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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 5/1/26 at 4:51 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 5/1/26 at 4:51 am to Coeur du Tigre
We should put some of these scenes together as a 2027 calendar. The best 12. Or, maybe the best 52... we have so many good candidates.
1
Posted on 5/1/26 at 4:58 am to Coeur du Tigre
"If you want to know what Trump will say tomorrow, look at what the Russians are saying today."
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 5/1/26 at 5:19 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 5/1/26 at 5:48 am to Coeur du Tigre
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Central bank officials and politicians in Russia have recently been floating the possibility that, due to Russia's worsening budget deficit caused by sanctions and the war in Ukraine, the government may confiscate deposits above a certain amount and issue credit notes instead.
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'Troika' is one of many commentators on Telegram who is reacting strongly to this prospect: "The process of withdrawing 67 trillion rubles in deposits in exchange for toilet paper has begun."
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"The minister urged people to "learn how to manage money" and invest it in Russian bank deposits rather than just keeping it.
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"We believe everything will be completely transparent, fair, and beneficial for Russians. Just like in the 1990s." [Yes, he actually said that.]
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"There's also a proposal to pay attention to the super-profits of the oligarchy, whose combined wealth exceeds four times the national military budget.
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"There's definitely money there. But the financiers' focus is only on the taxpaying population and their miraculously accumulated savings.
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"All people will do now is rush to withdraw—in other words, rescue—their money before it's frozen, and buy appliances, cars, and housing, which will further inflate prices for all of the above.
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"Not to mention the fact that the sudden withdrawal of deposits will truly push the economy to the brink of collapse. Excellent economic plan, damn it. At first glance, you couldn't even imagine anything more stupid."
And right on cue -
May be too late...
Yep, they're screwed.
This post was edited on 5/1/26 at 6:42 am
Posted on 5/1/26 at 6:30 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
In Ukraine, ground robots handle 90% of army logistics - delivering food, ammo, logs for shelters, & evacuating wounded under FPV drone fire.
Simple logistics models cost $8K – 20K each, armed or kamikaze versions up to $50K. The army loses about 3 robots a day (25% attrition), but each successful run is far cheaper than risking soldiers & armoured vehicles.
One such robot makes 7–8 trips before being hit - the cost per mission ends up around $2K.
That's why the whole ground robots market jumped from $43M to $252M in 2025, & Ukraine plans tens of thousands more in 2026. It's turning logistics & parts of combat into something remote, cheap, & scalable. Former gamers often become the best operators.
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With the budget to buy 30 Leopard 2A8s, you could purchase 100,000 ground transport robots.
90% may be an overstatement but not for long.
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Posted on 5/1/26 at 7:36 am to Coeur du Tigre
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Based on the results from April, our long-range sanctions have reached a new level across three components: reducing Russia’s oil revenues, as well as the range and intensity of sanctions. It is important that not only is the target itself reached, as defined by the operational objective, but that the downtime of the target is increased or, at the very least, its operations are significantly reduced.
According to the most conservative estimates, since the beginning of the year, the aggressor state has lost at least $7 billion solely as a direct result of our precise sanctions against Russia’s oil industry and refining sector – due to direct hits, downtime, and delays in shipments.
I am grateful to all our warriors of the Defense Forces of Ukraine who, together with the Security Service of Ukraine and our intelligence agencies, are delivering these results. We will scale up our long-range systems capabilities. Decisions are being prepared.
Glory to Ukraine!
Posted on 5/1/26 at 9:54 am to cypher
quote:Ukraine hit Tuapse 4 times in 1 week oilprice.com
Russia's Black Sea port of Tuapse was targeted and hit by a new Ukrainian drone strike early on Friday, in the fourth attack on the port in just one week as Ukraine looks to limit Russia's oil exports and revenues amid soaring crude prices.
Since international crude oil prices surged following the war in the Middle East, Russia has boosted its oil revenues as not only prices have jumped, but Russian oil was made desirable in India again, thanks to a U.S. waiver for sales on Russia's crude already loaded on tankers.
Over the past week, Ukrainian drone attacks have targeted Tuapse on the Black Sea four times. The latest attack caused a fire at a terminal, but no injuries were reported.
But the series of attacks at Tuapse has caused severe environmental damage, including black rain and oil spills in the sea.
Tuapse and Novorossiysk on the Black Sea, as well as Ust-Luga and Primorsk on the Baltic Sea, have been targeted by Ukrainian drones multiple times over the past weeks as Ukraine looks to limit Russia's ability to benefit from the surge in oil prices.
Earlier this week, Ukraine also hit a Russian oil pumping station in the Perm region in the Ural Mountains, just a day after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy touted the increasing range and accuracy of Ukrainian drones.
Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) targeted a production and dispatch station owned by Transneft more than 1,500 kilometers from Ukraine's border, with unconfirmed reports indicating that almost all oil storage tanks at the facility were set ablaze.
Ukraine also said it had struck a refinery in the Orenburg region in southern Russia, about 900 miles away from Ukraine.
According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Ukraine is now conducting a sophisticated long-range strike campaign, leveraging Russia's massive geography which makes it nearly impossible for the Kremlin to provide comprehensive air defense coverage for every critical facility across thousands of kilometers.
