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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 1/11/26 at 8:34 am to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5647 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 8:34 am to
Kadyrov suffers kidney failure, Kremlin discusses successors

January 11, 2026, 04:46 AM

Chechnya’s leader Ramzan Kadyrov has suffered kidney failure, and the Kremlin is discussing potential successors, Ukraine’s state news agency Ukrinform reported, citing sources in Ukrainian military intelligence on Jan. 11.

Kadyrov is currently in his own hospital in Chechnya. Members of his family clan (teip), including from other countries, have gathered there, intelligence sources said.

According to them, the process of determining a successor has now intensified significantly. Among the most likely candidates are Chechnya’s prime minister, Magomed Daudov; Akhmat unit commander Apti Alaudinov; and Kadyrov’s eldest son, Akhmat.

NV
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5647 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 8:39 am to
Ukraine hits Russian drilling platforms in Caspian Sea – Ukraine's General Staff

Roman Petrenko — 11 January, 15:48

Ukraine's defence forces have struck three drilling platforms belonging to Russian company Lukoil in the waters of the Caspian Sea.

Source: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Details: It is specified that the drilling platforms in question are the V. Filanovsky, Yuriy Korchagin and Valeriy Grayfer platforms, which are involved in supporting the Russian Armed Forces.

The General Staff reported on the strikes, but the extent of the damage was not revealed.

In addition, Ukrainian defenders hit a Buk-M3 system near the settlement of Baranycheve in Luhansk Oblast and a logistics unit depot belonging to Russia's 49th Army near the settlement of Novotroitske in Kherson Oblast.

Ukrainska Pravda

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This post was edited on 1/11/26 at 8:42 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4332 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 10:01 am to
quote:

They are radicals with no real fundamental worldview beyond "Ukraine good", but mostly "Russia bad".
Happily guilty as charged. And I might add that after all we have seen from both sides over the last four years, if you take a different position, I suggest you have a problem, not me.
quote:

Imagine posting about someone being a pedo, then once it looks like they are going to be beneficial toward your "cause" you completely go radio silent on it, then when the tune changes again now you're back to "Trump is a pedo" posting. If you truly think someone is a pedo, it shouldn't matter their position on any issue. It's honestly gross.
As illustrated by this statement, there is still too much denial on this board about Trump's pedophilia. In the past when I threatened that denial with some quite disturbing photographs (but not as disturbing as some I could have posted), people got really pissed off.

I recognized that these posters weren't ready for that much bad news and were letting their denial do their thinking. But the anger displayed was bad for the thread and TD in general. So I agreed to back off with the photos as my point had been made - Putin is blackmailing Trump because Epstein sold Russia his files. That explains Trump's unfathomable behavior towards Russia, thus the topic's importance in this thread's discussion.

I can happily say that there is a lot less denial now than there was last year. A lot less. Posters may not want to believe the photos, which again given their gravity is understandable, but Trump's behavior and relationship with Putin is undenialble proof the blackmail is real.

It's tough to come to this realization, but one by one, the penny has dropped. My silence or non-silence on the subject doesn't matter. People are smart enough and observant enough to see the facts for themselves without me making pedo remarks every other post. Once denial starts to fail, clarity takes over.

Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8165 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 10:37 am to
Russian MilBloggers aren't feeling it these days.

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quote:

“WE CAN DO IT AGAIN” HAS FAILED

So, the Ukrainian war has now lasted longer than the Great Patriotic War [of 1941-1945].

One can say with confidence: the long-standing propaganda slogan “We can do it again!” has confidently failed.

We can’t.

In the fifth year of positional slaughter in Ukraine, both the leadership and the top-level command nodes (civilian and military) remain intact.

The bridges across the Dnipro and major railway hubs are intact. And our infantry is forced to pay with bodies (people versus drones) for turtle-paced advances.

All of this is already leading to irreversible perturbations inside the Russian Federation after the war. My soul feels extremely heavy. I am restraining my emotions as much as possible.

It is already clear that all the benefits of this war will be reaped by the USA and the PRC, while Russians are left with blood, ruins, and losses. This is, without a doubt, a case of “we have outsmarted everyone” and a triumph of foreign policy.

After 1,418 days of war, our military reputation has been severely undermined. The United States is openly mocking us. And it’s not just about what happened in Venezuela.

