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re: Here are the supposed early voting numbers among 18-29

Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:36 pm to
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
34917 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

the main focus is on the fact that liberals are absolutely out and voting against Trump, not for Biden.


yep

if the 18-29 demographic is coming out as hard as the OP suggests, then this thing is over
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162237 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

While I hadn’t seen this, and while it also could be that early voting for all age groups is significantly higher than 2016, the number of 18-21 year olds that I know that are early voting is alarming.

And, these are kids that all come from conservative families. Social media has really succeeded in brainwashing these kids.

Why is it alarming that these people are voting?
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
12516 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:37 pm to
I think over republicans vs democrats ballots returned me more then young people. The numbers in Florida are not bad at this point. I think people are missing the fact that there is young Trump supporters too. I live in Florida and have seen a lot more younger people with Trump gear then Biden .
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72153 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:38 pm to
That was referenced in another thread.

Someone posted a link and it stated that 440,000 early votes were cast by those 18-29 in NC in 2016.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
19841 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:39 pm to
I highly doubt these numbers. But if accurate blue wave it is
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
18704 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:40 pm to
Why concerned? If they vote early do they get a second vote later?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72153 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:40 pm to
I doubt that only 7500 18-29 year olds early voted in 2016.
Posted by Knight of Old
New Hampshire
Member since Jul 2007
10992 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:44 pm to
It’s a bald-faced lie...
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:45 pm to
Looks like Trump is in deep trouble. Close to a100% of these votes are Biden’s. Get ready for a miserable future.
Posted by tgrgrd00
Kenner, LA
Member since Jun 2004
8519 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:47 pm to
I would just like to know the source.

Seems like nobody can find the source except the person who made the graphic.

How did the person that make this get this data from those states?

Eta: and if they have these numbers. What are the numbers for the other age groups?


This post was edited on 10/24/20 at 3:49 pm
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:48 pm to
This seems fricky.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124081 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

It is almost like the pollsters have an agenda.

It's almost like those surveyed are unwilling to honestly answer who they support. When the question is changed to "who do you think your neighbors are supporting?" 49% think their neighbors are supporting Trump vs 38% who believe their neighbors are backing Biden.
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18436 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:52 pm to
If this is true, then this is a problem because young people (especially nowadays) are much more liberal than they are as they get into their 30s and 40s.

One of the reasons why they have so little impact on voting trends is because they're young, stupid, and lazy. Or busy with other interests than politics.

When I was in undergrad, I was the only one in my apartment of 4 that voted. My 3 roommates never registered to vote in Auburn and stupidly put their parents address as their address. Their voting precinct was back in Birmingham.

When I was teaching a college course back in 2016, I had a number of students come to class surprised that they had to register to vote at all and had missed the deadline to register.

BUT there is such a push right now for early registration and voting by mail/absentee ballot/early that I imagine many young people have figured out how to vote without hiccups.

Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
6469 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

Why concerned? If they vote early do they get a second vote later?


A previous poster cleared this up earlier.

The early vote is up massively across all groups.

In 2016 NC the 18-29 group ended up being 10% of the total vote.

Even at the current numbers they are lower than 10% of the total early vote.

This youth vote is actually less than it should be. Tracking to be less than the 10% it was in 2016.

2.7 million votes have been cast in NC already. At 10% the 18-29 should be 270k....it's currently 205k.

Ignore the spin.
This post was edited on 10/24/20 at 3:58 pm
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:56 pm to
How do you know it won’t get to 10%? What is the rationale there?
Posted by Cs
Member since Aug 2008
10476 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

why is this concerning?


Because 18-29 year olds overwhelming vote Democrat.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 4:01 pm to
So this data is as of this date (actually Oct 21 on tufts website) in 2016.

Want to know when early voting in 2016 began for Florida in nearly every county?

Oct 24

click the link in this page for PDF
This post was edited on 10/24/20 at 4:07 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124081 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

I would just like to know the source.
Source
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 4:03 pm to
Posted by tgrgrd00
Kenner, LA
Member since Jun 2004
8519 posts
Posted on 10/24/20 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Source


Yes, I see the site. But where are they getting the data from? That site doesn't receive ballots the states do. So the site has to get the data from the states. Where are they getting the data from the states?

If they have this data then where is the data for all age groups?

This post was edited on 10/24/20 at 4:08 pm
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