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re: MI & WI: What am I missing based off of NBC target smart data through 10/30

Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:17 pm to
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68384 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:17 pm to
Where do you live roughly?

Why are they switching? How do you know they voted for Trump before and aren't BS'ing you? How do we know you aren't on here simply to subtly depress spirits on the board?
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Democrats are less likely to vote on Election Day and they can’t undergo their GOTV get togethers like they used to.

They can’t do free meal drives and other things.


Exactly. This is what happened in Miami-Dade. They couldn’t fill up busses after church to go early vote because apparently the black churches there have been cucked by The Rona virus. Only thing that scares me is that the Dems have caught on to what’s going on with enough time to fix it since they have infinite money to throw around in the final days.
Posted by meldawg399
nola
Member since Oct 2008
1168 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:34 pm to
Only things I can figure we are missing: 1. Do R’s typically have a larger lead in early/mail votes in those states 2. Dems so heavily outnumber R’s as total voters, the gap is small enough for them to make it up Election Day.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72156 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:40 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 12:17 am
Posted by ValVenis
Member since Sep 2020
630 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

Where do you live roughly? 

Why are they switching? How do you know they voted for Trump before and aren't BS'ing you? How do we know you aren't on here simply to subtly depress spirits on the board?


I live south of Atlanta. As for your other questions, these are people I am/was close to. If you want to believe otherwise, go for it.

I'll just copy and paste a convo I had with another poster on here the other day who said he knew the same type of people in Georgia...


I had a long conversation with one of the girls because I noticed she had been posting subtle digs at Trump and Pence following their debates. She was a closet Trump supporter in 2016 and that's how we bonded.

So I sent her a PM asking her what was up with those posts and she basically said she could no longer "find it in her heart" to support a man who attacks everyone in his path.

So I asked her point blank her thoughts on Biden telling a factory worker that he was full of shite. Or calling a female college student a "lying dog faced pony soldier". Or telling a man he was "fat and too old to vote for him". Or asking a pundit if he "smoked crack".

Naturally she was clueless and asked me for proof Biden said all those horrible things. And it's because the media doesn't cover it 24/7 as they do when Trump attacks someone.

Then she moved the goal posts and said Trump mishandled COVID. I brought up all that he did as well and asked her if she thinks Biden would have handled it differently. Then she said he would have at least worn a mask and not criticized people for doing so. So I sent her links showing where Trump did request that people wore masks. Naturally she didn't know about that either. I even posted videos of several liberal governors telling people to "carry on with their lives and not to worry".

I fought my arse off debunking her claims, pointing out both Biden and Kamala's wrongdoings over the years but she'd always deflect and defend. There was no bringing her back. She used to say Obama was the worst president in history and yet she's no voting for his VP.

But people like her are exactly who liberals and the media feast on. Create Trunp fatigue through non stop negative reporting. Shame those who support him and convince the weak that they're "bad people". And it works on easy targets like her.
Posted by GoldenGuy
Member since Oct 2015
10891 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:53 pm to
MI: Indies will likely decide the outcome.
WI: If at least a quarter of the indies go Trump, he wins the state.

I am of the opinion that most go 50-50, so based on mail voting, both are solid Orange
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56628 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

Polls are deeply flawed. People are not admitting to voting for Trump


While true, the bigger cause for the inaccurate polls is intentional misrepresentative sampling for the propose of getting a predetermined result.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
6092 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

MI: Indies will likely decide the outcome.
WI: If at least a quarter of the indies go Trump, he wins the state.

I am of the opinion that most go 50-50, so based on mail voting, both are solid Orange


I'm noticing a lot of polls showing late leaners and undecideds breaking for TRUMP. That will be YUGE on Election Day.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56628 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 6:03 pm to
What did these two states do on Election Day in 2016?
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