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re: I don't get Wisconsin

Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:39 am to
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72051 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Great point. Nowhere near as reliable as YouGov, or WaPo polls, right?
Those aren’t reliable either.

Those polls are fricked.

When I used the term “poll” for this info, that probably wasn’t the correct term.
quote:

Last updated Oct. 29. Party registration is modeled by TargetSmart from multiple commercial sources.
That is how TargetSmart came by that info.

I mean, even if they are off by a bit and that 79% is split 50/50 D/R (at best), that is still a pretty good thing.

Just know that the data is “iffy”.
Posted by lsursb
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
11579 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:39 am to
People from other states ask me how LA has JBE. Same concept. Milwaukee/Madison = NOLA/BR
Posted by angryslugs
Member since Apr 2008
10190 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:40 am to
quote:

Yet, they are trending for Biden?



Posted by KingofthePoint
Member since Feb 2009
10130 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:43 am to
My cousins’ dad side is from Wisconsin. They are super liberal. Those are the only people I know from Wisconsin.
Posted by canyon critter
Montana
Member since Feb 2019
1116 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:51 am to
People that are into the outdoors are generally not republican, unless you’re referring to fishers and hunters. The outdoor industry is dominated by progressive minded people.
Posted by canyon critter
Montana
Member since Feb 2019
1116 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:53 am to
quote:

Liberal shits moving into Atlanta, Columbus and Savannah


It sounds like the entire country is being run over by “liberal shits” as if that’s the excuse for everything that doesn’t go your (generally speaking) way.

Maybe, just maybe, conservatism is a thing of the past and the last beacon of hope is the elderly not dying.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
16464 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 8:56 am to
quote:

So when they ruin Georgia, Texas and North Carolina, where do they move?


Nashville
Posted by RD Dawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
27297 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:02 am to
quote:

as downtown Atlanta


If only it was just downtown.
Suburbs like Sandy Springs, Dunwoody and even Gwinnett County
are trending blue.

I'm hoping Handel wins but I think Lucy McBath is gonna coast in the 6th.I hope I'm wrong
Posted by captainFid
Vestavia, AL
Member since Dec 2014
4703 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:05 am to
Previously posted...

Just like this one from 'this day in history 2016' CNN. I hate them, so I'll post the relevant parts....


I HATE CNN - 2016

quote:

A trio of state polls released this week show Hillary Clinton's northern "blue wall" holding, as she carries commanding leads across a series of key states.

The polls -- taken after the release of a 2005 recording of Donald Trump talking in a sexually aggressive manner about women -- show Clinton leading in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Coupled with Democrats' advantage in the Electoral College, the slate of polls suggests that only an extremely narrow path to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency remains for Trump, who has staked his candidacy in part on flipping some traditionally Democratic states.
Trump won Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

quote:

According to CNN's latest battleground map, Trump would need to win one of these states -- Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania -- to get more than the 270 electoral votes needed for victory, even if he also captured Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and every other state Mitt Romney won in 2012.
A new North Carolina poll shows Clinton and Trump running neck-and-neck and a Utah survey shows Trump with a narrow lead over Clinton.
Trump Won Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, and Utah.

quote:

A Bloomberg Politics poll released on Thursday found Clinton leading Trump by 9 points in Pennsylvania.
Trump Won
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
39417 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:10 am to
Here's what we know.

Trump won Wiscy in 2016
Trump hasn't really done anything to lose that support
Trump held 3 rallies there with 15k per rally. Joe held 1 and 10 people showed up.
Riots in Kenosha certainly don't help dems in the rural areas.

60% of dems say they will vote early versus only 30% of reps.

ANYTHING close going into election day will likely result in a Trump win there.
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 9:11 am
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44799 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Maybe, just maybe, conservatism is a thing of the past


So personal responsibility and not giving away handouts to the laziest of society are things of the past? What a sad statement.
Posted by DaleGribble
Bend, OR
Member since Sep 2014
6821 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Maybe, just maybe, conservatism is a thing of the past and the last beacon of hope is the elderly not dying.



Maybe, just maybe, you have been fully indoctrinated.
Posted by concrete_tiger
Member since May 2020
5978 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:17 am to
I'm going to take a guess.

All of those northern tier states were HEAVY union states, and as factories moved south or closed, they didn't blame unions, they blamed the governors and those in charge. Wisconsin had Scott Walker. They blame him. And so on.

Minnesota. Well, Minnesota is the ONLY state that Mondale won. It has been a blue state forever. I think it ties to a heavy Euro-centric population, and again, ties to organized labor in that region.
Posted by olemc999
At a blackjack table
Member since Oct 2010
13260 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Green Bay


Nah, Green Bay went for Trump last time.
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
18158 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:22 am to
5% are the youngsters. 64% is 50+.That bodes well for Trump I would think.
Posted by canyon critter
Montana
Member since Feb 2019
1116 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:31 am to
quote:

So personal responsibility and not giving away handouts to the laziest of society are things of the past?


Complaining about people being lazy and receiving handouts despite opposing the idea that women should have the right to choose.
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 9:34 am
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
11006 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:33 am to
quote:

I don't get Wisconsin


Neither will Biden.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
112435 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:35 am to
Wisconsin has a very long history of socialists. Goes back at least to 1930s. But the socialist organizations used titles like 'federation of labor' instead of the 's' word.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
31825 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:36 am to
Trump isn’t down in reality. In Marquette poll he’s “down” 5 with 8% “undecided”


He was down 6 with 6 % undecided at same point to Hillary. He gained all “undecideds”


This is the obvious “hidden” trump vote
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28502 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:36 am to
quote:

Plenty of people up there who would be called rednecks in the South.


most of my aquaintances are from the lacrosse area, which is the only part of WI i've visited.

they are rednecks with a different accent. and drink and curse like its second nature
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