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re: Myth- “social security is guaranteed”.

Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27942 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:36 pm to
Constant dollars for $1000 put into SS 40 years ago, is now worth less than half what it was then. At 50 years ago, it is now worth 1/3.

Had that $1000 been invested in the stock market which has an average 9% increase over the last 40 years, you would have around $31,400.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 12:42 pm
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
84440 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

US debt obligation is (so are pensions).


Perhaps.

But that’s no comfort if the debt is paid off in worthless inflated dollars.



Posted by NC_Tigah
Spiced groves of ceaseless verdure
Member since Sep 2003
141646 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Had that $1000 been invested in the stock market which has an average 9% increase over the last 40 years, you would have around $31,400.
Exactly.

My example was "for every $1 put in as a 22y/o 45yrs ago, a current 67y/o receives ~$3.60 as a return on that $1." Taking inflation into account, $1 in 1981 is worth $3.69 today. SS ROI does not even keep up with inflation.

Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6451 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Negative. Nestor lost his rights to SS benefits because he was deported d/t anti-American activity. Applying that finding to the general populous is as dubious a proposition as noting the ability to deprive felons of 2nd Amendment rights, and then generically applying the ability to general population.


Nope
Wrong again
You’re so old and stupid and dependent on the govt you forgot where I proved everything you are saying wrong in a similar thread 3 months ago with linked/cited facts
Posted by NC_Tigah
Spiced groves of ceaseless verdure
Member since Sep 2003
141646 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

But that’s no comfort if the debt is paid off in worthless inflated dollars.
That's the problem. Government is spending at light speed, tossing benefits at the lower and middle (to some extent) classes in exchange for votes. The spending will force inflation upward. Inflation kills the middle & lower classes. Not good!
Posted by Free888
Member since Oct 2019
3543 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:56 pm to
I stand corrected - I remember it was under Clinton, missed by 2 years. Still…
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6451 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Of all the waste and grift in the Fed budget why start with screwing people that actually worked and payed into the system?


Because ss and Medicare are the only things that could be cut that would make a difference

Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
109419 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 1:06 pm to
I get that but I want my money. It’s still
My money. They are still stealing my money today. You fight for your money and I will fight for mine.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
15537 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Still…


Yeah, I hear you.

So far we've been very resistant to the types of problems that can occur with a large and growing national debt—inflation, devaluing of the currency, high interest rates, etc. Probably because the US is the reserve currency for the world and that affords a lot of stability despite poor choices.

But I have to think there's a limit, and I don't want to find out what that limit is.

Because the only way to find out is the hard way.

But back to the specific discussion, sure, one can say the Boomers were in charge during the deficit/debt explosion.

I just personally think that people obsessed with assigning generational blame like that are not only engaging in a pointless exercise, but also revealing a weak and cowardly character (not aiming that at you). It's become a very popular narrative among younger victim-minded populists these days.

Which Matt Walsh can often be.

First of all, it's silly because it treats every generation as a monolith. Saying that the Boomers are at fault for the exploding debt is like saying that Gen Y is trying to convert the country to socialism.

Well, some people in Gen Y are. Some aren't. Some people in the Boomer Generation were in favor of massive government spending. Probably most weren't.

Some Boomers were hippies. Some were corporate raiders. Some got rich. Some stayed poor. Some were politically active. Some weren't.

Just like today and every other generation that has ever lived.

Secondly, it's a stupid narrative because it implies that other generations wouldn't have—had they grown up under the same conditions, without the benefit of hindsight—made different decisions. They probably wouldn't have. Human nature seems pretty consistent.

Third, every generation has had difficulties. This idea that Boomers had everything handed to them easily is simply and demonstrably not true.

You want to know the generation who lived in the most comfortable, least oppressive time in history with the most opportunity for the most people and the least racism, sexism, and any other minority bias, with the most leisure time and disposable income in history?

The ones living today. That includes Gen Y, Gen Z, etc.

Life is easier now than it has ever been. In large part due to Boomers.

You know why you can carry a computer with many times the processing power of the computers that sent a rocket to the moon in your pocket?

Boomers. And some Silent Generation people. But mostly Boomers.

