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Started By
Message
Posted on 11/9/22 at 7:48 am to Clemsontigers02
I don’t think pollsters have an accurate way of estimating ballot harvesting, which by its nature early mail-in voting invites.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:08 am to TrussvilleTide
quote:
The good Candidates are winning and the trash the GoP threw in the mix because they thought they could lose are losing or barely scraping by in races that should have been blowouts. Candidate quality matters
Correct. Some candidates like Oz are just not very good. Walker had too much baggage.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:11 am to MidWestGuy
quote:
They *used* to be pretty good indicators. I won't bother in the future, they just were not there.
Vegas uses decades of data to determine odds. Up until 2020 it was a rock solid indication of what would happen. We can now see that Vegas is behind the curve on predicting ballot harvesting through mail in voting. In simpler terms, there is not a more glaring indication that legalizing mail in voting is the steal.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:12 am to BK Lounge
Basically, raiding people's retirement head on is political suicide...so, we'll come in the backdoor and this is precisely what this WH and Congress are doing - not enabling - but doing and it is unconsciousnable....funding their greed and insatiable appetites...watch out Lucifer, got quite a few coming your way
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:29 am to jimmy the leg
quote:
You really are legit regarded.
a want alter.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:44 am to Clemsontigers02
quote:
How did the polls have Oz winning and then lose by a considerable amount to Fetterman.
How did the polls have Trump losing by a considerable amount to Hillary in 2016 ?
Polls gonna poll baw .
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:52 am to BK Lounge
For those that don’t realize it, with laxalt leading in NV and Masters riding Lake’s coattails and we surge in AZ, that puts us at 51 in the Senate. If Walker makes it into a run off and wins, that puts us at 52. That’s majorities in both houses.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:56 am to Clemsontigers02
quote:
How did the polls have Oz winning and then lose by a considerable amount to Fetterman
Fraudulent mail in ballots aren’t polled.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 8:59 am to LanierSpots
quote:
So what are the projected seats in the Senate and House at this point?
Both are a tossup go either way. Senate leaning Dem and House Leaning R but both could go Dem or Rep.
The fact neither has been determined yet and fraudulent votes after ED means we are likely looking at keeping a Dem Congress
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:12 am to Magician2
quote:
Wisconsin been called by decision desk.
Link? I'm not seeing it.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:18 am to RammerJammer91
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:22 am to deltaland
quote:
Both are a tossup go either way. Senate leaning Dem and House Leaning R but both could go Dem or Rep. The fact neither has been determined yet and fraudulent votes after ED means we are likely looking at keeping a Dem Congress
What are you watching? The house is in the bank for Republicans. We will se by how much. Probably 8-10 seat advantage
The Senate is 50 for Republicans and 48 for Democrats with a runoff in GA and Masters getting the nod in AZ when they dump same day voting results tonight
I see 51-48 (and 1 runoff) and 228-207 right now
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:24 am to IT_Dawg
I want to believe - Masters is the best candidate ideology-wise in the entire cycle - but is there really more than a remote shot he wins?
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:27 am to Pettifogger
quote:
Masters
It's strange with Masters. I actually think he has some of the better ideas among all the candidates this cycle, but I don't think he did as good of a job as a candidate of conveying them.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:29 am to IT_Dawg
quote:
I see 51-48 (and 1 runoff) and 228-207 right now
God speed you’re right
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:30 am to Pettifogger
quote:
- but is there really more than a remote shot he wins?
Absolutely. Maricopa County will dump results tonight from yesterday, in person voting. All mail-in and early voting has been counted already
There is roughly 800,000 votes to be counted from yesterday. Masters was winning roughly 70% of these votes last night. Even if he only takes 58% of them, Masters would win
Posted on 11/9/22 at 9:31 am to IT_Dawg
quote:
IT_Dawg
Thank you for providing actual information and insight as opposed to pearl clutching and whining.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 10:02 am to Rex Feral
Nervous about Wisconsin. Conflicting information about what is left from Milwaukee. Fox shows 100% reporting and ABC shows 82% reporting.
Nevada scares me a bit. Laxalt has 46% in Clark County (Las Vegas) with 80% reporting. No Republican candidate has gotten 46% in Clark in a federal race since Bush back in 2004. Have a bad feeling that the remaining 20% will be heavy Democrat vote.
Nevada scares me a bit. Laxalt has 46% in Clark County (Las Vegas) with 80% reporting. No Republican candidate has gotten 46% in Clark in a federal race since Bush back in 2004. Have a bad feeling that the remaining 20% will be heavy Democrat vote.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 10:03 am to RammerJammer91
I guess Americans like high gas prices, empty store shelves, higher cost of foods, a declining stock market.
SMH
SMH
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