Posted on 5/1/26 at 10:06 am to Coeur du Tigre
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These pardons issued by Biden were wrong and in many opinions only stand due to the fact that they have not been tested. They covered no specific illegal acts, just the possibility of arrest and conviction. Pardon law requires an established conviction, so how can they be pardons? Once tested in court, they will likely be found to have no basis in law.
On the other hand, what Trump is suggesting is pardoning known, specific criminal acts. Mostly involving corruption, some involving treason. Crimes that a future DoJ would be very motivated to prosecute. So this idea of preemtive pardoning is likely to fail. With a different President, it will certainly be tested.
After this President, the pardon system will be reigned in... but so will the ability of the President to control the Department of Justice to this degree.
Posted on 5/1/26 at 10:10 am to LSUPilot07
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But I’m still waiting on that master plan for victory for Ukraine. Please tell me how drones are going to reclaim the Donbas.
Really? You're ignoring Russia's oil industry and other war production being droned to hell every day, I guess. That's the plan, make them unable to afford to wage the war, and the Uke territory is liberated when they cannot afford to keep troops stationed there. The same way Afghanistan was freed (unfortunately) of having U.S. troops occupy it. Your calculation on Europe getting tired of funding things also applies to Russia... not Putin, himself, but at some point the Russian public gets demoralized and pissy. It's how the Soviet Empire collapsed.
Posted on 5/1/26 at 10:41 am to Chromdome35
quote:
I think there is another avenue open to Ukraine. IF (big IF) Ukraine can continue to stalemate Russia on the ground by relying on both air and ground based drone systems, then all they have to do is sit back and wait for Russia to throw in the towel. Can they wait out Russia? I don't know, but Ukraine's drone strikes deep into Russia are having an impact on the russian economy. In that case, what matters is Russia's willingness to continue to absorb increasingly painful attacks.
1st - Russia is much closer to its tipping point today than they were 4 years ago. I don't think anyone could reasonably argue otherwise.
2nd - Even while Ukraine has been slowly bleeding out, they have been able to stop and stalemate Russia. Russia appears to be incapable of making any gains, even with Ukraine losing the attrition battle. This is due to Ukraine's dominance in the drone warfare space. I think a reasonable person would agree with this as well.
So I think Ukraine has a path to victory, but in no way is it certain that they can achieve it.
Well I'm just glad you understand all of that...
Now, I think someone posted something here about Russian military bloggers screaming about Russian troops being sent to be instantly killed by drones everyday. So I think that might complicate things domestically inside Russia.
EDIT... robotics covered in the thread... hard to keep up
This post was edited on 5/1/26 at 11:16 am
Posted on 5/1/26 at 10:55 am to Coeur du Tigre
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Rats... ship...
Also, I'm sure those countries fear Ukraine will strike the parade with missiles and drones... which they won't, but those countries' leaders probably would, so...
Posted on 5/1/26 at 12:13 pm to Lee B
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Really? You're ignoring Russia's oil industry and other war production being droned to hell every day, I guess.
That certainly helps but how they are hitting refineries, repairs can be made in week. if not day. For the low pressure units it is like sewing a patch over a worn out pants knee tear back in my childhood. It definitely hurts Russia but more in wasted oil, and products but not crippling.
Posted on 5/1/26 at 12:31 pm to CitizenK
this was recorded before the 4th Tuapse strike...
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 5/1/26 at 1:17 pm to CitizenK
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That certainly helps but how they are hitting refineries, repairs can be made in week. if not day. For the low pressure units it is like sewing a patch over a worn out pants knee tear back in my childhood. It definitely hurts Russia but more in wasted oil, and products but not crippling.
I fully admit I know nothing of substance around refinery design, structure, operations; however, some of these strikes seem pretty impactful, how can they repair that fast? Doesn't it take years to build a refinery?
Posted on 5/1/26 at 1:36 pm to cypher
quote:
his was recorded before the 4th Tuapse strike...
Depends what this area is for.
Russia doesn't some units since not exporting to the EU
Posted on 5/1/26 at 1:40 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
That certainly helps but how they are hitting refineries, repairs can be made in week. if not day. For the low pressure units it is like sewing a patch over a worn out pants knee tear back in my childhood. It definitely hurts Russia but more in wasted oil, and products but not crippling.
Weld a patch onto a distillation column such as for crude oil or vacuum. They only need to roll the steel plate into proper curvature. A friend formerly in Amoco's R*D told me that while Russians have a hard time bolting two flanges together properly in construction, they are great at making sketchy repairs which work. Maybe owning Lada cars or Urals trucks gives them lots of experience.
Posted on 5/2/26 at 12:31 am to CitizenK
Posted on 5/2/26 at 12:32 am to Coeur du Tigre
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Ukraine’s General Staff said drone forces struck several Su-57 fighters and a Su-34 at the Shagol airbase in Russia’s Chelyabinsk region on April 25. The airbase lies about 1,700 km from the Ukrainian border, with damage still being assessed.
This post was edited on 5/2/26 at 12:38 am
Posted on 5/2/26 at 12:36 am to Coeur du Tigre
Meanwhile, meat assaults, cannibalism, extortion and murder continue in the Russian military.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 5/2/26 at 12:39 am to Coeur du Tigre
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