re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

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Despite massive disinformation operations, flying in voters and even threatening a military invasion, the Russian dictator's attempts to gain control of Armenia have spectacularly failed – as they failed in Romania and Moldova. Not to mention the loss of Syria the year before, things are not going well for the Kremlin. Pashinyan's party wins the parliamentary elections in Armenia after counting more than 95% of the ballots

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Leopold

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Decide to take a little break from stolen valor posting and hope people forgot about your numerous gaffs and inconsistencies? Welcome back, bud

The operator simply selects the target, and the drone autonomously tracks and neutralizes it. It took less than a year to get from prototype to real-world deployment. We are scaling autonomous defense tech to rewrite the rules of modern air defense.

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According to Ukrainian sources, the troops of the Russian 337th Regiment occupying the Kinburn Peninsula are withdrawing to the east due to the collapse of logistics routes and the impossibility of replacing losses caused by drones. It is a crucial area for threatening Odesa.

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It is a post whose information is coming from "Ukrainian sources" so take with a huge grain of salt. However, if this is true then it is a significant development. If Russia abandons the peninsula then that gives Ukraine the opportunity to have a bridgehead on the other side of the Dnieper river in south Ukriane. Plus the morale of the Russians would take a hit if they were forced to abandon ground without even being directly attacked.

Broad daylight, in St. Petersburg...

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Ukraine's supply-line strikes force Russian retreat from Strategically Critical Kinburn Spit

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Russian forces have withdrawn from the Kinburn Spit in Ukraine's Mykolaiv region after Ukrainian actions severed all supply routes, according to the Atesh partisan group. The 337th Regiment, already depleted by redeployments, was left without reinforcements, ammunition, or fuel, and suffered mounting losses from Ukrainian drone strikes. Only scattered remnants of units remain, marking one of Ukraine's most significant tactical successes since the Kursk operation.

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If it’s confirmed, then we’ll be in the endgame.

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LINK

More background.

Russia is preparing to sharply reduce crude oil exports this month as mounting refinery disruptions, fuel shortages, and Ukraine’s bombing campaign force Moscow to divert more barrels into the domestic market.

Exports from Russia’s western ports of Primorsk, Ust-Luga and Novorossiysk are expected to fall to roughly 1.7 million barrels per day in June from 2.5 million bpd in May, according to Reuters calculations based on preliminary industry and trading data. The decline comes as Russia seeks to increase refinery throughput to address fuel shortages reported in several regions while also contending with lower crude production.

In the latest wave of airstrikes targeting Russian oil infrastructure, Ukrainian officials on Monday said forces struck the Grushovaya oil transshipment base near Novorossiysk overnight, one of southern Russia’s largest oil and petroleum export hubs, while also targeting oil facilities in the Volgograd region and fuel storage sites in Russian occupied Crimea. Russian authorities confirmed that a fire broke out at the Novorossiysk facility, though they did not disclose the extent of the damage.

Ukraine’s strategy is evolving beyond attacks on refining capacity alone. Earlier this year, repeated drone strikes forced temporary shutdowns at several Russian refineries, but Moscow largely offset those disruptions by increasing crude exports. However, last week, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak acknowledged that national oil production has fallen since the beginning of the year, marking one of the first public admissions from Moscow that the country’s oil sector is facing mounting operational challenges.

According to Reuters sources, Russia plans to increase refinery runs by between 250,000 and 400,000 bpd this month as seasonal fuel demand rises and shortages emerge in several regions. At the same time, industry sources believe crude production continued to decline in May after already suffering one of its steepest monthly drops since the pandemic in April. Reuters previously reported that Russian output fell by as much as 300,000 to 400,000 bpd in April compared with average levels earlier in the year.

Moscow has already moved to protect domestic fuel supplies. Gasoline exports were suspended in April, while exports of jet fuel were recently banned through the end of November. Industry sources told Reuters there have been no spot deals for June deliveries of West Siberian crude into the domestic market, with producers citing feedstock shortages and prioritizing export commitments.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com[/quote]Russia to slash exports due to domestic shortages caused by drone strikes Oilprice.com

Except for echoing the report of Russian withdrawals, more of the same. Putin won’t deal, Russia tempts NATO, and not much going on on the fronts.

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Key Takeaways
The Russian military command is reportedly withdrawing forces from the Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv Oblast as Ukraine’s intermediate-range strike campaign against Russian supply lines in occupied Ukraine is rendering defenses in the area increasingly untenable.

The Kremlin continues to reject peace negotiations with Ukraine despite recent repeated Ukrainian offers for direct negotiations.

NATO forces downed a drone over Latvia for the first time on June 8 after Russian electronic warfare (EW) systems diverted it into Latvian airspace.

Russian forces launched 155 drones against Ukraine overnight.

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ISW

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Seems like topography played a pretty big role in this too

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Ukraine sent raiding parties which occupied it so Russia had to put troops there. It is basically wide open space with no cover at all.