re: Italy may seek "nuclear option" in dealing with migrants

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Like what? I thought it was mainly due to be ostracized for lack of assimilation.

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Well most of the Muslims in both Britain and France are former colonial subjects. French Algerians in particular dealt with the fallout of the Algerian War of Independence, which created a massive amount of bitterness in France, so much so that the OAS attempted to assassinate De Gaulle. Many Algerians already spoke French and the degree to which the French had to assimilate them was much smaller than Germany's issues with the Turks. The Algerians who arrived in the post-independence era were discriminated against in France, which created the current situation. At the same time, the French Algerians were not accepted in Algeria if they attempted to move back. Here is an article I've posted ad nauseam, but goes over the French Algerian situation fairly well. LINK

The British situation is different as the alienation doesn't have a specific history, but a more general one. It partly has to do with the fallen status of the British as imperial powers, and partly with alienation of those Muslims not feeling British or Pakistani (where a large percentage of Muslims in Britain are originally from). The common theme in each case of alienation is the retreat to Islam in lieu of a national identity. But how each group got there is different, and honestly worth studying.

Oh

I do think your assessment is most likely in the historical short term, again I do cede you are very knowledgeable on the area and it's nuances, much more than I am. The time frame I have in my mind for my original assertion is 20-30 years from now.

I normally have much closer time frames in mind with my thoughts, but I realize it's easy to get caught up in the feelings of the moment which normally have an urgent feeling, I think naturally. In the moment it seems like we're 5-10 years away, but that seems too soon. Things take longer to develop generally. All of this with a grain of salt of course, as I am far from an expert, but I do find the subject very interesting.

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But what is stop military intervention if the Germans did decide they would push the issue.

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Common sense. Italy is both an EU and NATO member. Germany isn't going to use threats of military intervention to stop Italy from turning migrant ships around and towing them back to where they came from if Italy ever decided to do that.

Agree. The reaction from Germany would be political, not military.

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also of note, these are primarily migrants from Africa, so it's not even the "Syrian" migrants that made all the headlines last year

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This has been the case since the "refugee crisis" began. It was just an excuse to pipe more people into Europe. If you remember the stories from a few years ago about all of the "do-gooders" using their yachts, etc. to rescue migrants and deliver them to Europe, the African origin was always the case.

Look, we like to talk about "globalists" and their evil plans and all, and it seems like InfoWars paranoia, but there really is something to the concerted effort to pipe as many members of hostile, non-assimilating cultures into Europe. You can form your own opinion as to why this is being done, but it clearly is intentional and not the result of people wanting to escape "war-torn" areas.

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Agreed that it isn't the fault of the German people but of their politicians. 

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Who they elected, so yeah, it's their fault.

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with the Turks destabilized to the degree that Erdogan could consolidate powe

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So did Erdogan succeed in purging the last of the Kemalist faction from the Army? The big protests from a few years back seemed to be sparked by Erdogan's removal of Ataturk monuments from public parks. Did that sentiment get buried in the post coup purge?