They have been responsible for the vast explosion of technology that we call the Information Technology/Digital Age. And it has transformed society.

So people running around screaming "Boomer" are contemptible whiners IMO. And no, I am not a Boomer, nor were my parents. I just think the whole narrative is a Loser Alert.

Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
64323 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

If the same $1 was put into an S&P account with reinvested dividends, it would be worth more than $100 today.
So what you are crying about as a "Boomer gift" has actually cost those Boomers up to $96.40 for every $1 contributed.
Far from a benefit, it is a total grift
Yep. Hardly anyone bothers to look at the opportunity costs. People think it's ony 6.8% of income (it's 2x that, plus the massive opportunity cost). And all the government has to show is the same "IOU, we promise to pay it back" that bond holders get.... for a lot less return. Biggest scam in history.
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
73205 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

I will fight for mine


Youre arguing to steal mine, not get yours back. Yours is gone. Burnt. Does not exist. You got fricked. Now I must get fricked so you can get justice?

Posted by RobbBobb
Member since Feb 2007
34563 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Nope
Wrong again
You’re so old and stupid and dependent on the govt you forgot where I proved everything you are saying wrong in a similar thread 3 months ago with linked/cited facts



Dude, youre wrong. A case brought forward today, would not achieve the same result. Many scholars, including dissenting justices, said the decision was reached using communist bias. Heres your proof:

One of the chief critics of the decision was Charles A Reich. In fact, Reich used that argument in 1970 in Goldberg v Kelly, and won. The court determined that the govt could not take entitlements without a due process finding. You cant due process 360M Americans

Congress made an insurance contract with each of us. They simply cannot pass a bill to remove the benefits of that contract. They can deny future enrollment, but they simply cannot strip an entitlement from you

Your benefits are guaranteed, and Nestor wont stand the test of time before future courts. Remember Roe v Wade, yeah like that
Posted by NC_Tigah
Spiced groves of ceaseless verdure
Member since Sep 2003
141646 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

Yours is gone.
Nah.
The SSTF is still there.

If the SSTF is allowed to deplete, SS will run flat ~20% deficits for decades. If lawmakers don't change the program (I'd bet the house our DC scoundrels will increase payroll taxes substantially to "save" SS), the SSTF will go away, and for the first time in history SS will covert to actual paygo instead of pay-ahead structuring.
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 3:12 pm to
They arent my kids luckily and you're correct my experience is anecdotal as is yours and everyone elses on this thread. So what was your point again other than how unfair life is?
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 3:16 pm to
Im barely in my 50s myself and certainly not a boomer. And I'd have gladly opted out of SS at any time in my life if I'd had the chance. That doesnt mean, however, Im a POS that thinks grandma should now go live under a bridge either, because the only possible way to reign in govt spending it to take a dump on old people, most of whom live exclusively on their meager sustenance level SS checks each month.
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 3:17 pm to
I literally showed several of them how to set up and contribute to their 401ks. Youre the one with no idea what you're talking about. No wonder life seems so difficult to you.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
84440 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 3:19 pm to
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27942 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

Exactly.

My example was "for every $1 put in as a 22y/o 45yrs ago, a current 67y/o receives ~$3.60 as a return on that $1." Taking inflation into account, $1 in 1981 is worth $3.69 today. SS ROI does not even keep up with inflation.


Yes, it's actually like earning a negative interest rate when inflation exceeds the return.

I asked Grok if you put $1000 into Spy stock 40 years ago and left it there how much would it be today?




quote:

Roughly $80,000–$90,000 (with dividends reinvested), as of early October 2026.

historyofmarket.com +1

SPY (the SPDR S&P 500 ETF) did not exist 40 years ago—it launched in January 1993. The natural interpretation of “SPY stock” is the S&P 500 index that it tracks. Calculations therefore use the S&P 500 total return (price appreciation + dividends reinvested).
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
64323 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

Your benefits are guaranteed
2nd try.. what’s the guaranteed amount?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Spiced groves of ceaseless verdure
Member since Sep 2003
141646 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

2nd try.. what’s the guaranteed amount?
The full national promissory.
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