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re: Is the goal of the tariffs to negotiate free trade deals or is it to onshore jobs?

Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:31 am to
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55610 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:31 am to
quote:

We run a deficit by sending them dollars. Rather than debase the dollar, which would happen if the sent the excess dollars back home via foreign exchange markets, the lend them back to us.

This is not true. Our deficit is from our government spending being higher than our government's revenue. This should be obvious.

The mechanism you describe sometimes happens but the trade deficit is more closely responsible for foreign investment in the USA.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
89842 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:34 am to
Technology actually can decrease labor costs.


But you don’t want free trade anyway and it’s not going to happen.


Prior to Trump getting in office there have been tariffs, duties, vat, and economic sanctions placed on various countries over the years.


We haven’t been operating under a free trade world and won’t be in the future.


We might have individual deals with countries or groups of countries, but it’s never going to be a global thing.



Which goes back to my point of people crying over tariffs. You already had them.
This post was edited on 4/10/25 at 9:38 am
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5331 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:37 am to
quote:

You're conflating public debt with the trade deficit. Our public debt is a problem. The trade deficit has minimal impact on it. Federal spending is the fix for that.


I'm conflating nothing. A huge chunk of our debt is owed to our trade partners, which they hold because of our trade deficits. They support our consumption by lending us money that we can't afford to repay. Our public debt is absolutely a problem right now, and it's why we will soon default on that debt we owe our trade partners. The pre Feb 2025 status quo was already doomed.


quote:

We have the best manufacturing in the world when you compare total output with per capita output.


Yet we can't make cutting edge electronics like IPhones and advanced computer chips. We're dependent on foreigners to supply those even though they're very important. We're dependent on foreigners for pharmaceuticals and their base ingredients. We're dependent on foreigners to build our commercial ships and a large chunk of our transportation vehicles. Depending on foreign goods to fill essential needs is not a strength, it's a liability, especially when you borrow from those same foreigners to pay for your purchases.

What's our #1 export for the last 15 years? Oil and its derivatives. And we export a lot of that because we can't refine the type of oil we blast out of the ground. So we export it and import oil from elsewhere to get what we need. That's not an advanced manufacturing economy, it's just the opposite.
This post was edited on 4/10/25 at 10:37 am
Posted by bamabonners
Alabama
Member since Nov 2015
5159 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:41 am to
quote:

It’s both….they aren’t mutually exclusive, because with some industries the goal is on shoring, with others it’s free trade/better terms…the status quo is no more.


That's exactly what we already had. tariffs on some items and free trade on others.
This post was edited on 4/10/25 at 9:43 am
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28192 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:44 am to
quote:

That's exactly what we already had.


Yeah, I'm not seeing a "paradigm shift". It may very well end up helping, but we're still going to end up with a combination of tools & policies depending on the specific situation. We have that now.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
89842 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:44 am to
quote:

You're conflating public debt with the trade deficit Our public debt is a problem. The trade deficit has minimal impact on it. Federal spending is the fix for that.



You are right these are two different things but both increase our debt.


Trade deficits increase our debt like I’ve pointed out numerous times.

Overspending also increases our debt.

quote:

Foreign Lending: When the U.S. runs a trade deficit, countries like China, Japan, and others that have trade surpluses with the U.S. end up with a lot of U.S. dollars. Often, they use those dollars to buy U.S. Treasury bonds, effectively lending money to the U.S. government.

This increases the U.S. national debt because those Treasury bonds are a form of government borrowing.




You aren’t always right you know?

It’s okay to say I’m a lawyer and just kind of winging this shite.


One thing Trump is trying to do with spending, since no one is going to cut ss or Medicare, was raise money through tariffs instead of increasing income tax.


And everyone should want this to work.

I understand it might not. But if it doesn’t, we run into the issue of printing money for the debt. That can lead to hyperinflation.


This post was edited on 4/10/25 at 9:54 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477259 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:45 am to
quote:

If we want to subsidize an industry because there are benefits, fine, but we've got to recognize that it comes with a cost.


Also, this has very little to do with trade balance or tariffs. It's direct subsidy instead
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
1578 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Is the goal of the tariffs to negotiate free trade deals or is it to onshore jobs?


The goal is to drive you leftists crazy. It's working!
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
2424 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Do you honestly think that removing a 5 to 10% tariff is going to eliminate the advantage in labor costs for a country like vietnam? Especially if it means that they now get to sell their goods to us consumers at lower prices?


i do not think the goal will ever be to compete with Vietnam on the cheap products that they make. The goal with a place like Vietnam, at least in part, is for them to give us the trade deals they give to their most favored nations - of which they import higher-end manufactured goods - like electrical systems, machinery, etc.
Given that we import quite a lot from Vietnam it seems worthwhile to demand that we get the same treatment as Japan, Korea, the UK, etc
Posted by Harry Rex Vonner
Foggy Bottom Law School
Member since Nov 2013
50542 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:53 am to
If you Google "How much do other countries around the world owe the United States?", Google and "media" refuse to answer the question
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477259 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:55 am to
quote:

A huge chunk of our debt is owed to our trade partners, which they hold because of our trade deficits

Not necessarily

They also hold it for stable investment purposes

Few assets are as safe as UST

quote:

They support our consumption by lending us money that we can't afford to repay.

