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Is the LA GOP conceding JBE's reelection?
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:02 am
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:02 am
The primary is 7 months away and it feels like I'm hearing nothing about the race. The only Republicans who have declared are Eddie Rispone and Ralph Abraham. As far as political name recognition goes, those guys are relatively unknown. I haven't seen or heard them doing campaign events to drum up support a few months from the primary.
It's starting to feel like this is going to be a non competitive election and John Bel is going to coast to a 2nd term.
It's starting to feel like this is going to be a non competitive election and John Bel is going to coast to a 2nd term.
18
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:06 am to Lsuhoohoo
We have a pretty weak pool of candidates outside of the guys we have in Washington right now
ETA: Charles Boustany maybe?
ETA: Charles Boustany maybe?
This post was edited on 3/8/19 at 11:09 am
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:08 am to mylsuhat
I was expecting Landry. What happened with him?
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:08 am to Lsuhoohoo
not yet, keep watching.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:10 am to mylsuhat
Boustany doesn't have the name ID and has taken a cush lobbyist job in DC
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:14 am to geauxtigers87
I don't think so...I don't remember hearing much in terms of chatter until a few months out.
Hopefully the GOP remembers the bloodbath from last election and coalesces around a candidate early.
Hopefully the GOP remembers the bloodbath from last election and coalesces around a candidate early.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:17 am to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
The primary is 7 months away and it feels like I'm hearing nothing about the race.
Yeah not a ton of excitement, but honestly that doesn't mean too much. The session is the next "big thing." Most of the activity will happen after labor day. Starting in April there will be more public forums.
Add in that the only thing the media seems to care about covering is how some Republicans think there needs to be another candidate, mostly to get you to think what you are thinking.
quote:
The only Republicans who have declared are Eddie Rispone and Ralph Abraham. As far as political name recognition goes, those guys are relatively unknown. I haven't seen or heard them doing campaign events to drum up support a few months from the primary.
They are mostly touching base with the donors and key groups. Setting the stage if you will.
quote:
It's starting to feel like this is going to be a non competitive election and John Bel is going to coast to a 2nd term.
Well Kennedy dropping out kinda screwed the republicans. That said, there is still plenty of time left.
JBE was going to be tough to beat, I have said that all along. However I think you need to adjust you expectations a little in terms of public meetings. They will be here before you know it.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:20 am to BigJim
quote:
That said, there is still plenty of time left.
Not really. For candidates with little name recognition like Rispone or Abraham, the time to start getting your name out was last year. I've seen a grand total of one Rispone sign in BR...
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:24 am to NIH
JBE is going to win a second term. After that the real Republicans that can win will be in for the haul.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:28 am to Lsuhoohoo
I don't think JBE could get 50%+ if the election was today with two republican names on the ballot so a general election is almost certain.
Maybe Rispone and Abraham and keeping their powder dry until right before the primary so they will money for the general election. Their strategy is to beat the other republican and make the runoff then go after JBE.
Maybe Rispone and Abraham and keeping their powder dry until right before the primary so they will money for the general election. Their strategy is to beat the other republican and make the runoff then go after JBE.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:47 am to Lsuhoohoo
Yeah I’m getting kind of worried. Rispone and Abraham aren’t that popular and well known. Not a lot of talk coming from them. I’m worried JBE is going to win it easily
Posted on 3/8/19 at 11:56 am to Lsuhoohoo
I think you will have a runoff and it will be JBE vs "A republican".
At that point, it will simply be about JBE. Do people want to give him a second term or not?
With the current limited field of GOP candidates, there is absolutely nothing to be excited about. When we get to the runoff, it will just be, do we want to get rid of the democrat in office or not. Who the republican is, given this list of candidates, doesn't matter much.
We just don't have a strong bench of potential GOP governor candidates right now. I think the only one that would bring any excitement is currently the minority whip of the US House and he ain't leaving that.
And let's not act like the Dems have much of a bench either. JBE was all they had in 2015 and he only won because of Viter Fatigue. In the 2007 election, the top three Democrats were Walter Boasso, Foster Campbell, and Mary Volentine Smith. In the 2011 election, they were Tara Hollis, Cary Deaton, and Trey Roberts. Not exactly world names.
At that point, it will simply be about JBE. Do people want to give him a second term or not?
With the current limited field of GOP candidates, there is absolutely nothing to be excited about. When we get to the runoff, it will just be, do we want to get rid of the democrat in office or not. Who the republican is, given this list of candidates, doesn't matter much.
We just don't have a strong bench of potential GOP governor candidates right now. I think the only one that would bring any excitement is currently the minority whip of the US House and he ain't leaving that.
And let's not act like the Dems have much of a bench either. JBE was all they had in 2015 and he only won because of Viter Fatigue. In the 2007 election, the top three Democrats were Walter Boasso, Foster Campbell, and Mary Volentine Smith. In the 2011 election, they were Tara Hollis, Cary Deaton, and Trey Roberts. Not exactly world names.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:11 pm to LSUFanHouston
I want to believe the state GOP is going to start pounding him on the stupidity being shown by the national party. They need to make him either defend them or explain why he is a member of a party that is ok with infanticide, illegal voters, antisemitism, etc. However, i am not confident in the leadership to play hard ball.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:23 pm to Lsuhoohoo
La. races aren't like national races where they announce 2 years in advance. They jump in much closer to election day.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:23 pm to lsursb
quote:
I want to believe the state GOP is going to start pounding him on the stupidity being shown by the national party. They need to make him either defend them or explain why he is a member of a party that is ok with infanticide, illegal voters, antisemitism, etc. However, i am not confident in the leadership to play hard ball.
Eh. I feel like he's done a pretty solid job of separating himself from the national party on those issues.
His shortcoming are financial and lack of leadership to take on our tough state issues.
As far as the "State GOP" to hammer him... we don't have much of that. Neither party has much of an apparatus in the state. LAGOP is an absolute joke. There needs to be some coordinated effort to raise money, either directly for the state party, or for some PACs, and we just don't have that. And I don't see that forming this year.
The GOP candidates are going to be on their own, which is another problem
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:24 pm to mylsuhat
quote:
Charles Boustany maybe?
Couldn't win the state vote for Senate in 2016. Did horrible outside the Lafayette/Lake Charles area.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:26 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Yes, they are letting him do whatever he wants including dropping ugly pieces of shite in arsenal park despite having no authority. They are acting like a voodoo woman named Phyllis and Roberto loves big city living.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:26 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
As far as the "State GOP" to hammer him... we don't have much of that. Neither party has much of an apparatus in the state. LAGOP is an absolute joke.
Aren't the LA GOP just a bunch of government spending RINOs who were Democrats up until the 1990s/early 2000s anyway?
Posted on 3/8/19 at 12:30 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
Eh. I feel like he's done a pretty solid job of separating himself from the national party on those issues.
I haven't seen anything where he was even asked about it. Maybe I missed it. I know he claims to be a pro-life, conservative democrat but he certainly loves the tax and spend philosophy of his party.
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