re: Great gif from the Kavanaugh ceremony tonight

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Liberals were saying this about about super liberal RBG in Obama's first term and they're shitting their pants now praying she holds on for 2020 much less 2024. 

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I would still take someone who may not be as conservative as Thomas but still on the level of Alito or Gorsuch and that is far more preferable than the horror show disgrace of Thomas being replaced by a communist.

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A conservative being replaced by a conservative will go smoothly.

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My take is RBG wasn't reading tea leaves. She had assurance that it was rigged in Hillary's favor. And they tried, but failed, as we all could sense during those strange waning hours on Election Night when they refused to call it. Trump has now blown things up, and Thomas may be able to get a more honest assessment. Trump is on track to roll through 2020 easy right now, and 2024 is a complete mystery. Give it time.

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Clarence Thomas look like he just won the lottery, god bless that man, he will always be my favorite SCOTUS.

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Trump is on track to roll through 2020 easy right now

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Ruth Bader Ginsburg celebrates 25 years in the Supreme Court today — here's when she and her colleagues could retire

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg celebrates 25 years in the Supreme Court today — and while she has vowed to stay on in the role, people have been left wondering when she might retire, and when other seats on the court might become vacant.

The retirement of one judge in July has given Trump a chance to nominate the conservative Brett Kavanaugh and has left people wondering if he might get the chance to model the court in his image by replacing Ginsburg or another judge.

Business Insider has calculated an average retirement age and tenure length for the last 11 justices to retire, going back to Justice Warren E. Burger, who quit in 1986.

The average age of retirement for the past 11 justices was 80. These justices spent an average of 27 years in the court (according to the Supreme Court website, the all-time average is shorter, at 16 years).

We have averaged the two metrics to reach a ballpark year that the justices could retire based on precedent. It is worth remembering this is a rough prediction and a justice can leave the Supreme Court at any time for any reason.

Scroll down to see where each Supreme Court justice stands — and when the figures suggest their term could end.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Predicted departure: Two years ago

Age: 85 (5 years past average retirement)
Tenure: 25 years (2 years less than average)

Friday marks the 25th anniversary of Ginsburg's confirmation to the US Supreme Court.

Born in 1933, Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is now 85 years old — four years than older Kennedy, and five years past the average retirement age.

She took her seat on the Supreme Court in 1993 after a nomination from Bill Clinton. Her tenure is currently two years shorter than the average.

In July, Ginsburg signaled that she hopes to stay in the Supreme Court for at least another five years.

She also told PBS in January that she would adopt the plan of former Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens, who retired at the age of 90.

She further suggested that would be sticking to these plans and that she would not retire before the end of Trump's term as president by hiring four full-time law clerks through to 2020 - a move that is not typical for justices who plan on stepping down.

Ginsburg, who has become something of a liberal icon, said in February: "As long as I can do the job full steam, I will be here."

Stephen Breyer. Predicted departure: 2021

Age: 79 (1 year before average retirement)
Tenure: 24 years (3 years less than average)

At 79, Breyer has not made any suggestion that he will retire soon. He is a year younger than the average retirement age, and his tenure is currently three years shorter than the average.

Breyer has been a Supreme Court Justice since August 1994, following a nomination from President Bill Clinton.

As a liberal justice, Breyer may want to continue in office to prevent a conservative pick gaining his seat.

Clarence Thomas. Predicted departure: 2024

Age: 70 (10 years before average retirement)
Tenure: 26 years (1 year less than average)

Highly conservative Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas is 70, having served on the court since October 1991 after a nomination from George Bush. He is 10 years younger than the average retirement age, but he started relatively young, so his tenure is now just one year shorter than the average.

When rumors that a Supreme Court justice was to retire emerged, some wondered if Thomas would go instead of Kennedy.

Thomas made no public comment about this. A 2016 report that said he would retire was rejected by his wife, Ginni, on Facebook. She wrote: "IT. IS. BOGUS!"

Sonia Sotomayor. Predicted departure: 2036

Age: 64 (16 years before average retirement)
Tenure: 9 years (18 years less than average)

At 64, Sotomayor has only served on the court since August 2009, after a nomination from President Barack Obama. She is 16 years younger than the average retirement age, and her tenure is currently 18 years behind the average length.

But Trump has reportedly said he believes he will be able to replace Sotomayor, citing her health. Trump has talked about Sotomayor's Type 1 diabetes, sources told to news website Axios, saying: "Her health, no good. Diabetes."

Paramedics were called to Sotomayor's house in January, but she went back to work that day following treatment for low blood sugar. She was not hospitalised, Politico reported.

Sotomayor previously described herself as "super vigilant" about her condition.

As with the other liberal judges, she may well want to keep her seat for the near future to prevent it going to a conservative judge.

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