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re: Nate Silver: Harris is favored in the popular vote but still an electoral college underdog

Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:58 pm to
Posted by Night Vision
Member since Feb 2018
22031 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:58 pm to
His chart doesn't add up. How could they share the same % for the predicted popular vote when he clearly says she leads in the popular vote probability category by 7%?

Posted by BuckI
Grove City, Ohio
Member since Oct 2020
7252 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

STFU troll.
It's outdated and undemocratic.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
19509 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Yea right.,,loved that Covid and 1M+ dying…


Totally all Trump's fault. You must be really smart
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

This will be glorious if it happens!!


Winning the popular vote would be far more glorious for Trump/the GOP versus eeking a win out.
Posted by whodatfan
Member since Mar 2008
22151 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

Thinks it's possible to saw CA off into the pacific like bugs bunny did?


Just make sure to keep Monkish Brewing!
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130323 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

It's outdated


How so?

quote:

undemocratic.


We aren't a pure democracy and the EC does exactly what the Founders intended it to do.

Sorry you want NY and CA to rule everyone. If we got rid of the EC, our Republic would end shortly thereafter
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24857 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:27 pm to
Who gives a shite about the popular vote in the presidential election? It’s meaningless and should be ignored.

The only thing that matters is 270 electoral votes. The end.
Posted by Dixie2023
Member since Mar 2023
5246 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:29 pm to
Idk. But karmella voters are bat shite insane.
Posted by CAPEX
Member since Dec 2022
918 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

How could they share the same % for the predicted popular vote when he clearly says she leads in the popular vote probability category by 7%?


Why doesn't it add up?

Harris is ahead by 0.6% in his prediction in the popular vote.
Posted by MilwaukeeKosherDills
Member since Aug 2021
495 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

Thinks it's possible to saw CA off into the pacific like bugs bunny did?
Wasn't that Florida?

It's about 65 years since the last time I saw that so I might be mistaken.
Posted by ImJustaBoy
Member since Oct 2023
1926 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

Vance isn't going to swing any state, and neither would anyone else.

Youngkin would have for sure swung Virginia and maybe North Carolina
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
22765 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

Youngkin would have for sure swung Virginia and maybe North Carolina

Yep. I hoped for a VP DeSantis play for after the election, but the strategic electoral move would have been Youngkin.
Posted by SoloTiger
Member since Aug 2016
10903 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:51 pm to
BS
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39534 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

Who wins again if its 269-269?
TRUMP

But it would be a total shitshow
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39534 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Who gives a shite about the popular vote in the presidential election? It’s meaningless and should be ignored.

The only thing that matters is 270 electoral votes. The end.
right. Campaigns are geared towards the EC and not the popular vote. It means nothing no matter how much libs cry about it
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:58 pm to
Lets go - hoping that this is at or near Harris' high water mark for the entire cycle.
This post was edited on 7/30/24 at 3:59 pm
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
10223 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:09 pm to
I doubt she gets the popular vote.
Posted by 2024GoTigas
Member since Mar 2024
382 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:23 pm to
I’d consider it if we went to electoral counties. Every county/parish gets 1 vote.

Overall popular vote of the county/parish wins the 1 vote.

Posted by Pepperoni
Mar-a-Lago
Member since Aug 2013
4277 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:29 pm to
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
13646 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:38 pm to
I can’t see how Kamala is more popular in Trump other than a ton of fake and created voters.
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