re: James Lindsay Opinion Piece on the Iran Deal

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It's a pseudo civil war.

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Is it even really "pseudo"?

I have no idea what you are referencing or how that answers my question.

I will say this, your autism is exhausting and always has been

I dont have the time or patience to do this with you

all I will say is you are in some really deep water with speculation and bad propaganda laced facts

I think you dont understand the severity of what has happened to Iran and how long it will take them to recover

they were on the verge of collapse internally before Feb 28, 2026.

Please remember their protests in January and February were about the lack of drinking water in Tehran BEFORE the shite hit the fan

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Iran is suffering through a historic "water bankruptcy" driven by decades of over-extraction, climate change, and recent infrastructure damages from conflict.

Major urban centers are near empty, and the situation threatens access to drinking water and energy for millions of people. The catastrophic drinking water shortage is defined by several critical factors:

Depleted Reservoirs: The capital city of Tehran—home to about 10 million people—has faced severe reservoir depletion, forcing officials to impose rolling water cuts, nightly rationing, and rely on public wells.

Other major hubs like Mashhad have seen reserves fall to dangerously low single digits.

Relocation Plans: The crisis has become so dire that Iranian officials have declared the need to begin a decades-long process of relocating the capital from arid Tehran to wetter coastal regions.

Systemic Overpumping: More than half a century of unsustainable policies have drained underground aquifers. The push for agricultural self-sufficiency has led to rampant well-sinking, accelerating saltwater intrusion and causing parts of Tehran to sink.

Climate and Conflict: The situation has been compounded by multi-year droughts and a significant reduction in winter snow cover. Furthermore, recent infrastructure damage from military operations has severely strained already fragile water and desalination treatment facilities.

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if they are lucky we are looking at a Germany or Japan from 1945-1955 and those two countries had clean governments with a new attitude for recovery and resources to build from. Iran hasn't even had their Coup or even worse their Civil War yet

WTF does Iran have to build on?

bookmark this thread, come back in a year and let's see who is closer to the truth

The medium/long term result is the GCC’s are going to start building more pipelines and more countries will be buying oil from the US and South/Latin America which the US is going more influence over. This is going to leave Iran more exposed and unable to harm the world economy.

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won the deal

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They gave up nothing and gained a TON.

Why would the US give them all of that if they were in the position you keep trying to create? Why would we lift sanctions? Why would we even negotiate? It seems like we could just sit back and hope for the regime change you think is coming. We weren't expending lots of military resources and we supposedly controlled the SOH, so there is no reason why we couldn't just quarantine Iran until we got "unconditional surrender".

Maybe quasi would be a better word.

Intense combat on a small scale and widely scattered.

is your new àvatar?

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I'm starting to think it's similar to Reagan's strategy that choked the Soviet Union

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How TF am I supposed to treat anything after that with any seriousness?

The gulf states have luxury hotels. They will contain Iran. A few weeks ago someone asked what to do if they were Trump. I replied, talk to the gulf states that are losing tourism in their 5 star hotels..start with Kuwait.

Trump did. Money talks and BS walks.