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Started By
Message
re: Looks like Alaska will hand the Democrats a win in November, Republicans battle each other
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:10 am to SlowFlowPro
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:10 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
So this is Palin's fault. Got it.
To the extent it is anyone's "fault"', it is the never-Palin GOP types that listed: 1.) Begich 2.) Peltola in the special election.
1
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:13 am to Indefatigable
quote:
To the extent it is anyone's "fault"', it is the never-Palin GOP types that listed: 1.) Begich 2.) Peltola in the special election.
They're going to vote again, right?
Is there any data that shows Palin has a chance to win?
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:15 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
They're going to vote again, right?
Presumably so.
quote:
Is there any data that shows Palin has a chance to win?
Not that I have found. Any polling metric or analysis of the special election results indicates that Begich has a better chance of winning than Palin, if he can stay out of third place through the first selections. If Begich is in third and his votes are apportioned to Palin and Peltola, I would assume the result will be the same as the special election.
This post was edited on 9/7/22 at 10:16 am
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:42 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Why are they doing 2 rounds of ranked choice voting?
I thought the intent was to avoid costly primaries?
I thought the intent was to avoid costly primaries?
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:42 am to KosmoCramer
The first was a special election with the real one in Nov, I think.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 11:03 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
Why are they doing 2 rounds of ranked choice voting?
They aren't. It is two separate elections.
The one that was just held was a Special Election to finish Don Young's term. The election in November is to fill the seat for the next Congress.
This post was edited on 9/7/22 at 11:05 am
Posted on 9/7/22 at 11:09 am to Indefatigable
It means one singular Republican candidate nets you a win. The GOP has to basically pay one off to go away.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 11:33 am to Major Dutch Schaefer
Truth is that this is what RANKED choice voting does....
It should be outlawed.
ANY STATE that get passes this WILL turn BLUE!
It should be outlawed.
ANY STATE that get passes this WILL turn BLUE!
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:04 pm to Jjdoc
I'm here and hate this stupid rank choice voting Jjdoc.
Another issue we have is almost 600k registered voters and only about 200k even bothered voting.
Another issue we have is almost 600k registered voters and only about 200k even bothered voting.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:04 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
The Democrat was always the winner with Palin in the race. Begich is really a Democrat. If he weren’t in the race, most of his votes would to the Democrat because Palin is unpopular. For the Republicans to win, they needed someone other than Palin. Palin can’t win elections in Alaska. The fact that she quit as Governor, doesn’t help her.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:06 pm to Jjdoc
quote:
Truth is that this is what RANKED choice voting does....
It should be outlawed.
ANY STATE that get passes this WILL turn BLUE!
So I guess you are in the camp of people that believe that Begich's voters only preferred Peltola over Palin because it was a ranked choice election. If it was Peltola v. Palin head-to-head, Begich's primary voters would have instead voted for Palin. Am I getting that right?
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:08 pm to Dragun AK
quote:
Another issue we have is almost 600k registered voters and only about 200k even bothered voting.
Low turnout has more to do with the outcome than any other factor, by a lot.
There is no data to support the notion that ranked choice voting is why Palin lose the special election. It does not make any sense and requires one to assume that Begich's voters would have voted for Palin in the general election, whenever a majority of Begich's voters listed Peltola as their second choice.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:18 pm to LSU2ALA
quote:
It certainly seems at this point though that he has the better shot at winning a head to head then she does
It’s weird. When all three candidates are up against each other in presumably the same poll, there’s 29% for Palin, 29% for Begich and 42% for Peltola.
When it goes head to head, Peltola gains votes against both? Does that make any sense whatsoever?
LINK
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:18 pm to Indefatigable
Just talking to people around here in Wasilla the response is that Pallin is all about herself, so they voted Begich. Other side is the Begich Clan are the Bush Clan of Alaska, so they voted Pallin. Nobody knows anything about Petola so she kept her head down and pulled in the undecided vote and the ranked vote.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:25 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
quote:
Republicans battle each other
Exactly no one is shocked.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:31 pm to SlickRickerz
I like Palin, but someone needs to drop out. I don’t know anything about the other guy, but with Alaska retarded voting, running more than one Republican just hands the Dems the seat. The Dems would get one of theirs to drop out. You gotta play the game even if it’s f’d up.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:39 pm to Dragun AK
quote:
Just talking to people around here in Wasilla the response is that Pallin is all about herself, so they voted Begich. Other side is the Begich Clan are the Bush Clan of Alaska, so they voted Pallin. Nobody knows anything about Petola so she kept her head down and pulled in the undecided vote and the ranked vote.
Any Republican is better than a Democrat. Look what happen when we were counting on Manchin to prevent the Build Back Worse bill. How did that work out? Democrats will Always vote with the party, eventually. One more Republican in the Senate would be a big help, don’t fool yourself.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 12:42 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
so the voters are going to get someone that most of them don't want.
sounds very democratic.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 1:12 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
quote:
Begich has refused to drop out
Three time loser who came in third would drop out if he had a lick of sense.
Posted on 9/7/22 at 1:15 pm to Dragun AK
quote:
f, so they voted Begich.
I did. The ads Palin ran were embarrassing. She was totally different prior to being picked by McCain.
Begich discussed the issues and I thought he was smart and had well thought out responses.
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