The point is that American military analysts say: the Russian Federation failed to achieve full air supremacy, as a developed country is supposed to do, and therefore slid into a losing war of attrition.

…It is obvious that the Russian Federation is being steered toward a forced end to the war and toward further stagnation in the role of a poor and weak “junior partner” of Washington in the confrontation with the PRC.

At the same time, Kyiv receives security guarantees from Washington, NATO troops on its territory, and investments of 800 billion dollars in the reconstruction of Ukraine.

An entire era is coming to an end: when the authorities of the Russian Federation were engaged exclusively in imitating great-power status rather than creating it in reality. When PR and propaganda triumphed over real life…

In 2026, this war will be forcibly brought to an end.

After it, the Russian Federation will face the harshest hangover and “withdrawal.” A Transition (of power) is inevitable, along with shifting responsibility for what happened onto a specific individual and an analogue of the “debunking of the cult of personality at the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union.”

This will be followed by painful attempts to reform the failed political and economic models. A new attempt at perestroika awaits us.

I reject the version according to which, after the "special military operation," an extremely harsh regime with an “electronic concentration camp” and ruthless repression will be established in the Russian Federation.

Because our “elite” is mortally afraid of such a scenario. Because it understands that repression would begin grinding it up first, launching a bloody redistribution of property and control over financial flows. Any attempt to “tighten the screws to the limit” would be extremely short-lived. The scenario of “withdrawal due to fatigue” is far more realistic.

I call on all true Russian patriots (let the pro-Western traitors go to hell) to think about how to live on. How to act in the most difficult and dangerous post-war period.

I also address non-resource industrialists who, with enormous effort, are saving their enterprises, agro-industrial producers, and scientific-technical entrepreneurs. And the smartest among the siloviki as well. You should think too.

We will have to pull the country out of a severe crisis comparable to the late 1980s. Here everyone must fulfill their duty and know their maneuver. For now, I’ll say no more. But I will speak when the time comes…"
This post was edited on 1/11/26 at 10:38 am
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42608 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 10:57 am to
Posting more Ukrainian propaganda???

Oh wait, that’s a Russian calling it like it is.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Happily guilty as charged. And I might add that after all we have seen from both sides over the last four years, if you take a different position, I suggest you have a problem, not me


Maybe you should read what I said again.

quote:

As illustrated by this statement, there is still too much denial on this board about Trump's pedophilia. In the past when I threatened that denial with some quite disturbing photographs (but not as disturbing as some I could have posted), people got really pissed off.


Another case of either not reading or not understanding.

I don't have an issue with the concept that Trump might be a pedo. He has certainly done himself no favors with the way he acted about the Epstein files there.

What I think is gross is when you ramble on and on about him being a pedo when he isn't being friendly toward Ukraine, and then it's radio silence about it when he is. If you really cared about it instead of just using it for your own Ukraine agenda, you would be consistent. This isn't even really the thread for that stuff to begin with.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134871 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:00 am to
If the Russian blogger who wrote that lives in Russia he had better learn how to fly by flapping his arms...
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:03 am to
quote:

So, the Ukrainian war has now lasted longer than the Great Patriotic War [of 1941-1945].



This is kind of a weird point for a few reasons.

WW2 at that point in Europe was several countries against Germany. So you had multiple countries advancing on what would have been Germany's flank if you look at it from the Russia's perspective.

Germany was hamstrung by their idiotic ideology, because by that point people were being promoted based on loyalty to Hitler instead of competence. (Sounds close to present day Russia in that aspect).

The style of warfare is also completely different now. In theory you can protect an area without having any ground troops or armor there using drones. Somehow some of us in this thread are still underselling the impact of drones.

And finally I think everyone still has a tendency to view Ukraine as this huge underdog. They remind me a lot of this years Indiana team... At some point you have to recognize that they were legit.
This post was edited on 1/11/26 at 11:08 am
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:34 am to
He sounds tired, depressed or hungover. Maybe all three.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42608 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:40 am to
quote:

WW2 at that point in Europe was several countries against Germany. So you had multiple countries advancing on what would have been Germany's flank if you look at it from the Russia's perspective.


