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MI & WI: What am I missing based off of NBC target smart data through 10/30

Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:45 am
Posted by Covingtontiger77
Member since Dec 2015
10267 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:45 am
Severe R defections to D? No affiliation going hard hard hard for Sleepy?








Wisconsin:




This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 11:46 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81781 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:46 am to
I have the same question - I’ve seen the snarky Nate Silver fanbois dismiss this without a care but they never explain why
Posted by midnight_chopper
Member since Mar 2018
637 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:46 am to
You’re not Nate Silver, so you, like me, are unable to truly analyze the actual data.
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17555 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:47 am to
I'm not following if you're trying to get at something or not.
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54210 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:47 am to
quote:

What am I missing

How to read those graphs?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19810 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:48 am to
They truly believe that seniors, a very reliable R voting bloc, have abandoned Trump.
Posted by Covingtontiger77
Member since Dec 2015
10267 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:49 am to
quote:

I'm not following if you're trying to get at something or not.




Umm the polls are saying Trump is down a lot in MI and WI.



These in the OP, tend to say! “Huh?”
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164137 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:50 am to
Libs say TargetSmart is an unreliable joke but then why would NBC use them?
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
34102 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 11:50 am to
quote:

What am I missing

Democrats will either need a massive turnout on election day or a massive fraud scheme
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17555 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

Umm the polls are saying Trump is down a lot in MI and WI.


Oh, they're not using the same information. Polls are deeply flawed. People are not admitting to voting for Trump. Same as 2016, the polling is irrelevant.
Posted by LittleRockDoc
Member since Mar 2019
183 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:08 pm to
I think election day turnout percentages will be unreal. Like 80 to 90% Repub vs 10 to 20% Dem. Probably a lot of people like myself saw people standing in line 2 hours to vote early and just decided to wait until election day. Dems have shot their wad already.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72120 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:13 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 12:21 am
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:18 pm to
How are those bad for Trump?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72120 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:19 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 12:20 am
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:21 pm to
Meant for the OP. Relax woman.
Posted by TigahJay
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2015
10556 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:22 pm to
Haven’t you heard? Biden is up 17 in WI.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

You’re not Nate Silver, so you, like me, are unable to truly analyze the actual data.




Well if my hair has to look like that to do it I will never be able to.
Posted by ValVenis
Member since Sep 2020
630 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

They truly believe that seniors, a very reliable R voting bloc, have abandoned Trump.


I know a lot of hardcore Christians that have as well. I can't help but think this isn't limited to my town. They've allowed the most vile, psychopathic people to convince them that they are immoral for supporting Trump.

But oh well, I hope every defector suffers most from a Biden/Harris administration. Also, may they be taxed into submission. May rioters burn their homes. May they be beaten to within an inch of their lives by the mobs.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2296 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

How are those bad for Trump?


Sarcasm! Get with the program.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2296 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:16 pm to
To spell it out: Nate is saying big advantages in mail in voting for Republicans is bad for Trump.
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 1:17 pm
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