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re: I made a handy pic to explain to people who think we're trying to eradicate COVID
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:51 pm to Taxing Authority
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:51 pm to Taxing Authority
that kept up bro
0
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:10 pm to SlowFlowPro
Leave it to a Stanford guy to start referring to Area Under Curves. What's next discussions on integrals?
On a more serious note, thanks for highlighting this.
Although I doubt our political rivals will understand as math is racist.
On a more serious note, thanks for highlighting this.
Although I doubt our political rivals will understand as math is racist.
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:27 pm to IslandBuckeye
quote:
Leave it to a Stanford guy
i didn't go to Stanford
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:29 pm to SlowFlowPro
Bingo...this is bullshite. Take ur losses and move on. Its gonna happen anyway!
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:32 pm to SlowFlowPro
Lmao got his arse
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:33 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Chinese water torture?
ISWYDT
Probably racsis too
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:35 pm to SlowFlowPro
I’m not aware of anywhere, even in NYC, where capacity was exceeded, is exceeded now, or came close to being exceeded. So the plot of that blue line is off. If plotted correctly it would show that more measures were applied than were needed.
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:36 pm to FlySaint
quote:
I’m not aware of anywhere, even in NYC, where capacity was exceeded, is exceeded now, or came close to being exceeded. So the plot of that blue line is off. If plotted correctly it would show that more measures were applied than were needed.
thank you for explaining OP
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:43 pm to SlowFlowPro
All you have to say is that the area under the curve is ultimately the same in theory.
I get that your intent is to be snarkey but its really not that complicated nor is it widely misunderstood.
What does seem to be flying over most of this board's head though is basic risk management. Risks have probability and impact vectors. Mitigations are implemented to reduce probability or in the event that they come to pass and become issues reduce their impact.
Successful mitigation strategies are NOT evidence that no risk ever existed or that the risk/issue would not persist or rise again if mitigations were deprecated. This is what people here seem to either be missing or ignoring because it doesnt fit into their daily sky scream about the economy or the impact to Trump's reelection chances.
I get that your intent is to be snarkey but its really not that complicated nor is it widely misunderstood.
What does seem to be flying over most of this board's head though is basic risk management. Risks have probability and impact vectors. Mitigations are implemented to reduce probability or in the event that they come to pass and become issues reduce their impact.
Successful mitigation strategies are NOT evidence that no risk ever existed or that the risk/issue would not persist or rise again if mitigations were deprecated. This is what people here seem to either be missing or ignoring because it doesnt fit into their daily sky scream about the economy or the impact to Trump's reelection chances.
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:46 pm to SickGainzLP
quote:
Successful mitigation strategies are NOT evidence that no risk ever existed
only the crazies are still saying this
hell, even the crazies said there was risk. they just compared it to an annual threat (the flu)
quote:
or that the risk/issue would not persist or rise again if mitigations were deprecated.
i think everyone understands this. it's just that the initial models were SO OFF that we actually NEED to have more spread
otherwise, this will take years of SAH
quote:
All you have to say is that the area under the curve is ultimately the same in theory.
you think most people have a working knowledge of Calc2?
This post was edited on 4/20/20 at 2:47 pm
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:48 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:you have a point there.
you think most people have a working knowledge of Calc2
And I agree that the current track is not sustainable forever. But a lot of people seem to be arguing that there shouldn't have been any shutdown and that we need to reopen everything at once
This post was edited on 4/20/20 at 2:50 pm
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:50 pm to SlowFlowPro
I'm stealing that btw
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:51 pm to LSUJuice
feel free. i actually meant to include that in OP
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:52 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
otherwise, this will take years of SAH
Your black line goes to the end of the graph. Who do you think is proposing that?
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:53 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
Who do you think is proposing that?
people who are barking about not starting to reopen most of the country
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:54 pm to SlowFlowPro
They're arguing about how soon. Your black line should be a lot shorter.
And you seem to have more confidence in the philosopher-kings of our technocracy than I would've expected.
And you seem to have more confidence in the philosopher-kings of our technocracy than I would've expected.
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:57 pm to SickGainzLP
quote:
Successful mitigation strategies are NOT evidence that no risk ever existed or that the risk/issue would not persist or rise again if mitigations were deprecated. This is what people here seem to either be missing or ignoring because it doesnt fit into their daily sky scream about the economy or the impact to Trump's reelection chances.
To continue with the condescending attitude, what YOU seem to be missing is that the elimination/reduction of a risk in and of itself is not evidence of a successful risk mitigation strategy.
If you needed to secure a stock certificate worth $10,000, would you consider building an underground 3,000 sqft bunker complete with state of the art security and a 24/7 100 man guard a successful risk mitigation strategy?
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:59 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
They're arguing about how soon.
what does this matter if we're so far under the danger zone?
every moment that we're under that line is wasted and only further prolongs SAH measures
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:03 pm to SlowFlowPro
Because we'd like to provide some deferred elective care again at some point.
Posted on 4/20/20 at 3:03 pm to Nado Jenkins83
quote:
You mean you typed some font over it that we already knew. If you actually drew the curves and colored I would give you credit
And just like that, SFP's attempt at fame became derailed due to the zealous efforts of the poli board's resident copyright infringement detective.
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