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re: Feds Raise Rates a Quarter Point

Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:20 pm to
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
65051 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

I knew Warsh was part of the old line establishment when I saw who on the GOP side was pushing him.


Poor Trump. He got snookered by the Deep State once again.
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
60898 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

It’s a deflection technique.


As is ignoring that inflation, the fed rate, and housing prices are all just fine. Below historical averages.

The numbers are the numbers.
This post was edited on 9/16/26 at 1:22 pm
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
60540 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Now do cost of housing compared to 50yr average.

1976 - Adjusted for inflation was 276k
2026 - 398k


So paying over 100k more for the average home with mortgage rates similar


Now let's adjust that to price per square foot to truly compare apples to apples.

Average home in 1976 was ~1,500sqft, making that $184 per square foot.
Average home today is ~2.100sqft, making that $189 per square foot.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
3632 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:22 pm to
I hate to break it to you but you and your disgruntled housewives get real excited over bad news pertaining to Trump. It’s quite entertaining watching “conservatives” cheer on the demise of the nation because you dislike Trump.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
185515 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:22 pm to
quote:


Imagine cheering higher interest rates for Americans who didn’t create the debt?


Wut? You think this is only about the national debt?

quote:

it will have no impact on me whatsoever but I do understand the impact it will have on young Americans who are trying to buy a house or have credit card debt


What if I told you that in the long term this pain is a necessary evil? Want house prices to come down? This is the way.

quote:

all so you can get cheaper investment properties, amirite? So brave


I have bid on repo houses since 2003 when I first started and have actually managed repo houses since the crash of 2008, so trust me when I tell you what I am about to say.

Newsflash...people lose houses no matter how good or bad the housing market is.

This will have zero impact on my ability to buy. I actually just lost a bid on a property at sheriff's sale today, sadly :( The bank bought it back for nearly the full writ amount, which is more than the property is worth when adding in the needed repairs.

Now, will my management business be busier than normal if the RE market is shite? Yes. Do I need it? No. Do I want it? As I said yesterday, I would rather a balanced economy.
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
160268 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:23 pm to
What is being deflected from?

No in is cheering. I don’t understand your angle.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
10628 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

The fed rate is still nearly a full point under the 50 year average dummy.


Call me crazy but I don't think the majority of today's voters are going to take that into consideration.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
65051 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

I hate to break it to you but you and your disgruntled housewives get real excited over bad news pertaining to Trump. It’s quite entertaining watching “conservatives” cheer on the demise of the nation because you dislike Trump.


Good lord.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30195 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:24 pm to
This is the same stupid mistake the Fed took back in 1973, when the Fed tried exactly this. They tightened into an oil shock expecting to look tough on inflation, and got a recession stacked on double-digit inflation instead. We already have an oil shock problem and these idiots are going to compound the problem by raising rates all that does is create a second man-made problem by raising borrowing costs on top of the high energy prices.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
42080 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Average home in 1976 was ~1,500sqft, making that $184 per square foot.



Average home size in 76 was closer to 1700/sqft according to the census bureau.

So it's about 162/sqft in 1976. ~15% lower than today.
This post was edited on 9/16/26 at 1:27 pm
Posted by El Segundo Guy
1-866-DHS-2-ICE
Member since Aug 2014
11801 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:25 pm to
Good. Inflation has been kicking people's asses way more than a loan rate.
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
60898 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

What is being deflected from? No in is cheering. I don’t understand your angle.


I don’t have an angle. I’m simply pointing out the fact that inflation, the fed rate, and housing are all just fine. Below historical averages, in fact. So all of this pearl
Clutching is just histrionics based in ignorance.
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
63339 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

He stated inflation was high. I posted the fact that it is not high.


It is high though. I've only been earning and spending money for like 25 years. The average inflation rate over the last 25 years is 2.54%. It's currently at 3.4%.

Why is 50 years the magic number?

The inflation rate over the last 100 years is 3.02%
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
60898 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

So it's about 162/sqft in 1976. ~15% lower than today.


Now index for inflation back to 1976 and tell us how mean ole orange man ruined housing.
This post was edited on 9/16/26 at 1:27 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104419 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:28 pm to
Another L for Trump


Dems just probably picked up a few more seats

Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
160268 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:28 pm to
Will voters consider the last 50 years?

I’m no election consultant but I don’t think I’d recommend mailing a flyer with “but it’s lower than the 50 year average.

But maybe it will work.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30195 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

This was fully expected, other than by a group of retards on this board who have their heads buried in the sand about the war with Iran and energy prices.


"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" and the idiots at the Federal Reserve didn't go back and look at what took place in 1973.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
3632 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:29 pm to
That’s a lot of words for admitting I am correct. This will do nothing to correct the housing market and neither would raising rates by 5 points. The housing market is an investment for most Americans, right or wrong much of their worth is tied up in it. Housing values are never decreasing so the only thing higher rates will accomplish is further locking out of the market potential buyers, nothing more. Lowering rates would allow more potential buyers the opportunity to possibly afford a house, especially young buyers. Higher rates will not stimulate economic growth either, so again why are you cheering the demise of the nation just so you can buy cheaper investment properties?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
185515 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:29 pm to
quote:


Explain in detail how this will improve the housing market and make it more affordable. This should be good!



Home builders have already been offering incentives up to $60K per house just to move inventory

On the used home market, despite a lot of people having low rates and currently being frozen in their property, life still happens. People get sick, divorced, new jobs, etc and have to move. Unless they want to carry two mortgages or become landlords, they will be forced to slash their asking price.

We currently have the largest gap in history of sellers vs buyers. It was around 58% last week. The only way to fix that is for prices to go down. Everyone is still priced like interest rates for new buyers are still 3%

There's a lot more but you are being obtuse or in over your head if you can't understand how basic supply and demand functions and what that does to pricing.

The market always sorts itself out. I've been in RE since 2001, so I have seen the ups and downs, and that's been true for the past 25 years.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104419 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

All of the underlying data they cited is great, its the inflation driven by gas and diesel prices.


All because our govt can’t get Israel cock out of its mouth
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