At the outset of WW2 Germany had a pact with Russia. They had agreed to carve up Poland and Russia was “given” the Baltic countries. Germany also had a friend in Italy.

Germany and Russia quickly took Poland leaving Germany to take on France and England. We all know what happened there so when Hitler decided to turn on Rusdia Germany had little problem defending their West flank. That was in June of 41 almost two years after they invaded Poland.

Germany swiftly moved into Russia with little trouble until the Russian Winter hit with a vengeance. That was Russia’s biggest ally at the time.

As things evolved Russia regrouped and the US eventually came to Russia's aid and then in full force when Japan bombed Pearl in December of 41.

Russia had both the US and England on thrir side for over three years. They finally got to Berlin in just under four years with all that help in the last three years from the West.

quote:

Germany was hamstrung by their idiotic ideology, because by that point people were being promoted based on loyalty to Hitler instead of competence. (Sounds close to present day Russia in that aspect).


Yes it does.

quote:

The style of warfare is also completely different now. In theory you can protect an area without having any ground troops or armor there using drones. Somehow some of us in this thread are still underselling the impact of drones.


Russia’s failure to control the air, seifyky move on Ukraine using armor, and well trained infantry was a massive failure. Their initial thrusts were ineffective unlike Germany’s because their military was corrupt and ineffective.

quote:

And finally I think everyone still has a tendency to view Ukraine as this huge underdog. They remind me a lot of this years Indiana team... At some point you have to recognize that they were legit.


In February of 2022 Ukraine was a huge underdog. But wd all were shocked, at least I was, that Russia did so poorly. The advantages they had were wasted and the West saw it and ratcheted up the aid. Ukraine was given hope and when they executed their first big counterattack, things settled down to what we have now.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:42 am to
quote:


In February of 2022 Ukraine was a huge underdog. But wd all were shocked, at least I was, that Russia did so poorly. The advantages they had were wasted and the West saw it and ratcheted up the aid. Ukraine was given hope and when they executed their first big counterattack, things settled down to what we have now.


Yeah I think I over estimated Russia and underestimated Ukraine initially. Russia has done an awful job to this point
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:48 am to
A very weakened Russia and a strong China that has some serious historical grievances with territory that Russia took from them.

Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42608 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:51 am to
quote:

Yeah I think I over estimated Russia and underestimated Ukraine initially. Russia has done an awful job to this point


Same here. I was expecting something like our invasion of Jordan/Iraq in the first Gulf War.

Russia had years to plan this Special Operation. They were attacking a neighbor from three sides. They knew the terrain. They probably had spies inside. Everything was in their favor but…..
This post was edited on 1/11/26 at 2:49 pm
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13315 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Smart divestment by Putin. Armenia is a burden nobody wants to carry.

So how are things going with Russia's primary allies?

Last I checked Putin was blood brothers with:

North Korea
Iran
Venezuela
Cuba
Chechnya
Syria
Hamas
And a smattering of African warlords

Is this who you're talking about?
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

In February of 2022 Ukraine was a huge underdog. But wd all were shocked, at least I was, that Russia did so poorly. The advantages they had were wasted and the West saw it and ratcheted up the aid. Ukraine was given hope and when they executed their first big counterattack, things settled down to what we have now.



I remember everybody reacting like "well, that's that..." and considering Ukraine helpless.

Then, "well, Russia thought there would be no resistance and barely tried (that is 100% true) but they will now ramp it up and Ukraine is screwed."

Then... "uh... hey... Ukraine has some outsized balls and Russia's military seems to be screwy..."

We all thought Ukraine had lost before this began...
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26470 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

Same here. I was expecting something like our invasion of Jordan/Iraq in the first Gulf War.


I did a bit of research on how many troops, reserves and police Ukraine had so I didn't think that it was going to be a Russian cake walk.

Then too Ukraine was handing out guns to their civilian population who were eager enough to accept them.

There is a lot of historical bad blood between Ukraine and Russia.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 5:26 pm to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42608 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

I did a bit of research on how many troops, reserves and police Ukraine had so I didn't think that it was going to be a Russian cake walk.


I thought Russian air power would dominate.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 5:55 pm to
Are we not supposed to post non-Ukraine things in this thread?

Iran's situation has some relevance:

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Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/11/26 at 5:56 pm to
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