vote.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 7:09 pm
quote:
If you’re so confident the Ds won’t cross over in the primary, what are you so worried about.
GOP voters crossing over or staying home for the runoffs.
We just saw this in Georgia for the senate runoffs, North Carolina electing Roy Cooper twice, Kansas electing democrat Laura Kelly in 2018 for Governor, and JBE winning 2015 and surviving the 2019 squeaker.
GOP voters like YOU cross over and vote democrat or stay home.
This is not the case with the democrats because they’re a collectivist party by nature and they’re also big believers in incrementalism and it works really well for them.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 6:31 pm
quote:
I would like Cassidy to run for Governor
I don’t want him to run at all. Period.
I want him to never appear on another ballot ever again.
Elections have real consequences and you want to play games to settle a score just for shits and giggles like it’s a toy.
No one definitively has any idea what effect Cassidy on a ballot would have on GOP base consolidation for the runoff.
Not you or Bob Mann.
Keep that genie in the bottle.
quote:
I would like Cassidy to run for Governor bc he’d most likely lose in humiliating fashion, because he won’t be able to make it to the runoff bc he’ll only split the Democrat vote and take left leaning independents in the primary. So worst case scenario we wind up with a Republican Governor that isn’t Cassidy and Cassidy stays in the senate.
That said if Cassidy makes it to the runoff for governor, he would beat whatever R he ran against with JBE’s voters, bc D’s and left leaning independents and Trump hating RINOs have no where else to go. If the person he beats is Landry (which would be the likely adversary under this narrow set of fricked up facts), Landry beats JBE in the special election when Cassidy steps down to be governor, even if Cassidy appoints JBE in the interim as a reward for his endorsement.
Sweet political fanfiction I guess.
Even if it’s just confused ramblings.
Big problem though, democrats don’t cross over and vote GOP. Never have, never will.
And the democrats have a floor of at least 42% in Louisiana, especially if they unite around a single candidate thus guaranteeing a runoff spot.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 6:16 pm
quote:
it's a fair way to pick a winner.
If this was really a popular belief, it would be the norm nationwide. It’s not though.
Democrats and republicans who are despised by their bases are allowed to escape scrutiny and judgement by voters who are actively involved in politics and have a lot invested.
It’s a cowards way out and can have disastrous consequences for the general election for either party.
quote:
It also reduces the number of elections we have to pay for.
I don’t find this argument compelling.
I’m fiscally conservative but when it comes to a huge decision like Governor and Senator for the next 4-6 years and all of the policymaking, voting and governing they would do in office, you know, the consequences an election brings, I don’t mind paying for multiple elections to make sure the electorate makes a choice they are absolutely comfortable with.
Louisiana voters don’t get that benefit with the rushed jungle primary and runoff system that takes place inside of a month.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 5:44 pm
quote:
They are many times I wish they WOULD get involved, even if it's to support the Republican candidate I'm not supporting, so at least we can have some clarity and an attempt at eventual unifying behind a candidate.
Closed party primaries is what’s needed here. We need finality, order and consensus around a single candidate.
And have it in the spring to provide as much time as possible for base consolidation.
Our current system of open jungle primaries is the complete opposite of what we need and gives us chaos, disorder and rampant sour grapes.
The only people in Louisiana who oppose closed primaries are white democrats who are scared of black democrats itching to take over the party and RINOs who would have a much harder time of winning party nominations.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 5:08 pm
quote:
This thread makes it clear who has no idea how Louisiana politics work
My personal favorite is the myth that the Louisiana GOP is this all powerful and all seeing cabal that controls candidate selection.
:lol:
If that was really the case, JBE would be in Amite chasing ambulances and 18 wheelers and his Covid biomedical state is nothing more than a figment of the imagination.
The LA GOP is one of the weakest state party organizations in the country and whether that’s intentional or accidental is up for debate but they’re clearly weak.
They can’t even get GOP majorities in the statehouse to pass conservative legislation but people expect them to control gubernatorial candidate selection? :lol:
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 4:50 pm
quote:
I hope that idiot runs for Governor so we can get him out of the senate earlier than 6 years
If Cassidy runs for Governor and he loses, he would still be Senator until January 2027.
Cassidy only has to resign from the senate if he somehow wins the Governor’s mansion.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 4:50 pm
quote:
I hope Cassidy runs for Governor
:lol:
And you entertain this after rationalizing your vote for liberal democrat JBE?
Hey, here’s a simple idea: Stop voting for democrats and clear as daylight RINOs that’s friendly with JBE.
It’s that simple.
Also, Cassidy is a loser in Louisiana politics and the Trumpers will go after him hard and they are likely to be successful. It’s just a question of when and how, not if. And it’s why he has no business running for another term or any other office.
You just absolutely cannot damage the good standing of your party and expect to have staying power.
quote:
I hope Cassidy and JBE’s little stupid pact works
frick any “pact” that brings success to Cassidy and JBE. The only thing they deserve is a crushing and resounding defeat.
Why is this so hard to understand?