We print money and create debt that we disproportionately hold.

quote:

Our public debt is absolutely a problem

Yes, but a different problem than trade

quote:

and it's why we will soon default on that debt we owe

I think this is doom casting a bit

We are in no threat to default

This trade war is not directly related to that default if we do. The default will most affect America as we hold the most UST
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24865 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:56 am to
quote:

It also means we're paying higher prices.


I’m willing to pay more for American made. If you’re not then buy the Chinese products. Right now, because Chyna cheat and is asshoe the gap is artificially larger than what the markets would dictate.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
40237 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

This trade war is not directly related to that default if we do. The default will most affect America as we hold the most UST

There's no way we default on foreign debt. We would absolutely default on domestic owned debt first.

Defaulting on foreign debt is a the real doom and gloom scenario. Defaulting on Americans would hurt but the country doesn't end and still could borrow albeit at higher rates...
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28192 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

I’m willing to pay more for American made.


Everybody says that but their clothes are still made in Vietnam or China.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24865 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Everybody says that but their clothes are still made in Vietnam or China.


Because the playing field is too slanted right now. Hence the entire point of meshing trade and tariffs. You finally see the point of what Trump is doing. Congrats.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477259 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 10:02 am to
quote:

Foreign Lending: When the U.S. runs a trade deficit, countries like China, Japan, and others that have trade surpluses with the U.S. end up with a lot of U.S. dollars. Often, they use those dollars to buy U.S. Treasury bonds, effectively lending money to the U.S. government.


Which country has increased their UST holdings the past 20 years?

How has the % owned by Americans/American companies changed over that time?

I believe this paradigm was much more true in the past than it is today

quote:

was raise money through tariffs instead of increasing income tax.

If we reduce tariffs then how is this going to happen?

Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5331 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 10:03 am to
quote:

We run a deficit by sending them dollars. Rather than debase the dollar, which would happen if the sent the excess dollars back home via foreign exchange markets, they lend them back to us.



quote:

This is not true. Our deficit is from our government spending being higher than our government's revenue. This should be obvious.


There may be some confusion, but what I said above (first quote) is absolutely true. We run a trade (added for clarity) deficit by sending them dollars. Your response is to something I did not say. I did not say that our budget deficits are caused by our trade deficits. I said that our trade deficits are partiall financed by lending from our trading partners and that is impossible to deny. On net, they send us more stuff than we send them, we cover the deficit by sending them dollars, they exchange some of those dollars for US debt. That's US debt exchanged for imported goods no matter how you twist it. If they didn't use those excess dollars to buy and hold dollar based assets, they would sell them on the Forex market and the dollar's value would have steadily declined vis a vis our trading partners currencies over the last 50 years. Their goods would've become too expensive for us to buy. That continuous trade deficit was financed in part by, and would not have been possible without, foreign lending.

quote:

the trade deficit is more closely responsible for foreign investment in the USA.


Right. Them lending us money and buying our assets to support the dollar is an investment, because foreigners really want to invest in the US instead of their own economies. And not only that, it's a gift because we can just print money to pay off public or private debt when it becomes unaffordable. The fed has monetized probably 6 trillion dollars worth of debt in the last 20 years or so, which would probably cover a sizeable chunk of our trade deficits over that time period.

This post was edited on 4/10/25 at 10:28 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477259 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 10:04 am to
quote:

i do not think the goal will ever be to compete with Vietnam on the cheap products that they make. The goal with a place like Vietnam, at least in part, is for them to give us the trade deals they give to their most favored nations - of which they import higher-end manufactured goods - like electrical systems, machinery, etc.

That's absolutely Fair, and certainly the goal of the fair trade/zero tariff goal

But I was replying to people talking about how this would increase domestic manufacturing in America, which it may have a very very slight effect on positively, but clearly it's not to the level where we can proclaim the goal is to "bring jobs back"
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
28192 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Because the playing field is too slanted right now. Hence the entire point of meshing trade and tariffs. You finally see the point of what Trump is doing. Congrats.



You just said absolutely nothing other than admitting you buy cheap foreign clothes.

I think we've got a few months before we KNOW how this plays out. I hope it works out for the better but people should stop pretending that they know what's going on.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91573 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 10:15 am to
Is there a reason the loudest moderates on here are drug addicts?
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