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Started By
Message
re: Nate Silver: We've run our presidential forecast 38 times since yesterday morning!
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:45 pm to DiamondDog
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:45 pm to DiamondDog
quote:Like I said above, this is his built in excuse so he takes no blame. He was wrong in 16 and wrong about the senate in 18. At some point he has to be blamed for not recognizing bad data.
People tank this guy but his model is only as good as his data. He may suck but his data is bad. I really can’t fault him if his data is faked
0
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:46 pm to Seldom Seen
If he's wrong again, the MSM will still say his credibility is still intact
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:49 pm to Party At LSU
quote:
He’s either really, really confident in a model that was dead wrong just four years ago
Look, I can't stand Nate Silver but people completely misrepresent his model.
In 2016 his model gave Trump one chance in three to win.
That's really not bad odds and Trump hit his 1 in 3 chance. That shite happens all the time. People lump him in with the 99% people.
This year he is saying Trump has one chance in 10.
We shall see.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:51 pm to LSUnation78
quote:
There is no chance Biden wins.
I agree — if and only if we were talking about a free and fair election. Yet there is a very high probability that the Dems will try to steal the election.
These fake polls will be used as justification for the Democons stealing the election via mail-in voting fraud. That impending election-stealing effort is what these polls are servicing: “See? It was the will of the people....”
Dementia Joe let his mask slip and admitted as much:
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:53 pm to Seldom Seen
this is the soyboi cuck that we are supposed to put faith and trust in?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:55 pm to Seldom Seen
Lol this fricking guy
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:59 pm to Seldom Seen
Lol, he's got to be trolling. I'm convinced. Either that or he's just legitimately deluded.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:59 pm to Seldom Seen
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:02 pm to Tiger985
quote:
In 2016 his model gave Trump one chance in three to win.
Exactly, so there's literally no way to tell if his model was dogshit or not.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:03 pm to Seldom Seen
The problem with Nate woodentools is that he ignores the Trump enthusiasm, #WalkAway, and to me one of the MOST important
The people like Ben Shapiro who did not vote for Trump in 2016, but have already vote for him in 2020. There are a LOT of them.
Plus, all the rapper endorsements.
Landslide.
The people like Ben Shapiro who did not vote for Trump in 2016, but have already vote for him in 2020. There are a LOT of them.
Plus, all the rapper endorsements.
Landslide.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:04 pm to Seldom Seen
this dude is so full of himself its embarrassing. he's right...no other polls really matter....if he's wrong that means Trump cheated.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:04 pm to Tiger985
quote:
In 2016 his model gave Trump one chance in three to win.
Right, when he says some nondefinitive shite like 1 in 3 HE CAN NOT NE WRONG.
SO the exercise is pointless
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:04 pm to uppermidwestbama
quote:
He will be on suicide watch Tuesday night.
Better yet, maybe they will leave him unattended.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:07 pm to Seldom Seen
quote:
Nate Silver
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:09 pm to Seldom Seen
At this point, do the 'polls' even matter? Shouldn't the ev numbers give us a better idea of who will win?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:09 pm to Seldom Seen
I assume the polls he is talking about is the Trafalgar Group, but their response to Nate Silver's objection to his Michigan numbers proves Nate pig iron lacks even the basic knowledge required to do his job.
LINK
LINK
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 6:11 pm
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:10 pm to Seldom Seen
shite in. shite out.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:11 pm to Seldom Seen
Given that this schlub's #1 job is to get page views on 538, eyeballs on his tweets and perpetually invited back on the lib filth MSM talking head shows, he's totally playing to his audience.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:12 pm to Roberteaux
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:42 pm
Posted on 11/1/20 at 6:13 pm to Quidam65
quote:
If you keep doing the same thing over and over again, and get the same results, isn't that called "insanity"?
Well shite. I keep fricking my wife over and over and spraying her guts every time. I must be insane!
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