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re: Nate Silver: Harris is favored in the popular vote but still an electoral college underdog
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:58 pm to stout
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:58 pm to stout
His chart doesn't add up. How could they share the same % for the predicted popular vote when he clearly says she leads in the popular vote probability category by 7%?

Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:00 pm to TDTOM
quote:It's outdated and undemocratic.
STFU troll.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:01 pm to Born2rock
quote:
Yea right.,,loved that Covid and 1M+ dying…
Totally all Trump's fault. You must be really smart
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:12 pm to Iowatiger209
quote:
This will be glorious if it happens!!
Winning the popular vote would be far more glorious for Trump/the GOP versus eeking a win out.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:13 pm to bbvdd
quote:
Thinks it's possible to saw CA off into the pacific like bugs bunny did?
Just make sure to keep Monkish Brewing!
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:17 pm to BuckI
quote:
It's outdated
How so?
quote:
undemocratic.
We aren't a pure democracy and the EC does exactly what the Founders intended it to do.
Sorry you want NY and CA to rule everyone. If we got rid of the EC, our Republic would end shortly thereafter
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:27 pm to stout
Who gives a shite about the popular vote in the presidential election? It’s meaningless and should be ignored.
The only thing that matters is 270 electoral votes. The end.
The only thing that matters is 270 electoral votes. The end.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:29 pm to stout
Idk. But karmella voters are bat shite insane.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:30 pm to Night Vision
quote:
How could they share the same % for the predicted popular vote when he clearly says she leads in the popular vote probability category by 7%?
Why doesn't it add up?
Harris is ahead by 0.6% in his prediction in the popular vote.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:42 pm to bbvdd
quote:Wasn't that Florida?
Thinks it's possible to saw CA off into the pacific like bugs bunny did?
It's about 65 years since the last time I saw that so I might be mistaken.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:47 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
Vance isn't going to swing any state, and neither would anyone else.
Youngkin would have for sure swung Virginia and maybe North Carolina
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:48 pm to ImJustaBoy
quote:
Youngkin would have for sure swung Virginia and maybe North Carolina
Yep. I hoped for a VP DeSantis play for after the election, but the strategic electoral move would have been Youngkin.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:54 pm to SuckerPunch
quote:TRUMP
Who wins again if its 269-269?
But it would be a total shitshow
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:55 pm to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:right. Campaigns are geared towards the EC and not the popular vote. It means nothing no matter how much libs cry about it
Who gives a shite about the popular vote in the presidential election? It’s meaningless and should be ignored.
The only thing that matters is 270 electoral votes. The end.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 3:58 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Lets go - hoping that this is at or near Harris' high water mark for the entire cycle.
This post was edited on 7/30/24 at 3:59 pm
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:09 pm to stout
I doubt she gets the popular vote.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:23 pm to BuckI
I’d consider it if we went to electoral counties. Every county/parish gets 1 vote.
Overall popular vote of the county/parish wins the 1 vote.
Overall popular vote of the county/parish wins the 1 vote.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:29 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:38 pm to stout
I can’t see how Kamala is more popular in Trump other than a ton of fake and created voters.
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