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 2:42 pm
quote:
What is polling like in this State for Bobby Jindal 2.0?
Funny thing about Jindal, JBE is doing exactly everything he accused Jindal of doing in his 2nd term and is doubling down on it.
What a POS hypocrite he is.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 2:41 pm
quote:
don't you ever talk to me like that again.
It's harsh. Crude. And brutal.
But it absolutely delivers the point that I'm making.
And that point is if I vote for a specific political candidate and he wins the election, I will own everything he does and is responsible for everything he does while in office. And I apply this point to myself and others as well.
Example: I voted for Bill Cassidy and in doing so, I consented to giving him a platform on the senate floor to ignorantly grandstand and showcase his anti Trump screeches when his stance on Trump wasn't even a consideration in my mind for me at the ballot box.
And I accept responsibility for that and seek his retirement from Louisiana politics after the expiration of his current term.
Can't get more simple than that.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 2:08 pm
quote:
Apparently reading isn’t your strong suit
Read again.
I'm juxtaposing the fact that I never had any respect about JBE at all in the first place compared to you having respect for him at all regardless of how you feel about him now.
JBE is a piece of shite that would seriously harm Louisiana and I voted accordingly to prevent that. Twice.
You voted for him of your own free will and seek to blame others for it.
quote:
he poisoned the well with his primary campaign
Already adressed this in my previous post.
You're big on revisionism.
quote:
either Republican in the race could have beat JBE
This is one of "republicans" you claim was so much better....
This is one of those "decent" guys.
Jay Dardenne.
A "Republican" who not only endorsed JBE but also signed up to be his Commissioner of Administration (whore) and help him stab conservatives and hard working producers in the gut day in and day out for a fat government retirement pension.
What a swell and amazing guy he is. What a decent and principled conservative he is.
quote:
had no plan to address the Honor Code campaign
This is true. They definitely underestimated the appeal that JBE would have to ancestral democrats and soccer moms in the suburbs.
They didn't air so much as a single commercial, social media post or mailer against JBE until the runoff and by then it was too late.
Unforgivable political malpractice.
And that was a big contributing factor to the loss.
quote:
although I was certainly never on the Republicans for JBE bandwagon-
"If a man builds 1000 bridges and sucks 1 dick, no one calls him a bridge builder - they call him a cocksucker."
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 1:47 pm
quote:
It’s essentially the same strategy Vitter deployed - just get into the runoff so go scorched earth on the other Rs, and then he’ll be able to beat a Democrat.
This is revisionism.
On top of not anticipating the threat JBE would pose in the runoff, Vitter lost 2015 because the other two republican candidates gave bipartisan flavor to a sex scandal and even claimed at one point Vitter killed the hookers he was sleeping with. They effectively gave a permission structure to GOP voters to buy into the fantasy JBE was selling.
If it was only JBE bringing it up, nobody would’ve cared because negative partisanship would’ve made sure it was not successful. The democrat in the 2010 senate race repeatedly brought it up and it didn’t even make a dent and Vitter won comfortably.
Dardenne and Angelle damaged the GOP’s standing in the Governor’s race running a scorched earth campaign against the front runner they had no hope of winning and indeed did not win.
And we’re suffering for it now.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 1:18 pm
quote:
There’s not a Democrat in Louisiana that could get a Republican to vote for him after Republicans for JBE.
quote:
Wednesday
:lol:
quote:
And any respect I had for JBE (I actually know him and voted for him round 1)
I never had any respect for JBE in the first place as I knew he was a partisan liberal selling a snake oil fantasy that was never ever going to be reality. Anyone that adores Huey Long and Edwin Edwards is a piece of shite. If you couldn’t recognize that at the time, then you’re definitely not the best political handicapper around. Far from it.
And the predictions of Vitter voters including me were making about JBE being a disciple of Huey Long and Edwin Edwards and would wind up being one of the worst Governors ever in Louisiana history were absolutely well founded and turned out to be correct.
Republicans for JBE were dead wrong about him and don’t even have the decency to apologize and admit they fricked up. They just hide like cowards.
re: Robert Mann: “Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor’
Posted by Sentrius on 12/28/21 at 1:03 pm
quote:
Robert Mann
:lol:
quote:
Cassidy’s vote to impeach Trump could help him for Governor
No it will not.
The impeachment vote is actually why he has no chance winning another election in Louisiana beyond the expiration of his current term in 2027.
Like it or not, the Trumpers are an extremely territorial and vengeful bunch and will go scorched Earth on him. He’s juduas and Brutus to them after he crossed a red line that he can’t walk back. All options are on the table including staying home and letting the democrat win.
On that basis, Cassidy is a non starter as he would catastrophically damage the GOP’s standing in a gubernatorial contest against, regardless of the quality of the democrat opponent. You don’t have to be a huge Trumpkin to know Cassidy for Governor in 2023 is a horrendously bad idea.
The best thing Cassidy can do for himself and Louisiana voters is keep his mouth shut, not run for reelection, quietly finish his last Senate term and then go make his millions on K street in 2027 for a sweet retirement.
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